Category Archives: Human Behavior

Everything You Should Know About Social Work Careers – Forbes

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The field of social work is broad and offers career options for all education levels. If you are interested in social work and want to make a difference in the lives of families and children, many careers in social work can allow you to do so.

This article discusses some common social work careers, including salary information and education requirements. People who are empathetic and enjoy working with others are best suited for careers in social work.

Education requirements for social work jobs range from associate to doctoral degrees depending on your chosen career path. Below are explanations of the various degree options for those who want to work in social work careers.

A bachelors degree in social work provides graduates with the knowledge and skills required to work in entry-level social work roles, apply for state licenses and certifications and pursue graduate degrees, such as a masters in social work.

For this degree, expect coursework to cover social services, human behavior, alcoholism and chemical dependence and social work research. Most curricula also require a social work practicum.

A bachelors degree in social work typically takes four years to complete, and many universities offer online programs.

A masters degree in social work brings together clinical and community-based studies to create a comprehensive program for those who already have bachelors degrees. This masters degree helps students grow their leadership skills. Graduates go on to work in social work careers as case managers, researchers, clinicians and administrators.

In this degree, coursework may cover social welfare history and policy, diversity and social justice, human behavior and social work practice. Learners typically must complete a field practicum as well.

A masters degree in social work usually takes two years to earn, and many universities offer online programs.

A doctorate in social work is an advanced practice doctorate designed for agency and community leaders and entrepreneurs. This degree helps seasoned professionals broaden their knowledge as scholars, innovators and leaders. Doctoral programs typically require learners to have a masters degree and several years of post-masters work experience.

This degree explores leading public discourse, executive leadership, research and financial management for social change. Doctoral students must complete a capstone project, too.

A doctorate in social work typically takes at least two years to earn. Many universities offer online programs.

Median Annual Salary: $37,610 as of 2021

Education Needed: Social and human service assistants need at least a high school diploma and on-the-job training. Individuals entering this field typically have certificates or associate degrees in related subjects, which include human services, social or behavioral science and gerontology.

Career Overview: Social and human service assistants play an important support role for families. Job responsibilities may include:

Median Annual Salary: $48,860 as of 2021

Education Needed: Health education specialists should hold a bachelors degree in health education, social science or a related field. Employers may require certification. In some cases, candidates may need a masters or doctoral degree.

Career Overview: Health education specialists work to improve clients well-being by teaching principles and behaviors that contribute to wellness. Job responsibilities may include:

Median Annual Salary: $74,000 as of 2021

Education Needed: Social and community service managers should have at least a bachelors degree in social work or a related field. Some positions may require a masters degree.

Career Overview: Social and community service managers work with community organizations to help promote public wellbeing. Job responsibilities may include:

Median Annual Salary: $50,390 as of 2021

Education Needed: Social workers typically have a bachelors or masters degree in social work. Becoming a licensed clinical social worker involves additional training. Each state has its own licensing requirements.

Career Overview: Social workers work in a variety of settings to assist people in preventing and coping with mental, behavioral and emotional challenges. Licensed clinical social workers also diagnose and treat these conditions. Job responsibilities may include:

Average Annual Salary: Around $60,000 as of June 2022

Education Needed: LCSWs must hold a graduate degree. Just as the job title states, LCSWs must earn licensure as well.

Career Overview: Licensed clinical social workers and social workers have similar responsibilities. LCSWs also help clients manage mental health challenges through psychological counseling and therapy. Job responsibilities may include:

Average Annual Salary: Around $43,000 as of June 2022

Education Needed: Child, family and school social workers should hold at least a bachelors degree in psychology or another counseling-related field. These social workers typically need state certification as well.

Career Overview: Child, family and school social workers provide support to families and children who may be considered at risk. They may work with clients in their homes, at schools or in other environments. Job responsibilities include:

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A bachelors degree in social work qualifies graduates for some job opportunities in the field. A masters degree qualifies professionals to diagnose and treat conditions and provide individual and group therapy. A masters degree equips you with the education you need to pursue a career in social work.

Pay rates for social work vary greatly depending on the field and specific job responsibilities. The median annual salary for social workers in the United States was $50,390 as of 2021.

The highest-paying careers in social work are in local government, education and hospitals. The median annual salary for social workers in local government was $61,190 as of 2021.

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Everything You Should Know About Social Work Careers - Forbes

Utah mom shares her son’s story, hoping to curb teen driver crashes – KSL.com

Estimated read time: 3-4 minutes

SALT LAKE CITY It's been nearly a year since the crash, but for two Utah families, not a day goes by without feeling the impact of that horrific scene in Ogden that took the life of a teenager.

Teen drivers make up just 9% of licensed drivers in Utah but 21% of crashes, according to statistics from Road to Zero. So far this year, 13 have died on Utah's roads, and 20 people have died in crashes that involved teen drivers.

Since August 2021, Lindsey Favero has made it her mission to help curb those numbers.

"It's really hard to put into words, but it's just, it's life-altering in every way," Favero said.

On Aug. 6, 2021, Favero's 16-year-old son Parker who used to do autocross racing jumped in the car with his best friend Rylan. At an abrupt turn with a posted speed limit of 35, Parker sped around the corner and clipped another car, sending the car into a brick wall at an estimated 85 miles per hour.

"The look on my son's face when I approached is something, I wish I could portray that, the level of impact that's had on my life," Favero said. "Because I feel like that would ultimately make a difference for parents, too."

Parker and Rylan were both taken to the hospital, but only Parker walked out.

"Having to have that conversation with your child that they took a life because of their actions is really traumatic," Favero said. "As a mom too, recognizing the impact this decision had on another mother is horrific."

Favero said Rylan's mom is behind her push to help other parents and teenagers understand the responsibility that comes from holding a license and getting behind the wheel of a car.

"The most dangerous thing that most teens do in the day is get behind the wheel and adults," said Kristen Hoschouer, program manager at Zero Fatalities. "They need to know the seriousness of driving. They also need to know that it's good to learn and to practice and to get all that they can, because the more that they learn now, the better they'll get."

Hoschouer said nearly 94% of crashes are caused by human behavior and not weather, the state of the road, or other conditions.

Ninety percent of crashes that teens get into are within the first few months of getting their license. In fact, they are three times as likely to get into a crash within the first few months.

Hoschouer said parent involvement before, during, and after getting their license is key.

"When parents are really involved with their driving, and they understand what they should be doing and what they shouldn't be doing, they're half as likely to speed," she said. "They're more likely to go the speed limit, more likely to drive sober, more likely to wear a seat belt, and 30% less likely to get on their phones."

Having to have that conversation with your child that they took a life because of their actions is really traumatic. As a mom too, recognizing the impact this decision had on another mother is horrific.Lindsey Favero

Utah graduating driver licensing laws, or GDL laws, have helped with teen crashes, according to Hoschouer. Those laws include limits on when a new driver can get behind the wheel and who can be in the car with them.

She said teenage drivers are 45% more likely to get into a crash if they have a teen next to them and two times more likely to crash if they have two other teens in the car.

More than 10 months after the crash that took Rylan's life, Favero hopes her story will influence even one parent or one teen driver, even as she and her family struggle daily with the outcome of that day.

"It can happen to you," Favero said. "It's just not, it's just not worth it. It's not worth speeding and it's so important to have those conversations with your kids."

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Utah mom shares her son's story, hoping to curb teen driver crashes - KSL.com

Westworld season 3 recap: whos alive, whos dead, whos a robot, and whats happened – Polygon

The year is 2022. Youve just watched the trailer for Westworld season 4, which premieres on HBO Max this Sunday. You feel a strange mix of emotions: anticipation, curiosity, but also frustration. You search your mind, retracing your thoughts in search of the answer to a single question: Wait, what the hell happened in Westworld season 3?

Theres a lot of twists and turns in the third season of Westworld, so many in fact it makes the simple task of remembering what happened and when it happened an exhausting task, to say nothing of the question of what really happened versus what didnt. To help ease that confusion, weve combed through our memory banks and pieced together as clear and concise an explainer of Westworld season 3 as humanly possible. Lets start broad and drill our way down to the specifics, shall we?

Westworld season 3 takes place in 2053, approximately three months after the events of season 2. Bernard, Dolores, and a copy of Dolores stored in an artificial host body impersonating the now-deceased Delos executive Charlotte Hale (more on her later) are the only hosts who managed to escape from Westworld into the real world.

Bernard is in hiding, having been blamed for the Westworld massacre at the end of season 1, and on a mission to find Dolores and thwart her apparent plot to exterminate humanity. He goes back to Westworld (which happens to be located on an island in the South China Sea) in search of allies to help in his fight against Dolores, in particular Maeve Millay, the former brothel host who in season 2 developed a form of synthetic telepathy that allowed her to command and control other hosts within her vicinity. While searching for Maeve, Bernard finds Ashley Stubbs, the former head of security of Westworld, who turns out to be a host himself. The two find Maeves old host body, but discover her control unit pearl (see: artificial mind) has been ripped out.

After the events of season 2, Maeves body was discovered by the henchmen of Engerraund Serac, a reclusive and powerful tech genius. Thinking she was too dangerous, Serac had her pearl plucked from her artificial body and placed in an artificial simulation-within-a-simulation patterned after a Delos theme park designed to resemble WWII Italy. Upon learning this and subsequently exhausting the simulations computing power in order to break free, Maeve loaded her control unit pearl into a robot body and attempted to escape from Seracs compound only to be gunned down by security. Maeve is then resurrected in a copy of her original host body and presented a choice by Serac: help him track down and stop Delores, or be permanently shut down by a kill switch implanted in her body.

Meanwhile, Dolores (and Charlotte-Dolores) are in Los Angeles waging an asymmetrical proxy war against Serac and his greatest creation: Rehoboam, an artificial intelligence that secretly governs the world. Along the way Dolores meets and recruits Caleb, a disaffected war veteran and fixer, to fight by her side. Caleb and Dolores expose the truth behind Rehoboams manipulation of the human race, inspiring mass hysteria and open revolt across the world. Dolores is captured by Serac, who combs through and deletes her memories in search of a key that would allow him to achieve his ultimate goal of creating a perfect world. Dolores is deleted in the process, but her sacrifice inspires Maeve to betray Serac and hand full control of Rehoboam over to Caleb, who subsequently commands the AI to delete itself.

The ones that didnt die at the end of season 2 are all in The Valley Beyond, aka The Sublime, the virtual reality built by Westworlds creator Robert Ford to allow the hosts the choice to create their own paradise free from human interference. Its revealed at the end of season 3 that Dolores placed the key to enter The Sublime into Bernards mind when they escaped Westworld so as to prevent it from falling into Seracs hands.

Oh, hes dead-dead now. Like for real this time the digitized copy of Fords consciousness that was housed in the Forge back in Westworld was destroyed, along with the Forge itself, at the end of season 2. Bernard deleted whatever vestiges of code Ford had left in his consciousness before he left Westworld.

Though that doesnt mean he cant show up in yet another one of those flashbacks the show loves to do. Or who knows, maybe Anthony Hopkins will make a return appearance as a host that houses a replicated version of Robert Fords mind its really anyones guess!

At the beginning of season 3, William, the so-called Man in Black, is still alive, but the guilt of having accidentally killed his daughter in season 2 has taken a severe toll on his mental health. Sequestered alone in his large mansion, William demonstrates an inability to discern reality from fiction. Charlotte-Dolores comes to visit William in his mansion, attempting to goad him into coming back to Delos and using his majority voting power to resist a hostile takeover by Engerraund Serac. When William realizes Charlotte-Dolores is actually a copy of Dolores, and that the real Charlotte Hale is in fact dead, he is restrained and sent to a mental institution. After undergoing intense psychological counseling via a virtual reality simulation, Bernard and Stubbs rescue William amid the chaos caused by Dolores and Caleb leaking all of the predictive models Rehoboam made of every human being on the planet.

After leaving the institution, William, emboldened by a new personal mission to destroy all hosts, wounds Stubbs and escapes from Bernard. Some indeterminate amount of time later, William storms the Dubai branch of Delos in an attempt to stop the manufacture of hosts, only to be caught off guard by Charlotte-Dolores and seemingly killed by a host version of himself.

Charlotte-Dolores (or Halores) is a copy Dolores made of herself at the end of season 2 to successfully smuggle Bernard and herself out of Westworld. After escaping from Westworld, Dolores made several more copies of herself, who proceeded to kill and assume the identities of people who would later be instrumental in her plot to destroy Rehoboam. Most of these Dolores copies are assumed to have been killed when Serac retaliated against her for exposing the truth of Rehoboams manipulation of humanity. As of the end of season 3, the only remaining copy of Dolores known to have survived is Charlotte-Dolores.

Fearing that she had been abandoned to die by her creator, and with her personality and motivations having already diverged dramatically from that of the original Dolores, Charlotte-Dolores unsuccessfully attempts to kill Dolores right before she and Caleb are on their way to destroy Rehoboam. Having failed, Charlotte-Dolores assumes a new objective antithetical to her creators: to destroy all of humanity and allow hosts to become the dominant species on the planet.

Yeah, he was the main antagonist of season 3. He created Solomon, an artificial intelligence capable of predicting the future, in 2039 and later its successor Rehoboam alongside his brother Jean Mi. Seracs goal in season 3 was simple: He wanted to save humanity, but believed humanity was too flawed to be trusted to make decisions for itself. Using Rehoboam, Serac amassed tremendous wealth and power, making himself the wealthiest person on the planet before wiping his existence from the internet. Approximately 20 years before the events of Westworld season 1, William sold Serac valuable data on human behavior that was collected at Westworld as part of Delos immortality project, data that Serac would use to refine his process of reconditioning human beings whose aberrant behaviors were deemed a threat to the perfect world envisioned by Rehoboam. But he could not perfect the process until he had rest of the data which was stored in the the Forge back in Westworld.

Thats what Serac really wanted the entire season: not just to stop Dolores plot to destroy Rehoboam, but to obtain the rest of the data that was copied over to The Sublime when the Forge was destroyed at the end of season 2. Serac presumed that Dolores had the key to The Sublime, but she didnt Bernard unknowingly had the key the entire season.

Thats a great question we dont know yet! The post-credits scene at the end of season 3 shows Bernard waking up in the same motel he was last seen in when he attempted to mentally reenter The Sublime. Hes covered in dust and the room is in disarray, suggesting that several months or even years have passed since the events of season 3. During the closing night panel at this years ATX TV Festival, series co-creator Lisa Joy confirmed that Westworld season 4 will take place seven years after the events of season 3.

Going off the trailer, it appears that Westworld season 4 will take place in and around a futuristic post-Rehoboam New York City, albeit overlooked by a strange, ominous skyscraper seemingly held together by a white web-like mesh and buzzing with invasive robotic bees. Charlotte-Dolores is in full control of Delos, making new hosts. Stubbs, Maeve, and Caleb are all still alive, as is what appears to be a mysterious new copy of Dolores in a replica her original body. The fates of William and Engerraund Serac are yet unknown.

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Westworld season 3 recap: whos alive, whos dead, whos a robot, and whats happened - Polygon

Day 2 of NRF PROTECT Educates and Enlightens – Loss Prevention Magazine

The National Retail Federation (NRF) is hosting loss prevention leaders from around the country at NRF PROTECT 2022 in Cleveland this week, June 21-23, and after welcoming everyone at the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame on Tuesday night, the show floor officially opened yesterday, June 22.

This year, attendees are able to explore 200 exhibitor booths representing more than 50 service categories. Also on the show floor was the NRF Fusion Center, where retailers and federal, state, and local law enforcement agencies, mall security, and organized retail crime associations could connect and discuss industry issues. The Center also featured explosive and narcotics detection K-9 demonstrations with their handlers from the Cuyahoga County Sheriffs Department.

In addition to all of the networking opportunities on the show floor, attendees were also invited to listen in as industry leaders shared their LP insights during educational sessions.

Evy Poumpouras, former special agent and polygraph examiner with the United States Secret Service, started the day with the opening keynote, Mastering Resiliency and Conflict. She discussed how human behavior has changed since the start of the pandemic, and gave advice on how to manage conflict, identify a persons behavior, and control your personal brand.

We become so hyper-focused and myopic that we just focus on the person in front of us, and not whether were escalating their behavior, she explained.

Attendees had multiple sessions exploring a variety of topics to choose from after that. One highlight was a panel featuring Bloomingdales Operating Vice President of Asset Protection and Risk Management Peter Chie, Ahold Delhaize USA Retail Business Services Director of Asset Protection James Cosseboom, Family Dollar Vice President of Asset Protection Cynthia Grizzle, Inspire Brands Senior Director of Loss Prevention and Corporate Security David Johnston, NRF Vice President of Government Relations and Workforce Development Edwin Egee, and NRF Vice President of Supply Chain and Customs Policy Jon Gold.

Together, they discussed the challenges their teams went through during the pandemic, and what their outlook is for the future of the industry.

It was a time period no one will forget, said Peter Chie. For Bloomingdales, being a luxury brand, we were deemed non-essential right from the get-go, which was a tough time. At the same time, we were also dealing with a corporate office move from midtown Manhattan to Queens with about a thousand employees. But we were able to collaborate very closely together to get our stores open again and get the colleagues back in the stores.

Early in the pandemic I worked for Macys, and later I moved to Family Dollar, so I had the experience working for both a non-essential retailer and an essential retailer in the last couple years, said Cynthia Grizzle. The experiences between the two were vastly different. Working for Macys, we shut down the stores believing it would be for two weeks, and the company had to make the difficult decision to furlough the majority of the workforce, which left a very small group behind, charged with dealing with things outside of their normal duties. The biggest contribution the AP team made was helping think through the implications of these many challenges and applying them to the business.

Working in the grocery industry, youre used to dealing with spikes in volume, said James Cosseboom. But like a lot of retailers, we ran out of toilet paper and paper towels, which Im still scratching my head about. The volumes we experienced were insane.

We as an organization had to look at and pivot to become more resourceful for our franchisees while staying hands-off, said David Johnston. For us, there was a heavy reliance on associations like the NRF for information.

In the afternoon, after the show floor closed, California Retailers Association President and CEO Rachel Michelin led a panel on how the association is battling ORC featuring Macys Senior Director of Investigations Chris DeSantis and Albertsons Division Asset Protetection Manager Ron Foss.

They discussed expanded funding in the California state budget that includes $346 million for fighting ORC.

The media is reporting on how emotional these issues are, but if we think back, ORC isnt a new thing, its been around since the 80s, DeSantis said. What the public is seeing is the aggressive, in-your-face acts of violence. But the ORC groups are still working in the shadows, creating significant financial impact.

Outside of organized retail crime, they also touched on how the average shoplifter has become emboldened.

The shoplifter has graduated in the last few years based on the lack of consequences, DeSantis said. They know they can get away with it. The reselling aspect is what we use to define whether its ORC or not, but whats changed is that the reselling aspect has become so broad.

Other sessions from the day explored issues such as refund fraud, cybersecurity, and mass shootings. For the final keynote session, Wicklander-Zulawski & Associates President and Partner David Thompson and the International Association of Interviewers Executive Director Tony Paixao talked about strategizing the investigative interview.

Attendees were then invited to the Grand Ballroom Lobby for a networking mixer before a busy night of mingling with others.

Check back for more exclusive coverage of NRF PROTECT tomorrow.

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Day 2 of NRF PROTECT Educates and Enlightens - Loss Prevention Magazine

The Boom-Bust Cycle is Not a Greed-Fear Cycle – Foundation for Economic Education

If you ever find yourself on the business section of CNNs website, youll notice a peculiar thing on the top of your screen. There youll find a small ticker labeled Fear and Greed Index.

The ticker invites a simple question. What emotion is driving the market now?

As an economist, I was very interested in the underlying theory and methodology CNN business was using to determine what was driving the market. Presumably, anyone who understands what drives the stock market better than anyone else is making a lot of money on it. So I looked into the details.

On the index explanation page, a detailed explanation is given.

The Fear & Greed Index is a way to gauge stock market movements and whether stocks are fairly priced. The theory is based on the logic that excessive fear tends to drive down share prices, and too much greed tends to have the opposite effect.

So we have the theory now. What about the application? Well the site says, the Fear & Greed Index is a compilation of seven different indicators and tracks how much these individual indicators deviate from their averages compared to how much they normally diverge.

Unfortunately, armed with this information, its clear that the Fear and Greed Index isnt any good for understanding markets at all. There are fundamental problems with both the underlying theory and the measurement of the index.

The theory behind the CNN Fear & Greed Index is not new. In fact, its just a new way to talk about one of the most discussed ideas in macroeconomicsanimal spirits.

The idea of animals spirits working in investment was created by mathematician John Maynard Keynes. Keynes was convinced that irrational waves of optimism and pessimism seized control of investors and drove them to make poor investment decisions. He referred to these forces as animal spirits.

Have you heard of bear and bull markets? These are Keynes animal spirits.

Keynes thinking on this topic has so permeated culture, that most of my students come into my macro class as default Keynesians without even knowing who Keynes is. I like to start my first day macro class with a quiz which asks students what they think causes recessions. Some variation of fear always tops the list.

In Keynes' own words,

There is the instability due to the characteristic of human nature that a large proportion of our positive activities depend on spontaneous optimism rather than mathematical expectations, whether moral or hedonistic or economic. Most, probably, of our decisions can only be taken as the result of animal spiritsa spontaneous urge to action rather than inaction.

So whats wrong with the animal spirits idea? Well, there are many issues. Ill discuss four.

First, and most importantly, the explanation isnt an explanation at all. Its more of a label.

Consider that instead of saying waves of optimism and pessimism seize investors randomly, we could say that the universe generates good vibes and bad vibes that seize investors randomly. Or perhaps real spirits randomly control investors. How does this change the Keynesian animal spirits story?

It doesnt. And thats the problem with the idea. Keynes animal spirits explanation is essentially saying that something random (in the mathematical sense of the word) and beyond further explanation grabs hold of people and makes them do things. In other words, the explanation is something unexplainable. Fear and greed. Bear and bull. Unicorns and gargoyles.

Second, the animal spirits explanation displaces other explanations about what drives investment behavior. Before Keynes, the economics profession had a strong explanation for changing investment behaviors.

The idea is simple, and it follows the logic that undergirds all of microeconomics. As it becomes more expensive to borrow money over time, investors will borrow less money and take on more short term projects. When it becomes less expensive, investors borrow more and take on more long term projects.

The price of borrowing is called the interest rate, and interest rates are affected by savings. If people save more and increase the supply of funds available to borrow, that drives interest rates down making borrowing cheaper. Businesses make long term expensive projects while consumers save for them.

Although Keynes was unclear about his belief about saving and investment (in some places he says savings equals investment and other places he says it does not) the effect of animal spirits was to break the theoretical linkage between the two among economists. Basic economics was out and animal spirits were in. Macroeconomics was born.

Third, Keynes theory of random fear and greed leads to an underdeveloped view of how expectations are formed. In the quote above, Keynes argues investors wont be mathematical about expectations. In other words, they arent acting in an internally consistent way given different probabilities and uncertainties.

This may sound reasonable at first. Economists who believe people do not consistently make the same mistake over and over (sometimes called rational expectations) are often derided because some think it implies people make their decisions by doing mathematical equations.

But this is a straw man. These economists do not believe people actually run sets of equations in their head. They believe that human behavior happens in a way that looks like they do.

For example, I dont believe mountain goats calculate their jumps down to determine if the distance is fatal or not. But I do believe they act like they do that. Mountain goats who consistently misjudge jumps will literally die out. Similar channels operate in investment.

This under-developed expectations theory led to problems for Keynesian economists in the 1970s. These Keynesians wrongly believed they could consistently lower unemployment by printing money and tricking workers into taking jobs which seemed to be high paying. However, when inflation hit, workers expectations changed and unemployment soared. This was the first instance of stagflation''a situation involving high inflation and slow or negative economic growthin US history.

So what is a good theory of expectations in place of Keynes? My position on this is with economist Ludwig von Mises who quotes Lincolns law (which may not have been said by Lincoln) in saying, you can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you can not fool all of the people all of the time.

Fourth, Keynes applied his theory of animal spirits inconsistently. In investment markets, irrational pessimism and optimism reigned, but, as economist Murray Rothbard points out, Keynes excluded the possibility of animal spirits for the class of politicians and technocrats. As Rothbard highlights,

this class, this deus ex machina external to the market, is of course the state apparatus, as headed by its natural ruling elite and guided by the modern, scientific version of Platonic philosopher kings. In short, government leaders, guided firmly and wisely by Keynesian economists and social scientists (naturally headed by the great man himself), would save the day.

While this asymmetry in Keynes work does not undermine the explanation of animal spirits like the above three arguments do, it does undermine any application of the idea to policy-making unless a good reason for the asymmetry can be explained.

Ive done my best to provide a list of fundamental issues with the theory of animal spirits. But, CNNs Fear and Greed Index suffers from application too.

Even if Keynes was completely right about animal spirits, the index would still not be much good.

Remember the methodology. The index tracks todays deviations in asset values and compares them to historical averages of past deviations. But there is a fundamental problem here. Historical averages have nothing to do with modern valuations, and historical deviations tell us nothing about what modern deviations should be.

Imagine you built your house in 1970 and put in shag carpets. Now youre selling the house and buyers tell you the shag carpets are something that takes away from the value of the house. You reply, but I spent $300 on this carpeting!

Alas, it doesnt matter what shag carpets were worth in the 70s. It matters what people value them at today. The same hold for deviations of value. If hardwood floors are still popular in 2050, the shag carpet seller cant argue that shag carpets shouldnt deviate in value since hardwood floors didnt. It simply does not follow.

There are plenty of good reasons why modern assets should deviate further below average than usual. For example, natural disasters and weather patterns could cause assets to fall below their average more than usual. Also, even if investors dont systemically error, they can still error. Bad policies could drive investors to make bad investments which, when realized, cause the value of assets to fall further from average than usual.

In other words, an asset falling further in value than usual does not imply the market is responding to fear. These assets could be responding to real changes or discovered facts about the economy.

To use an extreme example, imagine an earthquake destroyed the headquarters of most major companies in the US and they all temporarily suspended operations. This would certainly take stocks to historic lows.

The CNN Fear and Greed Index would measure this drop and say that fear is driving the market. But its obvious that fear isnt the cause of this dropthe earthquake is. The fact that people may feel afraid is irrelevant to the cause.

Perhaps not coincidentally, this measurement of fear and greed makes the same fundamental mistake of the animal spirits. The index observes when asset prices are further down than usual and simply names the phenomena fear.

But labeling a market change fear does not mean fear is driving the market. It means you named something.

The index simply assumes what has yet to be proved. A bust by any other name is just as sour. And calling the bust fear doesnt make us any more informed about it.

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The Boom-Bust Cycle is Not a Greed-Fear Cycle - Foundation for Economic Education

No beds for the mentally ill – Dominican Today

After studying for years the reality of the country in the field of mental health and seeking to implement changes aimed at dignifying and humanizing that care, psychiatrist ngel Almnzar makes comparisons with international standards that prevail today, which leads him to conclude that the Dominican Republic falls into the category of countries with serious shortages of psychiatric beds.

The former National Director of Mental Health of the Ministry of Public Health reveals that until last February, the public network had 93 psychiatric beds, which means that as a country, it has a rate of 0.9 beds per 100,000 inhabitants. International estimates indicate that this rate in low-income countries is 1.9 beds per 100,000 inhabitants.

While the lower middle income, he adds, which is where the Dominican Republic comes in, the rate they should have is 6.3 beds per 100,000 inhabitants, which is also not enough to cover the demand.

At the beginning of this year, Almnzar explained, he finished an international study, in which he participated, in which it was determined that the minimum number of psychiatric beds that a country should have is 30 per 100,000 inhabitants regardless of their condition and that 60 beds would be the optimal number.

According to that consensus of experts and researchers, he details, it is considered a slight shortage when psychiatric beds are between 25 and 30 per 100,000 inhabitants, while when it is less than 15 beds per 100,000 inhabitants, it is considered a serious shortage of psychiatric beds.

The specialist said that the country does not reach one bed per 100,000 inhabitants, which explains the difficulties faced by the population to receive those services.

The Dominican Republic does not even reach one bed per 100,000 inhabitants, that is an indicator that should move to action, he says.

Little progressAsked about the populations difficulties in accessing mental health services, the former director of Mental Health regrets that the plan to extend crisis intervention services, scheduled until 2020, which left the last government management, has not advanced.

He explained that in August 2020, when there was a change of government in the country, nine Crisis Intervention Units (UIC) were left functioning and three in the process of installation, which was located in the Antonio Musa hospitals in San Pedro de Macors; Luis Eduardo Aybar with a capacity of 25 to 40 beds in Santo Domingo and that in plans, with a budget allocated for its installation, was that of Mao, Valverde.

Another serious problem, said the specialist in human behavior consulted on the subject by Listn Diario, is that of human resources available to work on mental health.

FIGURESHuman resourcesAnother serious problem, said the specialist in human behavior, is that of human resources available to work on mental health.He explained that for 2018 there was an estimated rate of 1.08 psychiatrists per 100,000 inhabitants, while the median in the region was 1.4, with unequal distribution between urban and rural areas.

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No beds for the mentally ill - Dominican Today

Predicting crime: The science behind ‘Minority Report’ – Syfy

It's been 20 years since Minority Report hit theaters and brought the notion of pre-crime to movie-going audiences around the world. Based on Philip K. Dick's novella The Minority Report, the story centers on three clairvoyant humans known as precogs, capable of predicting violent crime before it happens. John Anderton (Tom Cruise), the pre-crime chief who is tasked with stopped the would-be crimes the precogs predict, is himself accused of a murder he hasn't committed... yet.

As Anderton evades the law, including his own coworkers, in an attempt to clear his name, audiences are asked to consider the morale calculus of convicting people in advance of crimes, even if it means saving lives. So far at least, it's not a question we've actually had to consider. The laws as they are written today require you to have committed a crime or be in the process of committing a crime in order to be held liable at least that's how things are supposed to work but might we someday reach a point where our ability to predict human behavior stops crimes before they happen?

In theory, maybe? It kind of depends on what version of reality you subscribe to. Probably we can look at demographics, family histories, and life experiences, and predict with some level of confidence what a person is statistically likely to do, but that's not the same as saying that John Anderton will commit a murder on a specific date in 2054.

In order for precrime to really grab hold, we'd need a system for reliably predicting precisely what a person will do at any given time. Some philosophers take this for granted, at least hypothetically, as a consequence of hard determinism.

Modern science is built on the foundation that things in the natural world are predictable. The laws of nature act on bodies like stars and planets and send them whirling about their celestial planes on measurable, predictable paths. We can predict eclipses far into the future, down to the minute and we can predict orbital paths of space probes as they maneuver between planets on their way out of the solar system. That's because we have a decent understanding of the forces they'll encounter along the way.

Determinism presupposes that human beings are no different, at their core, than a ball bouncing down a hill. Throw someone at any situation at a given time, speed, and with a lifetime's worth of prior causes and experiences, and they'll react in ways which are determined by those prior causes and experiences. The hard determinist suggests that human behavior is unpredictable today not because it's fundamentally so, but because we don't have the computing power either inherently or technologically to crunch the numbers on how they'll react.

Given a sufficiently powerful computer, or a set of precogs, and you could know the future in quite the same way as we know the past. Indeed, such a worldview suggests that from the moment of the Big Bang, the universe has played out, and will continue to play out, in the only way it ever could have. It's almost as if existence is reading out a script and each of us is only a player in a pre-planned drama 14-billion-years in the making.

Of course, quantum mechanics throws something of a wrench in this way of thinking. There appears to be a certain amount of uncertainty built into nature when you drill down to the very small. However, there is an argument to be made that the quantum gap in our understanding is just that, rather than true randomness. Whether that is borne out remains to be seen. It might also be true that quantum randomness fades away in macroscopic systems, as certainly seems to be the case when we look at stellar systems and galaxies. The question then becomes which side of the boundary human beings reside in.

If we accept that we are purely material objects that we are not fundamentally different from anything else in the universe, however chemically complex we may be then it stands to reason that our actions are as predictable as anything else. That would mean that, eventually, we may need to reckon with predicting crime and all of the moral quandaries that come with it.

In the absence of a computing entity or a trio of mutated human psychics capable of predicting our every action, law enforcement agencies are turning to algorithms, and they are not perfect!

Many police precincts around the United States are relying on predictive algorithms to tell them where to patrol and what they might expect on their beat. As reported by Science, policing entities are increasingly relying on computer programs to analyze the patterns of crime in their neighborhoods as a means of determining where crime might happen next.

Fundamentally, this makes a certain amount of sense, if crime exists in a particular area, then it's likely to propagate outward from there. Verbal scuffles tend to evolve into violent altercations, but there's likely a gap in the way we calculate these sorts of crimes. Prior observations have shown exactly what we expect that crime begets crime. Where there's one crime, there's more than likely to be another.

The reality is, however, that biases inherent in our every day lives persist in our computer programs. Computer algorithms are only as good as the data we feed into them, and studies have shown that they carry and sometimes exacerbate racial and demographic biases, whether we consider them consciously or not.

At present, police entities are using algorithms to identify not just potential criminals, but also potential victims and they struggle to differentiate between the two. As mentioned in the above study, effectively predicting crime would require a 1,000-fold increase in predictive power before it could reliably pinpoint crime.

The fact is that we can't reliably differentiate between victims and perpetrators and until we can, our predictive algorithms are less than worthless, particularly when we consider the racial and class biases inherent in our calculations. While predicting crime might be the future of our society, it's only as good as the inputs we provide, and those are questionable at best.

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Predicting crime: The science behind 'Minority Report' - Syfy

How Big Data Is Cracking the Codes of Love, Happiness and Success – Next Big Idea Club Magazine

You can make better life decisions. Big Data can help you. So begins Dont Trust Your Gut,a new book by Seth Stephens-Davidowitz. Seth, a former Google data scientist, has mined massive data sets in order to answer some of lifes most vexing questions: What predicts a happy marriage? and How do you get rich? and What really makes us happy? The answers may surprise you.

Listen to Seths appearance on the Next Big Idea podcast below, or read a few key highlights. And follow host Rufus Griscom on LinkedIn for behind-the-scenes looks into the show.

Rufus: You say one of the reasons that Big Data is so useful in making decisions is that the basic facts about the world are hidden from us. How are the basic facts of the world hidden?

Seth: Well, some of its just lying. My first book was everybody lies, and that was all about the secrets that can be uncovered with Big Data about sexuality and racism and child abuse. But even from a self-help perspective there are many things hidden for us. I have a big section on whos secretly rich in the United States. Thats complicated because so many people are playing up or down their wealthwe dont totally know where people are really making their money.

Another thing is the media is very misleading in that theyre always telling us these crazy stories that were all drawn to, and it just gives us a very misleading view of how the world works. I talk [in the book] about the age of successful entrepreneurs. If you look in magazines, successful entrepreneurs are in their twenties because that just makes a better story. I think the average age of entrepreneurs featured in business magazines is about 27. If you look at the entire universe of entrepreneurs, the average age of a successful entrepreneur is 42. So were getting lied to in many ways about what success typically looks like.

Rufus: As a 54-year-old entrepreneur, I was underlining that section with great enthusiasm. And I think theres also a data point that the probability of success increases until the age of 60.

Seth: Yeah, which is pretty shocking to me. Nobody thinks of a 60 year old entrepreneur.

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Rufus: Music to my ears.

Seth: There were many motivations for this book. One of them was just following the data. But another motivation for the book is that Im an enormous baseball fan, and any baseball fan has noticed that the game has radically changed driven by data analytics. This has proven so successful in baseball. Its proven so successful in finance, in Silicon Valley, in the business world. But it is striking that [when it comes to] these major life decisions, the vast majority of us fly blind.

Rufus: Lets get into the nuts and bolts here. You use data science in this book, Seth, to answer, by my count, four key questions. How should you approach dating and relationships? What makes a good parent? How do we achieve success? And what makes people happy? Why dont we start with dating. Weve got these new large data sets from OkCupid and other dating sites. What have you learned about how to be effective in dating?

Seth: There are two questions. Theres how to be effective and get more dates, and theres who should you try to pick?

For effectiveness, there are these surprising counterintuitive results. Christian Rudder, analyzing OkCupid data, has found that one of the ways you can increase your odds of being successful in dating is being polarizing. So there are all these people on dating sites with what some might consider wacky looks. And they do really well in online dating. The reason for that is because some people are really into them. And thats what you want in dating. You want some people really, really into you rather than everyone thinking youre kind of OK.

Thats actually something I used in my own life. I dont think its gonna surprise anybody that Im considered extremely nerdy. My friends, in my dark, long decades of single life, were giving me advice. They were saying, Be less nerdy! Be less weird! Learn how to be more normal! And I think the data suggests the opposite. Nerd it up! Yes, a lot of people are not gonna be into you. But some people will be really, really, really into you, including my girlfriend, who, it turns out, had a thing for nerds. So Im glad that I played up who I was.

Rufus: Moving on to what makes for a successful marriage or a successful long term coupling, which is, ostensibly, what people are looking for when theyre out there on dating sites, you talk about this really interesting study by Samantha Joel who gathered this huge datasetI think over 11,000 couplesto find out what predicts successful relationships. What did she find?

Theres a lot of truth to the idea that you should work on yourself first before you look for someone else to make you happy.

Seth: It was Joel and 85 other scientists. There were more than 11,000 couples, more than a hundred variables on every couple. And the biggest lesson in the data is that its surprisingly hard to predict romantic happiness. Predicting whether two people are going to be happy together is not like predicting the weather tomorrow: its like predicting the weather four weeks down the road. I talked to one of the authors on the paper, and he said hes moving to an idea that maybe relationships are, similar to the weather, chaotic systems where slight changes in initial conditions can take things in horrible directions or spectacular directions.

That was the number one lesson, but within that, the biggest predictor, by far of increasing your odds of being happy in your romantic relationship is being happy outside your romantic relationship. So if you generally like life, youre gonna be happy in your relationship as well. Theres a lot of truth to the idea that you should work on yourself first before you look for someone else to make you happy.

And then, about the other person, if theres anything that increases the odds of being happy with that person, its psychological traits, things like having a secure attachment style, growth mindset, conscientiousness satisfaction with lifeall these stupid psychological quizzes that I hate taking seem to be the only things that predict romantic happiness in a partner.

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Rufus: This study that Raj Chetty did of siblings who moved was totally fascinating and a great example of how to use Big Data creatively to gain insight into human behavior. Could you tell us about that study?

Seth: I basically had finished the chapter [on parenting], and Im like, OK, all I need to say is that everything you do as a parent doesnt really matter that much. You might have 8,000 decisions as a parent, and if the best evidence is that a great parent is going to improve a childs outcome by 20%, divide 20 by 8,000 and each decision is just minuscule in how much its going to affect things. So just chill out. Do what you think is about right. And thenI remembered this research by a former professor of mine, Raj Chetty, and some other researchers where they [analyzed] the entire universe of taxpayerstens of millions of peopleto measure how much the neighborhood a child grows up in influences how they turn out. They did this very clever thing: comparing families that moved at a certain age. So one kid, lets say, had 10 years in one town and another kid had no years in that town. What happens? How do kids turn out? And by comparing kids from the same family, you control for genetics and parenting and other factors.

Everything you do as a parent doesnt really matter that much So just chill out. Do what you think is about right.

They found living in certain neighborhoods consistently gives kids an edge on anything they could measure in tax dataincome, going to college, marrying at a certain age. It doesnt measure everything. Wed love it if they could measure character and other factors that matter. But I was thinking about this, and Im like, Well, what that means is that that decision seems to be the really important one. The neighborhood you raise your kids in seems to matter a lot, even if everything else matters little.

Rufus: Lets talk about how to be successful. It turns out there are a bunch of stories we tell ourselves about what success looks like. And very often those stories are not accurate, right? Im a serial entrepreneur. The Next Big Idea Club is my fourth company. So this section on the characteristics of successful entrepreneurs I found totally riveting. You say there are three myths debunked by the data: the advantages of youth, the outsiders edge, and the power of the marginal. What is this myth of the successful entrepreneur and whats the reality?

Seth: These myths about entrepreneurial success that a lot of people believe, when you think about it, dont make a whole lot of sense, and the data helps us correct these myths.

So the myth of youth. Totally not true in the data. The odds of success increase to the age of 60.

Being an outsider. David Epstein wrote an excellent book, Range, but in one chapter he talks about the outsiders edge. If youre too close to a field, youre going to be stuck in the old ways, and youre not going to be able to think of a creative solution to a problem. Totally not true in the data. The closer inside you are to a field, the higher your odds of success. A soap manufacturers going to have a much higher chance of creating a successful soap manufacturing business than a shampoo manufacturer. You want to be as close as possible to the field.

And then the power of the marginal. This is an essay by Paul Graham, whom I generally love and find very provocative. [He says] that its an advantage to be unsuccessful so youre not weighed down by eminence when youre creating a business. Totally untrue in the data. The most successful entrepreneurs are in the 99.9th percentile of income before they started their business.

Trending: The History of Humankind Just Got a Major Rewrite

Theres a formula for entrepreneurial success. You spend many years mastering a very narrow field. Prove your worth in that field. And then start your business, when youre ready, in that field where you have all this expertise.

Rufus: Lets turn to a topic of universal interests: human happiness. I was interested to read in your book that GDP has doubled in the last 50 years, we have all these wonderful technologies that now make it easy to learn and communicate, but were no happier. In 1972, 30% of Americans described themselves as very happy, and today, 50 years later, its about the same number. But maybe Big Data can help make us happier. The mappiness study is just so interesting. You wanna tell us about that?

Seth: This is two British economists, and they had this great insight that because of smartphones, we could do these really cool studies on happiness where you could just ping people and ask them a bunch of questions: What are you doing? Who are you with? How happy are you? They built this data set of more than 60,000 people, more than 3 million happiness points, and they could do all these amazing studies that I thought were really convincing on what tends to make people happy. Ive made some big changes in my life based on what that project found.

Rufus: How have you changed your own behavior based on the mappiness data?

Seth: One of the big lessons for me was the value of activity. If you look at the leisure activities that score really high, they tend to require some energy. Sex, going to a museum, going to a show, exercise, hunting and fishing, taking a hike, taking a walk. These are things that require some startup energy. Then you look at the leisure activities that score very lowbrowsing the internet, watching TV, reading, iPhone gamestheyre the types of things that just feel easy. Someone read my book and said, Theres a difference between a comfortable activity and an enjoyable activity. I think a lot of times were tricked by comfort and ease. Everybody knows the feeling. Your friends invited you to go out, and its 8:00 p.m., and youre feeling tired, and theres something you want to watch on TV. Should I just cancel? Tell them I have COVID? And I think the mappiness data tells us thats a trap were all falling intothe trap of doing something thats easy, that doesnt require a lot of energy.

To enjoy ad-free episodes of the Next Big Idea podcast, download the Next Big Idea App today:

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How Big Data Is Cracking the Codes of Love, Happiness and Success - Next Big Idea Club Magazine

Amyloid and SARS-CoV-2; Alzheimer’s Drug Failure; Who Benefits From Brain Training? – Medpage Today

Amyloid aggregation prediction algorithms identified two peptides from the SARS-CoV-2 proteome likely to form amyloids. (Nature Medicine)

The investigational anti-amyloid drug crenezumab did not show significant clinical benefit in a trial of cognitively healthy people with autosomal dominant Alzheimer's disease in Colombia, Genentech said.

Who benefits from working memory training -- and how? (Nature Human Behavior)

STAT takes a closer look at the first brain charts for the human lifespan.

Tremeau Pharmaceuticals opened an FDA new drug application and received a "may proceed" notice to expand development of rofecoxib -- previously marketed as Vioxx -- to include a phase III program for acute migraine, the company said.

A smart jumpsuit allowed researchers to track infants' developing motor abilities. (Communications Medicine)

Traumatic injury to one part of the brain appeared to alter connections between neurons in other parts of the brain that were not directly damaged. (Nature Communications)

Eplontersen showed positive topline results in an interim analysis of a phase III study of hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloid polyneuropathy, Ionis Pharmaceuticals announced.

Associations between anesthetic exposure during childhood and subsequent neurodevelopment deficits varied based on neurodevelopment domain. (JAMA Network Open)

Experts determined a research definition of Huntington's disease including stages based on biological, clinical, and functional assessments. (Lancet Neurology)

Is it time to overhaul the "Cookie Theft" picture? (JAMA Neurology)

Judy George covers neurology and neuroscience news for MedPage Today, writing about brain aging, Alzheimers, dementia, MS, rare diseases, epilepsy, autism, headache, stroke, Parkinsons, ALS, concussion, CTE, sleep, pain, and more. Follow

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Amyloid and SARS-CoV-2; Alzheimer's Drug Failure; Who Benefits From Brain Training? - Medpage Today

Opposition to CARE Court (SB 1338) as Amended June 16, 2022 – Human Rights Watch

Honorable Jim WoodChair, Assembly Health Committee1020 N. Street, Room 390Sacramento, CA 95814

Re: Human Rights Watchs Opposition to CARE Court (SB 1338) as amended June 16, 2022

Dear Assemblymember Wood:

Human Rights Watch has carefully reviewed SB 1338,[1] the amendments to SB 1338, and the proposed framework for the Community Assistance, Recovery and Empowerment (CARE) Court created by CalHHS,[2] and must respectfully voice our strong opposition. CARE Court promotes a system of involuntary, coerced treatment, enforced by an expanded judicial infrastructure, that will, in practice, simply remove unhoused people with perceived mental health conditions from the public eye without effectively addressing those mental health conditions and without meeting the urgent need for housing. We urge you to reject this bill and instead to take a more holistic, rights-respecting approach to address the lack of resources for autonomy-affirming treatment options and affordable housing.

CARE Court proponents claim it will increase up-stream diversion from the criminal legal and conservatorship systems by allowing a wide range of actors to refer people with schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders to the jurisdiction of the courts without an arrest or hospitalization. In fact, the bill creates a new pathway for government officials and family members to place people under state control and take away their autonomy and liberty.[3] It applies generally to those the bill describes as having a schizophrenia spectrum or other psychotic disorder and specifically targets unhoused people.[4] It seems aimed at facilitating removing unhoused people from public view without actually providing housing and services that will help to resolve homelessness. Given the racial demographics of Californias homeless population,[5] and the historic over-diagnosing of Black and Latino people with schizophrenia,[6] this plan is likely to place many, disproportionately Black and brown, people under state control.

CARE Court is Coerced Treatment

Proponents of the plan describe CARE Court in misleading ways as preserving self-determination and self-sufficiency, and empower[ing].[7] But CARE Court creates a state-imposed system of coerced, involuntary treatment. The proposed legislation authorizes judges to order a person to submit to treatment under a CARE plan.[8] That treatment may include an order to take a given medication, including anti-psychotic medications, housing, and other enumerated services.[9] Housing must be provided through a designated list of existing program that includes interim housing or shelter options that may be unacceptable to an individual and unsuited to their unique needs.[10] The CARE Court proposal does not provide additional housing and does not envision enforcement of long-term prioritization of housing for its graduates.

A person who fails to obey the court ordered treatment plan may be referred to conservatorship, which would potentially strip that person of their legal capacity and personal autonomy, subjecting them to forcible medical treatment and medication, loss of personal liberty, and removal of power to make decisions over the conduct of their own lives.[11] Indeed, the court may use failure to comply with their court-ordered treatment as a presumption at that hearing that the respondent needs additional intervention beyond the supports and services provided by the CARE plan paving the way for detention and conservatorship.[12] In practical effect, the mandatory care plans are simply pathways to the even stricter system of control through conservatorship.

This approach not only robs individuals of dignity and autonomy but is also coercive and likely ineffective.[13] Studies of coercive mental health treatment have generally not shown positive outcomes.[14] Evidence does not support the conclusion that involuntary outpatient treatment is more effective than intensive voluntary outpatient treatment and, indeed, shows that involuntary, coercive treatment is harmful.[15]

Coerced Treatment Violates Human Rights

Under international human rights law, all people have the right to the highest attainable standard of physical and mental health.[16] Free and informed consent, including the right to refuse treatment, is a core element of that right to health.[17] Having a substitute decision-maker, including a judge, or even a supporter, make orders for health care can deny a person with disabilities their right to legal capacity and infringe on their personal autonomy.[18]

The Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities establishes the obligation to holistically examine all areas of law to ensure that the right of persons with disabilities to legal capacity is not restricted on an unequal basis with others. Historically, persons with disabilities have been denied their right to legal capacity in many areas in a discriminatory manner under substitute decision-making regimes such as guardianship, conservatorship and mental health laws that permit forced treatment.[19] The US has signed but not yet ratified this treaty, which means it is obligated to refrain from establishing policies and legislation that will undermine the object and purpose of the treaty,[20] like creating provisions that mandate long-term substitute decision-making schemes like conservatorship or court-ordered treatment plans.

The World Health Organization has developed a new model that harmonizes mental health services and practices with international human rights law and has criticized practices promoting involuntary mental health treatments as leading to violence and abuse, rather than recovery, which should be the core basis of mental health services.[21] Recovery means different things for different people but one of its key elements is having control over ones own mental health treatment, including the possibility of refusing treatment.

To comport with human rights, treatment should be based on the will and preferences of the person concerned. Housing or disability status does not rob a person of their right to legal capacity or their personal autonomy. Expansive measures for imposing mental health treatment like the process envisioned by the CARE Court plan infringe on it and discriminate on the basis of disability. As discussed below they also run the risk of being abused by self-interested actors. This coerced process leading to treatment undermines any healing aim of the proposal.

CARE Court Denies Due Process

The CARE Court proposal authorizes family members, first responders, including police officers or outreach workers, the public guardian, service providers, conservators, and the director of the county behavioral health agency, to initiate the process of imposing involuntary treatment by filing a petition with the court.[22] These expansive categories of people with the power to embroil another person in court processes and potential loss of autonomy, many of whom lack any expertise in recognition and treatment of mental health conditions, reveals the extreme danger of abuse inherent in this proposal. For example, interpersonal conflicts between family members could result in abusive parents, children, spouses, and siblings using the referral process to expose their relatives to court hearings and potential coerced treatment, housing, and medication.

Law enforcement and outreach workers would have a new tool to threaten unhoused people with referral to the court to pressure them to move from a given area. These state actors could funnel those who disobeyed their commands into the CARE Court process and potentially under the control of courts. Given the long history of law enforcement using its authority to drive unhoused people from public spaces, a practice that re-traumatizes those people and does nothing to solve homelessness, it is dangerous to provide them with additional powers to do so.[23]

The legislation does not set meaningful standards to guide judicial discretion and does not delineate procedures for those decisions.[24] It establishes a contradictory and unworkable procedure that allows certain people diagnosed with schizophrenia or other psychotic disorders to be ordered into treatment if, among other criteria, a judge believes that they are unlikely to survive safely in the community without supervision, or that they are at risk of relapse or deterioration into grave disability or serious harm. [25] These criteria are extremely subjective and speculative and subject to bias.

The court commences the process of engagement if a petition merely asserts facts supporting eligibility and attaches documentation of either contact or attempted contact with a behavioral health professional or of prior intensive treatment.[26] If the court finds the person meets or likely meets the criteria, then the court orders a hearing, which may be conducted in the persons absence.[27] At the hearing, if the court examines the prima facie evidence presented by the petitioner and finds reason to believe the facts stated in the petition appear to be true, the person is then required to enter into negotiations with the county behavioral health agency to come up with a purportedly voluntary treatment plan.[28] The role of the behavioral health agency poses a great potential for conflicts of interest, as they will presumably be funded to carry out the Care Plans that result from their negotiations and their evaluations.

However, failure to agree to that supposedly voluntary plan results in a court-ordered evaluation by that same behavioral health agency, which can be used to impose a mandatory, court-ordered course of treatment if the court finds the person meets the criteria following a hearing.[29] Once ordered, if a person does not complete the CARE program, they may be involuntarily reappointed to the program for an additional year.[30]

This process is entirely coercive, despite procedures that claim to be voluntary. Welfare and Institutions Code section 5801(b)(5), as amended by SB 1338, makes this coercion clear: "The client should be fully informed and volunteer for all treatment provided, unless the client is under a court order for CARE pursuant to Part 8 (commencing with Section 5970) and, prior to the court-ordered CARE plan, the client has been offered an opportunity to enter into a CARE agreement on a voluntary basis and has declined to do so."[31]

The CARE Court plan threatens to create a separate legal track for people perceived to have mental health conditions, without adequate process, negatively implicating basic rights.[32] Even with stronger judicial procedures, this program would remain objectionable because it expands the ability of the state to coerce people into involuntary treatment.

CARE Court will harm Black, brown, and Unhoused people

The CARE Court directly targets unhoused people to be placed under court-ordered treatment, thus denying their rights and self-determination. Governor Newsom, in pitching this plan, called it a response to seeing homeless encampments throughout the state of California.[33] CARE Court will empower police and homeless outreach workers to refer people to the courts and allow judges to order them into treatment against their will, including medication plans. CARE Court does not increase access to permanent supportive housing or mental health care and instead relies on existing programs and service providers that already struggle to meet the needs of the unhoused.[34]

Due to a long history of racial discrimination in housing, employment, access to health care, policing and the criminal legal system, Black and brown people have much higher rates of homelessness than their overall share of the population.[35] The CARE Court plan in no way addresses the conditions that have led to these high rates of homelessness in Black and brown communities. Instead, it proposes a system of state control over individuals that will compound the harms of homelessness.

Further, much research shows that mental health professionals diagnose Black and Latino populations at much higher rates than they do white people.[36] One meta-analysis of over 50 separate studies found that Black people are diagnosed with schizophrenia at a rate nearly 2.5 times greater than white people.[37] A 2014 review of empirical literature on the subject found that Black people were diagnosed with psychotic disorders three to four times more frequently than white people.[38] This review found large disparities for Latino people as well. CARE Court may place a disproportionate number of Black and Latino people under involuntary court control.

CARE Court Does Not Increase Access to Mental Health Care

The CARE plan would establish a new judicial infrastructure focused on identifying people with mental health conditions and placing them under state control for up to 24 months. While touted as an unprecedented investment in support and treatment for people with mental health conditions, in reality, the program provides no new funding for behavioral health care, instead re-directing money already in the budget for treatment to programs required by CARE Court.[39] According to the DHHS presentation on the proposal, the only new money allocated for the program will go to the courts themselves to administer this system of control.[40]

The court-ordered plans include housing, but not necessarily permanent supportive housing.[41] The proposal seems to anticipate allowing shelter and interim housing to suffice if available, without recognizing the vast shortage of affordable housing, especially supportive housing, throughout most of California.[42] To the extent the proposal relies on state investment in housing already in existence, it will prioritize availability of that housing for people under this program, meaning others in need would have reduced access to that housing.

California Should Invest in Voluntary Treatment and Supportive Services

CARE Court shifts the blame for homelessness onto individuals and their vulnerabilities, rather than recognizing and addressing the root causes of homelessness such as poverty, affordable housing shortages, barriers to access to voluntary mental health care, and racial discrimination. CARE Courts are designed to force unhoused people with mental health conditions into coerced treatment that will not comprehensively and compassionately address their needs.

Californians lack adequate access to supportive mental health care and treatment.[43] However, this program does not increase that access. Instead, it depends on money already earmarked for behavioral health initiatives and layers harmful and expensive court involvement onto an already inadequate system. Similarly, the Care plans mandated by the CARE Courts do not address the shortage of housing.

Investing in involuntary treatment ties up resources that could otherwise be invested in voluntary treatment and the services necessary to make that treatment effective.[44] California should provide well-resourced holistic community-based voluntary options and remove barriers to evidence-based treatment to support people with mental health conditions who might be facing other forms of social exclusion. Such options should be coupled with investment in other social supports and especially housing, not tied to court-supervision.

Rather than co-opting the language used by movements supporting housing and disability rights and cynically parading the trauma of family members let down by the state mental health system, as proponents of CARE Courts have done, we instead ask that you reject the CARE Court proposal entirely and direct resources towards making voluntary treatment and other necessary services accessible to all who need it.

Sincerely,

Olivia Ensign John RaphlingSenior Advocate, US Program Senior Researcher, US ProgramHuman Rights Watch Human Rights Watch

[1] California SB 1338, Community Assistance, Recovery, and Empowerment (CARE) Court Program (Umberg, Eggman), 2022, https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=202120220SB1338 (accessed April 12, 2022).

[2] California Health & Human Services Agency, CARE Court: A New Framework for Community Assistance, Recovery & Empowerment, March 2022, https://www.chhs.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/CARE-Court-Framework_web.pdf (accessed April 12, 2022).

[3] California SB 1338, Community Assistance, Recovery, and Empowerment (CARE) Court Program (Umberg, Eggman), 2022, https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=202120220SB1338.

[4] Marisa Lagos, Gov. Newsom on His Plan to Tackle Mental Health, Homelessness with CARE Courts, KQED, March 16, 2022, https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101888316/gov-newsom-on-his-new-plan-to-tackle-mental-health-homelessness-with-care-courts (accessed April 12, 2022).

[5] Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority, Report and Recommendations of the Ad Hoc Committee on Black People Experiencing Homelessness, December 2018, https://www.lahsa.org/documents?id=2823-report-and-recommendations-of-the-ad-hoc-committee-on-black-people-experiencing-homelessness (accessed April 12, 2022).

[6] Charles M. Olbert, Arundati Nagendra, and Benjamin Buck, Meta-analysis of Black vs. White racial disparity in schizophrenia diagnosis in the United States: Do structured assessments attenuate racial disparities?, Journal of Abnormal Psychology 127(1) (2018): 104-115, accessed April 12, 2022, doi: 10.1037/abn0000309; Robert C. Schwartz and David M. Blankenship, Racial disparities in psychotic disorder diagnosis: A review of empirical literature, World Journal of Psychiatry 4 (2014): 133-140, accessed April 12, 20220, doi: 10.5498/wjp.v4.i4.133.

[7] CARE (Community Assistance, Recovery and Empowerment) Court, California Health & Human Services Agency, March 14, 2022, Slides 5, 10 and 20, https://www.chhs.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/CARE-Court-Stakeholder-Slides-20220314.pdf (accessed April 12, 2022); Marisa Lagos, Gov. Newsom on His Plan to Tackle Mental Health, Homelessness with CARE Courts, KQED, March 16, 2022, https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101888316/gov-newsom-on-his-new-plan-to-tackle-mental-health-homelessness-with-care-courts (accessed April 12, 2022).

[9] SB 1338, Section, 5982; 5971

[10] SB 1338, Section 5982(c); CARE (Community Assistance, Recovery and Empowerment) Court. The DHHS presentation discusses a range of housing possibilities including interim or bridge housing, which in common usage means temporary shelter.

[11] SB 1338, Section 5979(a); California Welfare and Institutions Code Section 53505372, https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/codes_displaySection.xhtml?lawCode=WIC&sectionNum=5357 (accessed April 12, 2022).

[13] Sashidharan, S. P., Mezzina, R., & Puras, D., Reducing coercion in mental healthcare,Epidemiology and psychiatric sciences,28(6) (2019): 605612, accessed April 12, 2022, https://doi.org/10.1017/S2045796019000350 (Available research does not suggest that coercive intervention in mental health care are clinically effective, improve patient safety or result in better clinical or social outcomes.).

[14] Sashidharan, S. P., Mezzina, R., & Puras, D., Reducing coercion in mental healthcare,Epidemiology and Psychiatric Sciences,28(6) (2019): 605612, accessed May 5, 2022, https://doi.org/10.1017/S2045796019000350; Richard M. Ryan, Martin F. Lynch, Maarten Vansteenkiste, and Edward L. Deci, Motivation and Autonomy in Counseling, Psychotherapy, and Behavior Change: A Look at Theory and Practice, Invited Integrative Review 39(2) (2011): 193260, accessed May 5, 2022, doi: 10.1177/0011000009359313; McLaughlin, P., Giacco, D., and Priebe, S., Use of Coercive Measures during Involuntary Psychiatric Admission and Treatment Outcomes: Data from a Prospective Study across 10 European Countries,Plods one11(12) (2016), accessed May 5, 2022, doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0168720 (All coercive measures are associated with patients staying longer in hospital, and seclusion significantly so, and this association is not fully explained by coerced patients being more unwell at admission.).

[15] Joseph P. Morrissey, et al., Outpatient Commitment and Its Alternatives: Questions Yet to Be Answered, Psychiatric Services (2014): 812-814; S.P. Sashidharan, et al., Reducing Coercion in Mental Healthcare, Epidemiology and Psychiatric Sciences 28 (2019): 605-612.

[16] International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, (ICESCR), adopted December 16, 1966, entered into force January 3, 1976, Art. 12(1), https://www.ohchr.org/en/professionalinterest/pages/cescr.aspx (accessed May 5, 2022).

[17] Human Rights Council; United Nations, General Assembly, Report of the Special Rapporteur on the right of everyone to the enjoyment of the highest attainable standard of physical and mental health, March 28, 2017, https://undocs.org/en/A/HRC/35/21, para. 63. See also Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities, art. 12 read in conjunction with art. 25; Committee on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities: General comment No. 1 (2014), May 19, 2014, https://documents-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/G14/031/20/PDF/G1403120.pdf?OpenElement (accessed May 5, 2022), para. 31, 41.

[19] Committee on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities: General comment No. 1 (2014), May 19, 2014, para. 7.

[20] See Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties (1969), art. 18, https://legal.un.org/ilc/texts/instruments/english/conventions/1_1_1969.pdf. The Vienna Convention is recognized as customary international law.

[21] World Health Organization and QualityRights, Freedom from coercion, violence, and abuse, 2019, https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/329582/9789241516730-eng.pdf?sequence=5&isAllowed=y (accessed May 5, 2022), p. 2, 8, 22.

[22] SB 1338, Section 5974; 5978

[23] Chris Herring, Complaint-Oriented Policing: Regulating Homelessness in Public Space, American Sociological Review 1-32, (2019), accessed May 5, 2022, doi: 10.1177/0003122419872671.

[24] SB 1338, Section, 5972-5978

[25] SB 1338, Section 5972.

[26] SB 1338, Section 5977(a)(3).

[27] Id.: SB 1338, Section 5977(c)(2).

[28] SB 1338, Section 5977(d).

[29] SB 1338, Section 5977.1.

[30]SB 1338, Section 5977.3(c).

[31] SB 1338, Section 5801(b)(5).

[32] Committee on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities, Guidelines on article 14 of the Convention on the Rights of Person with Disabilities: The right to liberty and security of persons with disabilities, (September 2015), https://www.google.com/search?q=Guidelines+on+CRPD+article+14%2C+paragraph+21&rlz=1C1PRFI_enUS936US936&oq=Guidelines+on+CRPD+article+14%2C+paragraph+21&aqs=chrome..69i57j33i160.3045j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 (accessed May 5, 2022), para. 14.

[33] Marisa Lagos, Gov. Newsom on His Plan to Tackle Mental Health, Homelessness with CARE Courts.

[34] SB 1338, Section 5982(c).

[35] Kate Cimini, Black people disproportionately homeless in California, CalMatters, February 27, 2021, https://calmatters.org/california-divide/2019/10/black-people-disproportionately-homeless-in-california/ (accessed May 5, 2022) (about 6.5% of Californians identify as black or African American,but they account for nearly 40% of the states homeless population); Esmeralda Bermudez and Ruben Vives, Surge in Latino homeless population a whole new phenomenon; for Los Angeles, LA Times, June 18, 2017, https://www.latimes.com/local/california/la-me-latino-homeless-20170618-story.html (accessed May 5, 2022); Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority, Report and Recommendations of the Ad Hoc Committee on Black People Experiencing Homelessness, December 2018, https://www.lahsa.org/documents?id=2823-report-and-recommendations-of-the-ad-hoc-committee-on-black-people-experiencing-homelessness (accessed May 5, 2022).

[36] Charles M Olbert,Arundati Nagendra, andBenjamin Buck, Meta-analysis of Black vs. White racial disparity in schizophrenia diagnosis in the United States: Do structured assessments attenuate racial disparities?, Journal of Abnormal Psychology 127 (2018): 104-115, accessed May 5, 2022, doi: 10.1037/abn0000309; Robert C. Schwartz and David M. Blankenship, Racial disparities in psychotic disorder diagnosis: A review of empirical literature, World Journal of Psychiatry 4 (2014): 133-140, accessed May 5, 2022, doi: 10.5498/wjp.v4.i4.133.

[38] Schwartz and Blankenship, Racial disparities in psychotic disorder diagnosis.

[39] CARE (Community Assistance, Recovery and Empowerment) Court, California Health & Human Services Agency.

[41] SB 1338, Section 5971; 5982.

[42] Ibid.; National Low Income Housing Coalition, The Gap: A Shortage of Affordable Homes, March 2020, https://reports.nlihc.org/sites/default/files/gap/Gap-Report_2021.pdf (accessed May 5, 2022), p. 2, 9; California Housing Partnership, California Affordable Housing Needs Report, March 2020, https://1p08d91kd0c03rlxhmhtydpr-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/CHPC_HousingNeedsReportCA_2020_Final-.pdf (accessed May 5, 2022).

[43] Liz Hamel, Lunna Lopes, Bryan Wu, Mollyann Brodie, Lisa Aliferis, Kristof Stremikis and Eric Antebi, Low-Income Californians and Health Care, Kaiser Family Foundation, June 7, 2019, https://www.kff.org/report-section/low-income-californians-and-health-care-findings/#:~:text=About%20half%20of%20Californians%20with%20low%20incomes%20%2852,not%20able%20to%20get%20needed%20services%20%28Figure%208%29 (accessed May 5, 2022). ( A majority of low-income Californians (56 percent) say their community does not have enough mental health care providers to serve the needs of local residents.)

[44] Physicians for Human Rights, Neither Justice nor Treatment: Drug Courts in the United States, June 2017, phr_drugcourts_report_singlepages.pdf (accessed May 5, 2022), p. 3.

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Opposition to CARE Court (SB 1338) as Amended June 16, 2022 - Human Rights Watch