Our investment impulses are driven by the knowledge that, one day, we will be dead.This article is taken from our FREE daily investment email Money Morning.
Every day, MoneyWeek's executive editor John Stepek and guest contributors explain how current economic and political developments are affecting the markets and your wealth, and give you pointers on how you can profit.
Sign up free here.
This year, I published my first book. Its called The Sceptical Investor, and its about contrarian investing or, as Ive slightly cheekily rebranded it, sceptical investing.
My publisher, Harriman House, is offering a cracking deal on the book right now. You can get 40% off by ordering it here, and entering the code SCEPTIC40 at the check-out.
If youre not convinced by that fantastic value investment, let me share an extract with you in todays Money Morning its from Chapter 5, entitled You vs the crowd.
As with any complex system, you cant model the human mind perfectly. Were a morass of conflicting, shifting desires affected by changes in both our internal environment (our own biochemistry) and our interactions with our external environment (other people, the weather, whats on the telly).
But we dont need to go into complicated models of individual minds to get a good idea of how crowds work. There are just two key impulses to wrap your head around.
Theyre commonly described as greed and fear. But Im not so keen on those labels both have very negative connotations. I prefer to say we have an expansionary impulse and a contractionary one.
When you are in an expansionary mood, your focus is on growing your wealth, grabbing a bigger piece of the cake, empire-building. When you are in contractionary mode, you want to hunker down, build walls, protect what is yours.
These two impulses are in turn driven by one simple fact: the knowledge that, one day, you will be dead.
When evolutionary psychologists and behavioural economists talk about what drives our herding instincts, they often hark back to the days when we were dwelling in Stone Age tribes out on the African savannah, at constant risk of being picked off by lions, dying of dehydration, or nibbling on some poisonous vegetation.
The idea is that we are programmed to run with the crowd because its safer. But theres more to it than a simple evolutionary hangover. You really dont have to go back to the Stone Age to find unforgiving death lurking around every corner.
Vaccines and antibiotics only became widely available to most people (in developed countries at that) in the middle of the last century.
In 1924, four years before the discovery of penicillin, the 16-year-old son of one of the most powerful men in the world US president Calvin Coolidge died of septicaemia that resulted from a blister that developed on his toe while he was playing tennis in ill-fitting shoes.
Even today, and even in the most advanced societies, life is unpredictable and full of potentially lethal threats. And while all animals have a fight or flight instinct when faced with life- threatening situations, only humans (as far as we can tell) have a sufficiently evolved brain to bless us with an ever-present awareness of the inevitability of our own extinction.
This fear may not always be at the forefront of our minds, but its never far away.
What does any fundamentally rational being crave in such an environment? Its not happiness or contentment (although these may be desirable side effects).
Its security and certainty.
I want to keep myself and my loved ones safe, and I also want to know that after I am gone, the things that I value will persist (it doesnt matter that Ill be gone at that point what matters is how I feel about that now, while Im alive).
To do that, I need to be able to do two things. I need to get out there and explore and master my environment in order to take advantage of opportunities that could make my life better and my situation more secure (the expansionary impulse).
But I also need to be highly alert to danger and ready to raise my defences in response to threats to that security (the contractionary impulse).
So how do we navigate an uncertain world? How do we impose order on the chaos around us? Its simple. We look for elements that appear to be predictable we seek patterns.
We look for cause-and-effect rules that govern outcomes and can be used to influence them. If we know (or at least think we know) that x causes y, then we can increase our level of certainty in our world view.
Some rules are governed by natural phenomenon dont fall off cliffs; dont eat poisonous mushrooms. Some are instinctive (social animals such as humans and apes have been found to have an inherent sense of fairness, even though the world itself is clearly not naturally fair).
But many of the most important ones are social (such as learning the conventions for crossing a road or transacting with one another).
And the critical point is that we dont formulate these worldviews alone. They are passed down from our parents, and reinforced by our schools, friends, co-religionists and colleagues.
In fact, historian Yuval Noah Harari, in his recent bestseller Sapiens, argues that this ability to create and believe in epic, society-spanning shared world views from religions to legal systems to money itself (which ultimately derives its value from our belief in it, and the social structures that give everyone the confidence to rely upon it) is key to our spectacular success as a species.
You can call them stories, as Harari does, or you can call them social structures, or you can think of them as rules for a particularly complicated board game.
But however you describe them, they are all systems that human beings have invented to enable us to cooperate in a more mutually bene cial way and our brains are wired to be receptive to information presented like this.
Which unfortunately, can be a real handicap in the world of investment.
Enjoyed this sample? Get the book for 40% off just enter SCEPTIC40 at the checkout.
View post:
How the fear of death affects our investment processes - MoneyWeek
- From biochemistry and engineering degrees to battlefield: Meet Colonel Sophia Qureshi and Wing Commander - Times of India - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- A passion for biochemistry and Japanese - University of Miami - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- My autistic son with PhD in Biochemistry is relieved to learn from RFK Jr. he won't be paying taxes - Daily Kos - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Jeffrey Withey, Ph.D., appointed interim chair of Department of Biochemistry, Microbiology and Immunology - Today@Wayne - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Tracing phosphorus through cosmic evolution: From interstellar space to Earth's biochemistry - Phys.org - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Biochemistry and Beyond: Naomi Frese on Preparing for Medical School through UofLs New Major - UofL - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- The project Universal biochemistry of RNA in the cold, coordinated by Prof. Flix Ritort has been awarded with Human Frontiers Science Program (HFSP) -... - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Biochemistry Analyzers Market to Witness Massive Growth by 2032 - openPR - March 30th, 2025 [March 30th, 2025]
- UCLA Chemistry & Biochemistry faculty to receive awards at the upcoming ACS National Meeting in San Diego - UCLA Chemistry and Biochemistry - March 15th, 2025 [March 15th, 2025]
- A cross-sectional observational study of the association between biochemistry profiles and the risk of age-related macular degeneration - Nature.com - March 15th, 2025 [March 15th, 2025]
- Research Fellow in Plant Biochemistry Job at University of Melbourne in Parkville, United States - The Conversation - March 5th, 2025 [March 5th, 2025]
- Jez, Pakrasi named fellows of biochemistry society - WashU - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- 'Perfect fusion of biology and biochemistry' UWW researcher wins grant to develop biomedical coatings - The Janesville Gazette - February 25th, 2025 [February 25th, 2025]
- Connecting Biochemistry and Business: A Remarkable RIT Journey - Rochester Institute of Technology - February 3rd, 2025 [February 3rd, 2025]
- CU Boulder Biochemistry Professor Xuedong Liu Recognized as an elite member of the 2024 Class of Fellows by the National Academy of Investors (NAI) -... - December 23rd, 2024 [December 23rd, 2024]
- ACBICON 2024 Shines Bright: Celebrating 50 Years of Excellence in Clinical Biochemistry - :: India News Calling :: - December 9th, 2024 [December 9th, 2024]
- Teen achiever eyes global impact in medicine and biochemistry - Jamaica Gleaner - December 9th, 2024 [December 9th, 2024]
- Biochemistry senior connects with community through service organizations - University of South Carolina - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- 2025 Summer Intern - Peptide Therapeutics, Early Discovery Biochemistry - Genentech - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Postdoctoral Position in Structural Biology/Biochemistry - Helsinki, Finland job with UNIVERSITY OF HELSINKI | 384233 - Times Higher Education - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Neugebauer named Rose Professor of Molecular Biophysics and Biochemistry - Yale News - November 28th, 2024 [November 28th, 2024]
- Scholarship has Timmins biochemistry student hopeful for the future - TimminsToday - November 20th, 2024 [November 20th, 2024]
- Lu Bai named Verne M. Willaman Professor of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology - Penn State University - November 12th, 2024 [November 12th, 2024]
- Biochemistry and biotechnology major Jay King nearing graduation with plans to pursue PhD in oncologic research - UMSL Daily - November 12th, 2024 [November 12th, 2024]
- A Biochemistry Teaching Experiment That Demonstrates the Digestion of Carbohydrates, Proteins, and Lipids in the Digestive Tract - ACS Publications - November 12th, 2024 [November 12th, 2024]
- SBU Biochemistry alumnus to discuss how plants defend themselves against bacterial pathogens - St. Bonaventure - October 13th, 2024 [October 13th, 2024]
- Exploring the Frontiers of Metabolic Research in Cancer: An Interview with Dr. Alice Chang, B. Pharm., Ph.D. at China Medical University, Institute of... - October 2nd, 2024 [October 2nd, 2024]
- The Hidden Biochemistry of Cold Temperatures: Chilling RNA Discovery Reshapes the Rules of Life - SciTechDaily - September 23rd, 2024 [September 23rd, 2024]
- New sweatband keeps tabs on body biochemistry - The Naked Scientists - September 15th, 2024 [September 15th, 2024]
- Celebrating 25 years of innovation at the department of biochemistry & medical genetics - UM Today - September 15th, 2024 [September 15th, 2024]
- Vinesh Phogat versus the perplexing biochemistry of losing weight - The Hindu - September 2nd, 2024 [September 2nd, 2024]
- Girirajan named head of the Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology - Penn State University - July 26th, 2024 [July 26th, 2024]
- Scientists uncover a multibillion-year epic written into the chemistry of life - EurekAlert - June 1st, 2024 [June 1st, 2024]
- Electrolyte and Biochemistry Analyzers Market Is Likely to Experience a Tremendous Growth by 2031 - openPR - June 1st, 2024 [June 1st, 2024]
- Scientists uncover missing link in the Chemistry of Life - Tech Explorist - June 1st, 2024 [June 1st, 2024]
- From negative results to new discoveries in chloroplast biochemistry - Phys.org - April 15th, 2024 [April 15th, 2024]
- Protecting art and passwords with biochemistry - Tech Xplore - April 15th, 2024 [April 15th, 2024]
- 'Always more to discover:' Clarke biochemistry professor shares love of the Bard through Dubuque Shakespeare Project - telegraphherald.com - April 15th, 2024 [April 15th, 2024]
- American Society of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology honors MD/PhD student Hannah Kondolf - The Daily | Case Western Reserve University - April 7th, 2024 [April 7th, 2024]
- Biochemistry and transcriptomic analyses of Phthorimaea absoluta (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae) response to insecticides ... - Nature.com - April 7th, 2024 [April 7th, 2024]
- Differential responses of Hollyhock (Alcea rosea L.) varieties to salt stress in relation to physiological and biochemical ... - Nature.com - April 7th, 2024 [April 7th, 2024]
- Life's Origins: How Fissures in Hot Rocks May Have Kickstarted Biochemistry - Singularity Hub - April 7th, 2024 [April 7th, 2024]
- Professor Robert Cross awarded Biochemical Society Award for Sustained Excellence - University of Warwick - April 7th, 2024 [April 7th, 2024]
- Study suggests that estrogen may drive nicotine addiction in women - EurekAlert - March 29th, 2024 [March 29th, 2024]
- Yale men's basketball confused for university's Molecular Biophysics and Biochemistry on Twitter - Sporting News - March 29th, 2024 [March 29th, 2024]
- Plants have an astonishing biochemical communication network - Earth.com - March 29th, 2024 [March 29th, 2024]
- Study links long-term consumption of deep-fried oil with increased neurodegeneration - ASBMB Today - March 29th, 2024 [March 29th, 2024]
- New surfactant could improve lung treatments for premature babies - ASBMB Today - March 29th, 2024 [March 29th, 2024]
- The Power and Promise of RNA - Duke University School of Medicine - March 29th, 2024 [March 29th, 2024]
- Commonwealth University biochemistry and pre-medicine concentrations accredited - Lock Haven Express - February 13th, 2024 [February 13th, 2024]
- Afternoon of Science Series: Department of Biochemistry & Molecular Biophysics - Columbia University Irving Medical Center - February 13th, 2024 [February 13th, 2024]
- What Casual Sex, Pigeon Relationships, Bioluminescence and a Drug for Broken Hearts can Tell us About the ... - Nautilus - February 13th, 2024 [February 13th, 2024]
- $2.4 Million in Funding Awarded to Chemistry and Biochemistry Faculty | CSUF News - CSUF News - February 13th, 2024 [February 13th, 2024]
- Associate Professor in Biochemistry and Director of NIH-Funded COBRE job with UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE ... - Nature.com - February 13th, 2024 [February 13th, 2024]
- USM Chemistry (Biochemistry Emphasis) Degree Earns ASBMB Reaccreditation - The University of Southern Mississippi - February 4th, 2024 [February 4th, 2024]
- AI generates proteins with exceptional binding strength - ASBMB Today - February 4th, 2024 [February 4th, 2024]
- A safe place where biochemistry is valued - ASBMB Today - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Chair (W3) of Biochemistry job with TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAT ... - Times Higher Education - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- The Biochemistry of Muscle Contraction - Discovery Institute - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology chair and ... - University of Iowa Health Care - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Two decorated Brandeis faculty awarded National Medal of Science ... - Brandeis University - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Research Assistant / Associate (Department of Biochemistry) job ... - Times Higher Education - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- ASBMB weighs in on policy changes for dual-use research - ASBMB Today - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- In the Locker Room with Katie Austin, Mia Brito, and Alaina Di Dio ... - The Oberlin Review - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Dr. Tara Schwetz named NIH Deputy Director for Program ... - National Institutes of Health (.gov) - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Armstrong Welcomes Burning Swamp The George-Anne Media ... - The George-Anne - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Summer Research Projects Grow Depth of Knowledge - Taylor University - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Brookings Register | Speakout: Decarbonize industry with nuclear ... - Brookings Register - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Professor Yong Sik Ok becomes the first Korean President of the ... - EurekAlert - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Partnership between UCR and City of Hope aims to increase ... - UC Riverside - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- The seeds have been planted: The beautification of Ernst Nature ... - Miami Student - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Biochemist selected as Innovation Fund investigator by Pew ... - Pennsylvania State University - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- UTHealth Houston researchers awarded $3.4M NIH grant to study ... - EurekAlert - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Centre professor, students working toward rapid, affordable ... - Danville Advocate - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- SUNY Potsdam faculty want to keep 13 of 14 programs eyed for cuts ... - The Adirondack Daily Enterprise - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Fall Awards recognize long years of service to UWM - University of WisconsinMilwaukee - October 27th, 2023 [October 27th, 2023]
- Shobade selected for inaugural innovation in agriculture award - College of Agriculture and Life Sciences - April 8th, 2023 [April 8th, 2023]
- Three juniors selected as Goldwater Scholars - The Source ... - Washington University in St. Louis - April 8th, 2023 [April 8th, 2023]
- Senior Awarded Fulbright to Germany Susquehanna University - Susquehanna University - April 8th, 2023 [April 8th, 2023]
- CI MED Students Win Top Honors At Startup Showcase at ... - Carle Illinois College of Medicine - April 8th, 2023 [April 8th, 2023]