Category Archives: Human Behavior

Variants and behavior could push new COVID deaths 20% higher in Pa., projection shows – lehighvalleylive.com

A new projection of COVID-19 deaths in Pennsylvania shows thousands more people dying this spring, and the toll could be 20% higher under unfavorable circumstances.

The worse-case scenario is based on increased mobility among those vaccinated and unvaccinated, how fast virus variants spread and how effective vaccines are against one variant in particular, and how many people wear face coverings.

The projection comes from the University of Washington Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation that has been tracking the coronavirus pandemic from the beginning.

IHMEs latest numbers come at a critical juncture for the United States ability to control the virus spread, according to the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

There is so much thats critical riding on the next two months, the CDCs director, Dr. Rochelle Walensky, told the National League of Cities on Monday, according to cnn.com. How quickly we will vaccinate versus whether we will have another surge really relies on what happens in March and April.

The IHME projections released March 6 show an additional 3,308 deaths likely in Pennsylvania by July 1, bringing the toll from the virus to 27,511 lives lost since March 2020. Under the worse-case scenario, the toll could reach 32,914 -- a difference of 5,403 people or 19.6% compared to the projection considered most likely.

The following chart looks at Pennsylvanias total projected COVID-19 deaths as of July 1. Click here to view it, since it may not display on all platforms, or to view a full-screen version.

IHMEs projection for New Jersey shows 2,347 more people dying by July 1 from COVID-19, with a difference of 3,445 deaths (13.3%) between that most-likely scenario and the worse case. Click here to view the New Jersey death toll projection.

Nationwide, IHME projects 57,940 more people likely to die as of July 1, but that toll could be 65,306 or 11.3% higher if the worse-case scenario becomes reality. Click here for the United States death toll projection.

Note that each IHME projection includes a best-case scenario where mask-wearing increases to 95%, slightly cutting the number of new deaths beyond March 6.

Fully vaccinated Americans can gather with other vaccinated people indoors without wearing a mask or social distancing, The Associated Press reports, citing long-awaited guidance this week from federal health officials.

Each IHME projection also considers the spread of virus variants, with the worse-case scenario factoring in lower effectiveness on the part of vaccines against the B.1.351 variant first identified in South Africa.

IHME researchers last week looked at the future of the COVID-19 pandemic, and said it will be challenging for the world to reach herd immunity.

The researchers also looked at whether COVID-19 will become a chronic seasonal disease, saying its unclear but more likely as immunity from infections or vaccines drops.

There is too much uncertainty about the probability and frequency of emergence of new variants, the reduction in vaccine efficacy for each variant, the critical question of cross-variant immunity, and the consistency of safe human behavior, the researchers wrote. However, the prospect of persistent and seasonal COVID-19 is real.

RELATED:

Projection shows Pa. COVID-19 deaths doubling by years end, with masks sharply cutting new toll (Sept. 6, 2020)

Pennsylvanias coronavirus death toll is more than tripled in new projection (May 5, 2020)

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Kurt Bresswein may be reached at kbresswein@lehighvalleylive.com.

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Variants and behavior could push new COVID deaths 20% higher in Pa., projection shows - lehighvalleylive.com

Voice of the People: All nations have a breaking point with government – Kankakee Daily Journal

Recently there seems to be a great deal of rhetoric about how politically diverse our nation has become. Yet, a study of our history, both prior to and many decades after our becoming a nation, indicates that divisiveness is the expected, rather than the exception.

It seems as if every nation contains an element of disagreement. Even the smallest of communities has its "ins" and its "outs." Human behavior throughout the world indicates a need to gravitate to those who are like-minded, whether it be political, religious, ethnicity, or racial, and differences become accentuated.

While divisiveness can many times be a problem, there are occasions in which it can be helpful. The biggest problem is how extreme or physical those divisions are carried out. Strong vocal opinions should be able to be expressed in a somewhat tactful manner without the threat of court action. We are not a democratic nation if opinions are muted for fear of reprisal.

More than a few of our founding fathers did not want to break off the colonies' relationship with England. However, an arrogant and misguided English government foisted its problems onto the colonies in a manner which necessitated the colonies to gradually resort to physical steps to assure their not being taxed to the point of being slaves.

In my opinion, our current Congress is on its way to driving the citizenry to the point of feeling like the colonists of yore. Heavy taxation and nonsensical rules, laws and mandates can eventually precipitate divisiveness. Sometimes that divisiveness becomes physical. Leaders need to be careful what they sow.

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Voice of the People: All nations have a breaking point with government - Kankakee Daily Journal

A Year of the Pandemic: How Have Birds and Other Wildlife Responded? – National Audubon Society

Lesser Flamingos fly through Mumbai in April, 2020. Photo: Indranil Mukherjee/AFP/Getty Images

Last spring, people opened their windows to a symphony. Swallows burbled, doves cooed, and sparrows chirpedand to many listeners, these passerine performers had never seemed so loud. For nature lovers, wearied by the tragedy of coronavirus and lockdown challenges, this music was a source of joy. It hinted that even in these dark times, nature adapts.

But to scientists, these reports presented a puzzleas did the stream of sometimes surreal sightings like pumas strolling Santiago, Chile, and wild boar trotting traffic-free streets in Haifa, Israel, and masses of pink-plumed flamingos in Mumbais waterways. Were animals really changing their behaviors in significant ways? Were these flukes,orin the case of birds, were housebound humans simply extra observant?

To answer these questions, scientists have been studying the complex consequences of what they are calling the anthropause, or the unprecedented global slowdown in human activity linked to efforts to control COVID-19. With continued orrepeat lockdowns and social-distancingmeasures extending more than a year, scientists have tried to document all of the myriad changes as humans have adjusted, again and again.

Understanding natures varied responses to our sharp shifts in behavior could be vitally important, says Michael Schrimpf, an ecologist at the University of Manitoba. If we can change our behavior and have a significant positive or negative effectif shutting things down in our society has an effectthose are important things to know.

Birdsong, for example, may not have actually gotten any louder. In fact, studies from the San Francisco Bay area suggest the crooning of White-crowned Sparrows dropped by several decibels. But without human traffic and activity blaring, their calls may have been all the more audible.

As scientists weave together all possible threads of evidence to decipher how animals behaved before and after our societies hit pause, a nuanced tapestry is coming into view. This idea that everything will be wonderful, nature rebounds, and its all fantastic once humans are locked up and stay at home, that doesnt seem to be the case, says Christian Rutz, a behavioral ecologist at the University of St. Andrewsin Scotland. Its a mixed bag. Yet out of this jumble, he and others are confident they can find new and important insights into better ways of living with the rest of the natural world.

In Italy, the first country to go into lockdown in Europe, researchers have combined several streams of data to assemble a picture of how animal behavior changed in 2020. Big picture, they write in Biological Conservation, which is publishing a series of anthropause findings, the repercussions for plants, animals, and ecosystems have spanned the good, the bad, and the ugly.

The team gathered community-science observations, along with questionnaires to conservation managers, and analyses of social media and news posts. They confirmed that animals were on the move and frequenting new locales. For example, the Kentish Plover, a small shorebird that breeds on the beaches on Venices Treporti peninsula, is typically very sensitive to the presence of people. In 2020, however, this shy species spread its nesting sites along the unusually quiet shorelines, laying eggs in spots where they had not beenrecorded in recent years.

Schrimpf, too, has found evidence that confirms that birds are using habitats in different ways when humans are absent. He is working with several colleagues to analyze thousands of reports from the Cornell Lab of Ornithologys eBird program, a community-science project where birders log sightings. Their preliminary findings suggest that, thanks to drasticallyreduced air travel,birds appeared in greater numbers around airports last year than in the past.

In addition to exploring and exploiting new habitats, wildlife benefitted from fewer carsroadkill mortality dropped in many U.S. statesand less pollution. Industrial pollution, for example, can harm the health of swifts and swallowsas well as the insects these birds hunt. As air quality improved in northern Italy last spring, for example, Common Swifts in the region laid more eggs than in previous years.

But not every species wonwhen humans stepped away. Lockdowns severely limited conservation projects and protection efforts for at-risk animals. Amazonian deforestation rose. Invasive plants and animals went unchecked. And illegal hunting and poaching may have risen in several nations, including Italy and India. And in many cases, humanitys absence set off a cascade of consequences with uncertain results. In Canada, behavioral ecologist Pierre Legagneux of LavalUniversity studied the complex effects of lockdown for a species whose numbers are typically kept in check through hunting: the Greater Snow Goose.

Since 1999, Canada has allowed Lesser and Greater Snow Goose hunting in spring, in part because some evidence suggests these birds overgraze vegetation in the Arctic tundra where they migrate each year. In addition, some communities in the UnitedStates andCanada hunt these birds for food.

Legagneux and some of his students went to study whether these geese carried coronavirus, a concern that Inuit communities had raised. We found no virus in the birds, he says. Its really a mammal virus, not a bird one. But their investigationdid reveal that birds were significantly fatter, earlier in the season than in past years. In fact, their physical condition resembled that of Snow Geese in the years before Canada had allowed hunting.

In 2020, hunting may have declined by as much as 50 percent in Quebec. And, Legagneux says, its not just the hunting. Fewer humans out and about meant the birds were less stressed in general and could graze freely and easily, earlier in the season. Whether these beefier birds will pose a problem in the Arctic, he adds, is somethingLegagneux is investigatingnow.

Indeed, human disturbance may have simultaneously helped some wildlife while hindering others. In Sweden, researchers discovered that tourists may have inadvertently served as wildlife guardiansfor seabird colonies in the Baltic Sea. Typically, the crush of camera-clad visitors disturbs wildlife so much that it keeps White-tailed Eagles away. But in 2020, without tourists around, these raptors frequented the islands and stressed breeding murres such that the seabirds laid fewer eggs and saw more eggs preyed upon by gulls and crows than in past years.

The simplest message from the research to date is that animals rapidly detect and respond to our presenceand that often our activity stresses them out. Put briefly, the lockdown, Legagneux says, confirmed the importance of human disturbance. While thats not surprisingscientists have long recognized that other animals are sensitive to our presencewhats clearer now is how quickly and dramatically some animals adapt.

Among the largest efforts to study the anthropause comes from the International Bio-logging Society. The group has pooled together data from hundreds of separate wildlife tracking projectsincluding work with whales, birds, and fishmany of which began before the pandemic and involved some form of remote animal monitoring.

Rutz, who is president of the society, aims to publish initial findings this year. Through careful analysis, they hope to identify new conservation strategies based on subtle changes to human activity. The overall project, he says, aims to use these extraordinary circumstances to spot opportunities that previously werent obvious, even to the experts, for making relatively minor changes to the way we lead our modern lives.

Shifting the course of a road, for example, might dramatically benefit the surrounding ecosystem, Rutz notes. Better controlling air pollution in a region,as the findings with Italian swifts reveal, could help several species flourish. Or, as a study from Singapore suggests, cutting down on the treats left out for wildlife can help manage populations of pests in urban areas. Malcolm Soh,a senior researcher at Singapores National Parks Board,and his colleagues found that the drop in human food linked to lockdown changed the foraging behaviorand size of pigeon flocks. In areaswith open spaces and many restaurants, where pigeons normally find snacks, Soh reports that the abundance of these birds dropped by more than half in less than two months after lockdown began.If you reduce the food, its not going to remove the pigeons totallybut these smaller flocks are much less problematic, soiling public spaces less,"Soh says.

In the big picture, the anthropause studies have revealed how interconnected humans are with the rest of the natural world. We not only rely on ecosystem services like clean water and food, Rutz says, but our ability to coexist with nature broadly relates to the spread of disease that jumps across speciesas COVID-19 itself has so painfully illustrated.

Another lesson is the power of nature enthusiasts to contribute to research. Participation in ongoing community science projects surged this year, as did annual birding events like the Global Big Day, says plant ecologist Theresa Crimmins, who has been studying these trends. Schrimpf, for example, has drawn on eBird reports from more than 16,000 observers across North America. I think it says a lot about how the public can help make science happen in the 21st century, he says.

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A Year of the Pandemic: How Have Birds and Other Wildlife Responded? - National Audubon Society

3 Questions: Vaccines and the power of positive reinforcement – MIT News

Public health officials have issued plenty of warnings about people who are reluctant to get vaccinated for Covid-19. But an MIT research team centered at MITs Initiative on the Digital Economy (IDE) says this may be counterproductive: When shown basic numbers about how popular Covid-19 vaccines are, the fraction of people reluctant to get the vaccine drops by 5 percent. To reach these conclusions, the researchers drew on a massive international survey about the pandemic, including 1.8 million responses from 67 countries, and developed an experiment covering 300,000 people in 23 countries. The group has described their findings in a working paper and a recent LA Times op-ed.

The MIT team consists of Alex Moehring, a PhD candidate at the MIT Sloan School of Management; Avinash Collis PhD 20, an assistant professor at the University of Texas at Austin; Kiran Garimella, a postdoc at the MIT Institute for Data, Systems, and Society (IDSS); M. Amin Rahimian, a postdoc at IDSS; Sinan Aral, the David Austin Professor of Management at MIT Sloan, co-director of IDE, and author of the recent book The Hype Machine; and Dean Eckles, the Mitsubishi Career Development Professorand an associate professor of marketing at MIT Sloan. MIT News talked to Aral and Eckles about the findings.

Q: You have written that there is a dangerous irony in public health officials and other people highlighting those who are reluctant to get a Covid-19 vaccine. Why is that?

Eckles: It makes sense for public health officials and others to be worried about vaccine hesitancy, because we need a very high level of vaccine acceptance. But a lot of the time, officials make it seem as if more people are hesitant than is really the case.

Many people who say theyre unsure if theyll get the vaccine may be pretty easy to sway, and one way is by telling them, Actually, a large fraction of people in your country say theyre going to accept the vaccine. We found that simply by giving people accurate information about the percentage of people in their country who say they will accept a vaccine, it increased vaccine-acceptance intentions across 23 countries. Part of whats exciting is how consistent this finding is.

Aral: Id like to add three points. Before this study, there were at least two plausible countervailing hypotheses. One is that if more people heard that others would take the vaccine, the more they [themselves] would be inclined to take the vaccine. The other is that people would free-ride on the vaccine intentions of others: Well, if theyre going to take it, they can create herd immunity and I can avoid taking a vaccine myself. Our research shows pretty clearly that the first is true, while the second is not true [on aggregate].

Second, its interesting that the treatment most changes the behavior of those people who are most underestimating the amount of vaccine acceptance among others. And third, theres an overarching theme here: Simply providing people the truth, the accurate information, is also very effective at swaying people to accept the vaccine.

Q: What does this teach us about human behavior, at least in these kinds of situations?

Aral: One really important thing is [the power of] social proof. When you see large portions of people behave in a certain way, it legitimizes that behavior. And there are countless examples of this. When a lot of people say a restaurant is good, youre swayed. This is another instance of that.

Eckles: Theres an informational process of social learning. People are trying to figure out: Whats the quality of this thing? It might seem weird to some of us following the news more, or watching whats happening with [vaccine] trials, but a lot of people are not paying attention. They may know there are these vaccines, but even so, other peoples choices can be quite informative to them.

Q: What should be the core of good messaging about vaccination programs, based on your research over the last year?

Aral: As recently as February, a coronavirus task force started its communications by focusing on vaccine hesitancy. That is not, per our findings, as effective as leading with the vast and growing majority who are accepting. Thats not to say we think public health officials shouldnt talk about vaccine hesitancy, or that people who are hesitant shouldnt be targeted with outreach to convince them of the safety and efficacy of vaccines we believe that should all happen. But neglecting to emphasize the vast and growing majorities who are accepting vaccines doesnt increase vaccine acceptance as much.

Eckles: What were saying is one part of a broader messaging strategy. Giving people this information is enough to shift their motivation to get the vaccine in a lot of cases. Though, getting them motivated is not enough if they dont know what website to go to, or if its hard to get an appointment. Its good to couple motivational messages with actionable information.

Aral: To our knowledge this is the largest global survey of Covid-19 behaviors, norms, and perceptions. Weve been running it since July. Weve also done many published studies, whether about social spillovers [during the pandemic], vaccines, vaccine misinformation all of this is part of a very forceful effort by the Initiative on the Digital Economy to make meaningful contributions to changing the trajectory of this pandemic.

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3 Questions: Vaccines and the power of positive reinforcement - MIT News

Simba Information: Social Science, Humanities Publishing Fell on COVID-19 Disruption – Herald-Mail Media

ROCKVILLE, Md., March 9, 2021 /PRNewswire/ --The impact of the COVID-19 virus and associated economic disruption will tighten the market for publishing materials in the humanities and social sciences this according to Global Social Sciences & Humanities Publishing 2021-2025, the latest report from Simba Information.

Social science and humanities (SSH) publishing sales fell an estimated 1.5% in 2020 after posting flat results in 2019. Currency movements are estimated to have inflated sales in 2020. The SSH publishing market decline is estimated at 2.5% in constant currency. The market has not posted overall sales growth since 2017 when it grew 1.9%.

Now, after more than a year of coronavirus lockdowns and restrictions, academic and government research budgets are poised to tighten and hinder growth in 2021 and 2022.

However, in the long-term, research in social sciences will have a vast amount to contribute to resolving the massive challenges arising out of the COVID-19 pandemic. A better understanding of human and societal behavior is required to develop effective strategies and policies to reduce viral transmission.

When it comes to infection prevention and control at both the local and international levels, a fuller understanding of areas of study such as politics, international relations, philosophy, economics, psychology, sociology and ethics have all been suggested as meriting urgent consideration by researchers. Behavioral psychology will be critical to solve issues ranging from anti-mask movements to vaccine denial. It is COVID-19's ability to exploit particular aspects of human behavior that allows it to continue to spread from person-to-person.

Some of these areas now have an opportunity to attract research dollars, and in turn spur growth in information and tools geared at these areas of research.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the entire scholarly publishing industry has been to accelerate the transitions that were already taking place, whether it be the move to digital, open access or the push for tools and services to diversity reliance on revenue from content.

Global Social Sciences & Humanities Publishing 2021-2025provides an overview and financial outlook for the global SSH publishing market based on specific research and analysis of the leading competitors' performance. This research was conducted in conjunction with a larger study of the overall market for professional publishing.

The market is divided into five content delivery channels: books, journals, online content, abstracting and indexing and other activities, a category that includes audio, video and CD-ROM information.

Simba also examines leading competitors including: Cengage, EBSCO, Elsevier, Informa, John Wiley & Sons, Oxford University Press, ProQuest, SAGE Publishing and Springer Nature.

About Simba Information

Simba Information is widely recognized as the leading authority for market intelligence in the media and publishing industry. Simba's extensive information network delivers top quality, independent perspective on the people, events and alliances shaping the media and information industry. Simba publishes newsletters and research reports that provide key decision-makers at more than 15,000 client companies around the globe with timely news, analysis, exclusive statistics and proprietary industry forecasts. For more information, please visit http://www.simbainformation.com or call 888-29-SIMBA.

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Dan Strempel

dstrempel@simbainformation.com

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Simba Information: Social Science, Humanities Publishing Fell on COVID-19 Disruption - Herald-Mail Media

Mullen-Johnson: Being heard and understood are vital in relationships – Birmingham Times

By Crystal Mullen-Johnson

Validation is the acknowledgment of your feelings, thoughts and behaviors by receiving verbal or nonverbal feedback. Its essentially experienced by being understood, heard, and accepted. Being heard and understood is vitally important in relationships. Its likely you will experience positive emotions that reassures you are valuable and accepted.

Lets explore 2 types of validation:

Internal Validation

Internal validation occurs when you recognize your potential and you feel confident. It is likely your self-esteem will flourish when you adopt healthy thoughts, recognize your self-worth and believe in your abilities. Internal validation is not motivated by others perception of you. You validate self by setting personal goals and achieving them. Your belief in self is positive and you learn healthy ways to affirm yourself when challenges arise.

External Validation

On the other hand, external validation can occur when you are complimented or acknowledged by others. For example, you may remember a time when you received external validation. Imagine your boss complimenting your work performance publicly by offering bonuses or a new luxury vehicle and then publishing your accomplishments in the local newspaper; you would be ecstatic. Your interpretation of self would be positive because you were validated by your boss; you would likely share your accomplishments with family and friends. Of course, you would expect them to validate you, why not, it makes you feel good.

However, external validation isnt always positive. Some use social media for validation to reassure self. Most likely when you feel unworthy you may desire acknowledgment and the need to be accepted by others. This type of negative attention can cause rejection and humiliation if your emotional needs are unfulfilled. To be frank, social media provides the most toxic outlet for external validation. If your feelings arent justified, or ignored, you may experience sadness, worry, and anger.

Why is Validation Important?

Validation is important because it motivates human behavior, fosters relationships and makes us feel good about self. It is built around feeling accepted by others and the value of feeling that you belong. Belongingness is a primary psychological need that promotes personal growth and relationship development. It is important to be surrounded with people that love, support and nurture your self-esteem.

Create a Healthy Balance of Validation:

Create a healthy balance by developing a healthy self-esteem and start living a happier life.

Remember the 4Rs to nurture your self-esteem:

Read positive quotes, mantras, and affirmations.

Recognize your potential and face your fears.

Realize your self-worth and adopt healthy thoughts of self.

Replace needing others validation with your own self-appraisal.

When you properly use validation to develop great confidence; when you recognize you already have all you need to love self; when you search deep within by exploring yourself through self-love and self-compassion, you will experience a level of happiness and contentment you never thought existed. And you can get there through adopting healthy validation practices.

Strive to appreciate how special you are, eliminate self-doubt, and embrace your uniqueness.

Ms. Crystal Mullen-Johnson is a Licensed Clinical Social Worker (LICSW-PIP) and a Registered Play Therapist in Birmingham, AL with more than 16 years of experience in providing counseling. Strive Counseling Services is a private practice located in downtown Birmingham that offers therapeutic mental health services to children (play therapy), adolescents, and adults. Strive offers evidence-based therapeutic modalities such as Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (CBT).Contact us at (205) 721-9893 or http://www.strivebhm.com to inquire about Telehealth Services.

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Mullen-Johnson: Being heard and understood are vital in relationships - Birmingham Times

Projection shows Iowa COVID-19 deaths slowing – The Gazette

The Institute for Health Metrics & Evaluation, based at the University of Washington, predicts Iowa COVID-19 infections and deaths will continue to taper through June 1.

By May 1, COVID-19 will have led to the deaths of 5,911 Iowans and 2.4 Iowans will be dying each day, the institute estimates.

The total death toll will increase to 5,960 by June 1, according to the projection, but the pace slows to less than one death per day. The institute estimates use of intensive care beds at Iowa hospitals will fall to 7.1 beds needed May 1 and 2.89 beds June 1.

The institute estimates total infections per day including people not tested at 846 for March 8, but down to 172 on May 1 and 65 on June 1.

The major caveat for these predictions is human behavior.

The institute projects worst-case scenario numbers that reflect the spread of COVID-19 variants, increased mobility of the population and declining mask use. Under these projections, infection rates are more than double the standard prediction and more Iowans die from the disease.

The institute also has projections for 95 percent public mask use in the state, which show fewer infections, hospitalizations and deaths. However, Iowas unlikely to experience that level of mask use, especially as more Iowans are vaccinated and people grow weary of the restrictions.

The institute, which previously was cited by White House coronavirus advisers, predicted in March 2020 that Iowa would reach what then sounded like an astounding 777 deaths by early August. Iowa actually hit that mark earlier than predicted, on July 16.

If you believe local news is essential, especially during this crisis, please subscribe. Your subscription will support news resources to cover the impact of the pandemic on our local communities.

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Projection shows Iowa COVID-19 deaths slowing - The Gazette

It’s time to wake up, take action | Business – Southernminn.com

OPINIONCynicism runs rampant in our society and has very dangerous consequences. There are some indisputable facts that we all live with. For instance we age every day, the earth revolves around the sun and we have 365 days in a year. We all experience this so there shouldnt be a debate.

So why are there doubts about climate change? We experience more extreme-weather events more often than ever before. We see it and we feel it. Those changes affect our lives in many ways and raise questions about our future.

Wis. Gov. Tony Evers recently appointed me to the Climate Change Task Force to replace recently retired Wis. Sen. Mark Miller, D-16-Monona. The Task Force is comprised of farmers, business leaders, conservationists, tribal leaders and a bipartisan group of state legislators. Since 2019 the Task Force has learned how climate change is impacting Wisconsin. From personal experience and what Ive learned so far from the Task Force, its clear were heading further down a dangerous road if we dont act quickly and boldly enough on the impending climate crisis.

Many can point to the news of the California wildfires or the freezing temperatures in Texas as examples of climate change. But there is an accelerating pattern of extreme-weather events happening here in Wisconsin that calls on us to realize how serious we should be taking climate change.

Flooding, for example, has become much-more frequent and destructive in western Wisconsin in recent years. Higher groundwater levels are a result of our climates increasing temperatures. Increasing temperatures in addition to increased rainfall contribute to those flooding disasters. Scientists expect temperatures to become warmer and rainfall events to increase, which will only make flooding more common and more severe in our rural communities.

Extreme-weather events caused by climate change have significant economic and public-health implications. In the past 20 years weather disasters cost Wisconsin $100 billion in damages. According to the Wisconsin Hazard Mitigation, theres an estimated $40 billion worth of Wisconsin homes and businesses within a 100-year floodplain. Floods are known to ruin farmer livelihoods, displace families and create significant public-safety hazards.

Floods are the deadliest natural disaster in the United States. Floods also pose dangerous long-term health repercussions. Floods carry contaminated groundwater from nearby Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations and expose households to mold contamination, which can lead to upper-respiratory infections.

Were seeing climate change in our own backyard and yet many refuse to believe this reality. I believe those who perpetuate the climate change is a hoax myth are motivated by profit, especially the very-wealthy fossil-fuel-energy corporations. They fear losing billions if we move toward making responsible and sustainable energy decisions.

It reminds me of the way the tobacco industry paid their own researchers to lie about the fact that their products were killing people. It took decades for scientists and doctors to finally convince people that tobacco companies were lying about purposely adding addictive and carcinogenic ingredients just so they could become rich.

What could be the possible motive of climate-research scientists who warn us about climate change? It isnt profit. Our public universities, like the University of Wisconsin, house the foremost research facilities and experts in the world. Their motivations are purely professional and driven by science in their discipline. Whether they prove or disprove a theory doesnt change their wealth or status in society. Theyre motivated to make our world a better place.

According to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration theres consensus among scientists that climate change is the result of human behavior. Humans are responsible for deforestation and burning fossil fuels at an alarming rate, which have increased carbon-dioxide levels and made our planet warmer.

Humans have caused much of the problem but were able to find solutions. It starts with admitting our problem and being accountable. Then its up to us to do our part. We must set aside the short-term need for profit and embrace the long-term need for survival.

Jeff Smith of Brunswick represents the 31st District of Wisconsin as a member of the Democratic Party.

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It's time to wake up, take action | Business - Southernminn.com

Nature takes root on the balance sheet | Greenbiz – GreenBiz

ESG issues continue to gain prominence, with climate change getting the most attention today. We see customers demanding action on carbon emissions, investment firms structuring new green products and governments developing regulations to support the transition to a sustainable future. This has led to a strong focus on two main sectors: energy and transportation.

Of course, moving to renewable energy wherever possible and reducing emissions across cars, shipping and aerospace are important initiatives. If the focus remains narrow, however, all other patterns of consumption will stay the same. This will have a tremendous impact on nature that, in turn, will affect businesses and the global economy.

As with climate-related risks, nature-related risks need to be better understood and acted upon. The World Economic Forum analyzed 163 industry sectors and their supply chains and found over half of the worlds GDP is moderately or highly dependent on nature and its services. Highly dependent industries generate 15 percent of global GDP ($13 trillion), while moderately dependent ones generate 37 percent ($31 trillion). Despite this reliance, human behavior continues to push species into extinction, reduce the worlds acreage of forests and deplete the water supply.

The Financial Stability Board recognized that climate change presents a financial risk to the global economy. By creating the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD), a framework is in place for organizations to better understand and report on these risks. This increased awareness is helping companies make more informed strategic decisions, while also providing better access to capital by increasing investors and lenders confidence that a companys climate-related risks are being appropriately assessed and managed.

The TCFD provides a framework to help understand and report on nature-related risk, but only in climate terms. Its framework excludes areas such as plastics in the oceanic food chain and the loss of soil fertility. In response, a Task Force on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (TNFD) will be launched in 2021 to operate alongside the TCFD. The aim is to translate nature-related risks into financial terms and help redirect flows of finance towards nature-positive activities.

Over half of the worlds GDP is moderately or highly dependent on nature and its services.

Valuing the economic benefits of nature is a complicated undertaking, but some firms have been taking steps to tackle the challenge. Puma, a leading sports lifestyle company, believes that businesses should account for and ultimately pay for the cost to nature of doing business. It recognizes that these costs could hit the financial bottom line as a result of new government policies, environmental activism, consumer demand or a growing scarcity of raw materials.

Back in 2011, the company worked with Trucost to develop an environmental profit and loss (EP&L) account to help measure and manage environmental impacts across its operations and supply chain. An extension to this analysis helped assess the environmental impacts of a product at each stage of its lifecycle, from the generation of raw materials and production processes all the way to the consumer phase when the owner uses, washes, dries, irons and ultimately disposes of a product. The work helped Puma realize the value of natures services, without which it could not sustain its operations.

The Dow Chemical Company is another example of a company that is taking action. Its 2025 sustainability goals include one for valuing nature, which is a commitment to consider nature in all business decisions. The valuing-nature goal builds on work that began in 2011 in partnership with The Nature Conservancy.

Scientists, engineers and economists from both organizations have worked together to create tools to assess the various services that nature provides to Dows operations and the community, including water, land, air, oceans and a variety of plant and animal life. But much more is needed. While certain steps are being taken, it is important to ask what really has been accomplished to date.

According to a 2020 report by the World Wildlife Fund, nature is worth $125 trillion, but humanitys increasingly destructive behavior is having catastrophic impacts. The report points out that human activities have caused the worlds wildlife populations to plummet by more than two-thirds in the last 50 years. In addition, marine ecosystems have been negatively affected through overfishing and pollution, and deforestation is increasing the abundance of carbon dioxide in the air.

Without question, nature is an even bigger issue than climate change. After all, climate change accelerates as nature is harmed.

As the TNFD is launched, more information should become available to better understand the monetary value of nature. Once nature firmly takes root on the balance sheet, more companies likely will make investments that will help heal the natural ecosystem and preserve the worlds wealth.

Excerpt from:
Nature takes root on the balance sheet | Greenbiz - GreenBiz

Getting to Know: A Q&A with Ripon College professor and now U.S. citizen Henrik Schatzinger – Ripon Commonwealth Press

Ripon College Professor Henrik Schatzinger stands outside of Ripon Colleges East Hall after officially becoming a U.S. citizen. Hes taught at Ripon since 2009.

Ripon College congratulated Henrik Schatzinger last week Thursday on social media for officially becoming a U.S. citizen.

The associate professor of politics and government and co-director of the Center for Politics and the People joined the faculty at Ripon College in 2009.

Before gaining his U.S. citizenship, Schatzinger experienced a 20-year journey in which he filled out a lot of paperwork that included multiple visas.

In a Facebook post by Ripon College, he thanked the people who helped him at various stages in the process. Schatzinger now has U.S., German, and Finnish citizenship, but hes all about America right now.

The Commonwealth recently caught up with Schatzinger for a Q&A about his path toward citizenship.

Heres the conversation:

Q. According to Ripon College, you have U.S., German and Finnish citizenship. What country are you originally from?

A. I grew up right next to Kiel, Germany, on the southwestern shore of the Baltic Sea. Kiel is about an hour north of Hamburg. Kiel is known for high-tech shipbuilding, its maritime centers, its university, the largest sailing event in the world known as Kiel Week and the Kiel Canal, the busiest artificial waterway in the world. By the way, Wisconsins Kiel got its name from one of the settlers families who came from Kiel, Germany, and named it after their German hometown. I also have Finnish citizenship because my mother is from Finland and we applied for my Finnish citizenship when I was a child. I had to show my ties to Germany and Finland in order to keep these citizenships.

Q. What was it like in Germany?

A. I always loved living close to the water. There are wonderful walkways around the Kiel Fjord where people are allowed to rollerblade/inline skate, and that was one of my favorite activities as a college student. I often did that in the evening when the cruise ships from around the world arrived or left. The ships blew their horns and happy people were waving at us. I always enjoyed that and it never got old. I also loved the fact that we had great beaches nearby where I hung out with friends.

Q. What brought you to the United States and when did you come?

A. I already wanted to come to the United States as a high school student because I was fascinated by American music, sports, the countrys diversity and economic success, and the sheer size of the country and its tremendous geographic variety. It was too expensive for my family to make it possible for me to go at the time, but I was lucky enough that as a graduate student at the University of Kiel, I received a full scholarship for an exchange program at the University of Kansas (KU), along with a Fulbright grant. That allowed me to come here. After my first year at KU, I transferred into their masters program in political science and finished that degree.

Q. What brought you to Ripon?

A. After [graduating from] the University of Kansas, I worked as a legislative assistant in the German Parliament, the Bundestag, but I knew I wanted to come back to the United States as soon as possible. So I did my Ph.D. at the University of Georgia and worked then at the Campaign Finance Institute in Washington D.C., a small, nonpartisan think tank. But I always enjoyed teaching and applied for jobs around the country. I had my first interview at Ripon College for the position of assistant professor of politics and government and I was extremely lucky to receive an offer. Marty Farrell, back then the department chair of politics and government, and the whole community were incredibly welcoming.

Q. What do you like about the United States and, specifically, Ripon?

A. My enthusiasm for the United States is as great as it ever was. I generally appreciate Americans optimism, individualism and self-reliance, openness to ideas and entrepreneurial spirit. Also, I like the elbow room America offers because of its geographic size. Germany is roughly the size of New Mexico, with over 82 million people. Its a little cramped for me. Ripon is special because of its people: a lot of people care deeply about keeping the city vibrant, welcoming and charming, and I think they are succeeding in their efforts. Also, we have a lot of high-quality businesses for such a small city, ranging from downtown stores to bars and restaurants, to commercial powerhouses such as Alliance Laundry. Let me also note that having a high-quality newspaper in town that informs citizens about what is happening in town is really important for keeping the republic alive: ask cities that have lost their daily or weekly local papers and you will hear about the problems when they were suddenly confronted with a dearth of information.

Ripon College congratulated Henrik Schatzinger last week Thursday on social media for officially becoming a U.S. citizen.

Q. What ways could America and Ripon improve?

A. I teach American politics and government, so I am not telling you anything new when I say that political ideology has become a form of mega-identity through which people see the world. I believe the rise in political polarization over the last decades has deep-rooted causes: for example, economic and demographic changes that have come rather fast and that will continue to do so. Change is hard, and it has brought difficulties that are real and painful for many families, and those challenges have contributed to a rise in income and wealth inequalities. So the general challenge that I see for Ripon and the country as a whole is to resist finger pointing, but to work constructively together to meet those challenges and honor the founders motto: e pluribus unum, out of many, one.

Q. In your role as the co-director of the Center for Politics and the People, you help to bring discussions of current events and world issues to a rural community. Why is that important to you and what do you enjoy about it?

A. I like to look at all political issues from all angles without resorting to emotionally charged language, and thats what the Center for Politics and the People at Ripon College allows me to do. We invite people from all walks of life to have open discussions about issues that interest and affect people in our community. There is just too much tribal rhetoric out there that divides people. I think what we need is more analysis, cool-headedness and pragmatism. Not everything is automatically bad because it comes from the other side.

Q. What do you enjoy about being an associate professor of politics at Ripon College?

A. What I enjoy about working at Ripon College is closely working with students in the classroom, but also outside the classroom when it comes to trying to help with internships, career preparation, and guiding my own research internships. I also think Ripon Colleges work environment is very collegial and supportive. I have the opportunity to teach a lot of different classes from media and politics to interest group politics and that makes it a lot of fun. What I specifically enjoy about studying American politics is the fact that there is so much data that allows us to test hypotheses about political processes and political behavior, which in turn allows us to learn a lot about the state of American politics and government. I study human behavior in a political context. That also means that politicians are not all that different from the rest of us. They respond to incentives, and how they act is often a rational outcome given the environment in which they operate.

Q. How did you get into the world of academia and how is it rewarding?

A. I got into academia because I get to ... teach students and conduct original research. Last year, my colleague Steve Martin and I published a book titled Game Changers: How Dark Money and Super PACs are Transforming U.S. Campaigns, and I am now working on a new book that focuses on outside money in local elections. I love teaching because it allows me to share my passion for politics, and I enjoy research because it is intellectually challenging and stimulating, and forces me to stay on top of the developments in my field.

Q. You had a 20-year journey to citizenship and said that you had to fill out a lot of paperwork. Could you describe your journey?

A. I think the path to U.S. citizenship is more difficult and takes much longer than many realize. I went through three different visa categories, optional practical training, got a green card through my employer and visited various embassies to get to this point. The paperwork is not the biggest problem, it is the long wait times in between that can weigh on you psychologically. I also remember that in 2002, a year after I had been in the United States, I needed to suddenly demonstrate that I had access to $40,000 in liquid cash in case of an emergency. I was lucky that my godfather was willing to vouch for me at that point and that he was able to offer the necessary documentation. I dont know what I would have done otherwise. Broadly speaking, the last major congressional immigration reform bill passed in 1990, and a lot has changed in 31 years. I believe that the time for major immigration reform has come.

Q. What did it feel like to finally get U.S. citizenship?

A. I feel joy and pride, and have a new sense of belonging and responsibility. The legal ramifications do not go beyond voting and jury duty, but the bigger change for me is a new sense of emotional attachment to the United States.

Q. Do you have any final thoughts or anything else youd like to share?

A. A lot of people have helped along the way, both in Germany and here in the United States, and I am deeply grateful for all that support. It took a village to get to the point of citizenship and I will never forget all those who have assisted me on my journey.

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Getting to Know: A Q&A with Ripon College professor and now U.S. citizen Henrik Schatzinger - Ripon Commonwealth Press