Category Archives: Human Behavior

Jonathan T. Fluharty-Jaidee – The Conversation US

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Jonathan Fluharty's research interests lie in incentives and behavior within the field traditionally known as corporate finance. His work focuses closely in CEO compensation and the examination of the incentives contracts provide to CEOs with respect to risk-taking and investment policies. Dr. Fluharty also conducts research in mergers and acquisitions (M&A), dividend theory, and market microstructure, where he investigates trader behavior. Lastly, he finds studies engaging gender, sexuality, and culture at the cross section of human behavior and firm characteristics to be an intriguing sub-field.

Fluharty has taught courses in introductory corporate finance, personal finance, real estate, financial markets and institutions, international finance and advanced corporate finance, as well as introductory and intermediate accounting. Jonathan currently serves as a Teaching Assistant Professor (TAP) in finance and is the the finance department's Assistant Chair.

EducationPh.D. Finance, West Virginia University, 2018M.S. Finance, West Virginia University, 2013B.S. Accounting, West Virginia University, 2012B.A. English--Professional Writing and Editing, West Virginia University, 2012

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Jonathan T. Fluharty-Jaidee - The Conversation US

Sorry, Elon, fighter pilots will fly and fight for a long time – DefenseNews.com

In a room packed full of U.S. Air Force personnel this past week, SpaceX founder Elon Musk issued a bold pronouncement: The fighter jet era has passed. ... Locally autonomous drone warfare is where its at, where the future will be. The reaction in the room was immediate a collective pause.

News headlines around the world highlighted this pronouncement, and online debates erupted. While Musk certainly succeeded in being provocative, his forecast is less than accurate. Despite impressive gains in autonomous technology, manned fighter aircraft will continue to provide the underpinnings of the air superiority mission for decades into the future.

To put it simply, fighter aviation is one of the most demanding professions in the world. Only a small percentage of individuals can successfully master years worth of training and graduate to an operational fighter squadron. Even then it takes years of additional experience in a fighter cockpit to be competent. Nor does the quest stop there, with experienced fighter pilots having to train on a near-daily basis to maintain their skills.

The reason for this is simple: Qualified fighter pilots must be able to master highly aggressive, three-dimensional maneuvering at rates exceeding twice the speed of sound in a highly dynamic battlespace, operate highly sophisticated mission equipment, and face adversaries doing everything in their power to kill them. Success means doing it all over the next day. Failure generally equals death or capture.

Contrast that with the present state of artificial intelligence in a far simpler scenario. Musks self-driving cars operate in two dimensions, with predictable traffic laws, and understood human behavior. At the end of 2019, three Tesla cars using their autopilot feature crashed. One ran a red light, and the collision resulted in the death of two people. Another hit a parked firetruck with fatal results, and the third hit a police car on a highway. This is not to minimize the accomplishments of self-driving technology. However, it is prudent to point out that the potential of near-term and midterm autonomy should not be conflated with science fiction-like objectives.

It is far more productive to explore the real impact autonomy is having on military aviation. It excels where mission parameters are well-understood, unknowns are minimized and rules are followed. That is why the Air Force has been using autonomous reconnaissance aircraft like the RQ-4 Global Hawk to facilitate intelligence missions around the world. They follow a programmed mission track and return home safe with near certainty.

Forms of autonomy are already resident in fighters like the F-22 and F-35 to assist the pilot with a host of onboard functions. Autonomous aircraft will eventually join manned combat aircraft as mission partners a concept referred to as manned-unmanned teaming. Tests over the last few years have advanced key aspects of this promising technology. However, this is a far cry from autonomously executing a twisting, turning knife-edge dogfight. Trusting in an autonomous system to determine friend from foe and deploy lethal force without human approval is far from prudent. It is important to recognize that drones, like the MQ-1 Predator and MQ-9 Reaper, are remotely piloted, with humans handling the flying and weapons employment they are not terminator-like killing robots.

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In considering this issue, it is crucial to understand that air superiority the mission that fighter aircraft execute is literally one of the most important combat capabilities a nation can possess. Britains Royal Air Force fighter pilots literally saved their nation during the 1940 Battle of Britain. Conversely, a nation that cannot defend its skies against enemy attack cannot survive consider Germany in 1945 or Iraq in 1991. Nor are ships at sea, soldiers on the ground, space and cyber facilities, or support aircraft able to last without fighter protection. That is why Musks statement elicited a reaction of disbelief from the Air Force audience. These are men and women who put everything on the line to secure the sky. They know the technological art of the possible.

While autonomy is smart to pursue, it has far to go before it can fly and fight against a skilled adversary. Parking a car autonomously is not something to extrapolate into things that are critical to the defense of a nation.

The reality is that Americas current fighter fleet is obsolete. The average age of the Air Forces fighter inventory is over a quarter of a century. Less than 20 percent are ready to meet advanced threats with stealth technology. That is why programs like the F-35 must rapidly scale as the backbone of Americas air superiority force. The distant promise of autonomy must not be confused with meeting the clear and present threats of today and tomorrow.

Douglas Birkey is the executive director of the Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies, where he researches issues relating to the future of aerospace and national security. He previously served as the Air Force Associations director of government relations.

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Sorry, Elon, fighter pilots will fly and fight for a long time - DefenseNews.com

Worried About Coronavirus on the MTA Subway? Heres What We Know – The New York Times

There is perhaps no place in America harder to escape crowds than the New York City subway, which, as the nations largest transit system, carries more than five million people every weekday.

During rush hour, commuters squeeze in to find any available space, with hands sharing poles and faces separated by inches.

As cases of coronavirus increase in the United States and public health officials urge healthy Americans to avoid contact with those who are sick, many people who live and work in New York wonder how they can do that given the heavy reliance on public transit.

The Metropolitan Transportation Authority, which oversees the subway, buses and two commuter railroads, said late Monday that it had started a major cleaning of all equipment that called for an industrial-grade disinfectant to be applied to everything from train cars to MetroCard machines every 72 hours.

The authoritys announcement came a day before Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said that the state had its second confirmed case of coronavirus, heightening public health concerns.

The patient, a man in his 50s, commuted regularly by Metro-North from Westchester County to a law firm in Midtown Manhattan, officials said. He had not traveled recently to any place with large concentrations of the virus and had not come into contact with an infected person, suggesting that the pathogen was spreading locally.

Health officials have warned that the virus seems to spread easily, traveling through the air in tiny droplets produced when a sick person breathes, talks, coughs or sneezes. The public is being urged to follow basic precautions like frequent hand-washing and staying home when sick.

As you get ready to jostle with strangers aboard a jam-packed subway car, heres what you need to know.

On the list of places where New Yorkers could contract the virus, the subway might seem to pose a high risk: millions of people filling stations and train cars where coughs and sneezes are familiar sounds and countless strangers put their hands on seats and poles.

But epidemiologists said that the risk of transmission connected to using public transit is hard to accurately assess.

Dr. Stephen S. Morse, an epidemiology professor at the Mailman School of Public Health at Columbia University, said that, generally speaking, two main factors determined the likelihood of contracting a virus in any given place: how crowded it is and how much time one spends there.

Yes, subway riders often stand shoulder to shoulder, which increases the chances of being on the receiving end of a sick persons cough or sneeze. The federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says that standing within six feet of a sick person could carry a risk of exposure.

But New Yorkers tend to spend less time on subways and buses than they do in other crowded spaces, like classrooms or offices, reducing the risk of being exposed to a virus during their daily commute.

The risk is probably as high as any other high-density setting, but the time of exposure is shorter, Dr. Morse said.

Although research on the coronavirus is still in the early stages, a 2011 study on a possible influenza outbreak in New York City found that only 4 percent of infections would occur on the subway.

More aggressive disinfecting of subways and buses is important, but the steps that people take to protect themselves and others are even more critical to safeguarding public health, epidemiologists say.

Human behavior is one of the most important factors in the transmission of these viruses, Dr. Morse said.

To protect yourself from any viral droplets you may have picked up on your commute, wash your hands with soap and water for at least 20 seconds, or use hand sanitizer, once you get off a train or a bus.

You should also avoid touching your face with your hands because the viral droplets must enter through the eyes, nose or mouth to cause infection.

Be sure to cover any cough or sneeze with a tissue. And if you feel sick, you should certainly stay away from public transit.

People have to start being really considerate and not going out and about when they are infected with anything, whether its the flu or coronavirus, said Dr. Robyn R. M. Gershon, a professor of epidemiology at New York Universitys School of Global Public Health.

Preliminary research suggests that particles from the virus may be able survive on hard surfaces, like a metal pole in a subway car, for a few hours, according to the World Health Organization. (Scientists are uncertain whether a surface like a metal pole could carry enough of the virus to cause a person to become sick.)

If there are more confirmed cases in New York, those riding the subway should avoid directly touching a pole, turnstile or a seat with their hands, Dr. Gershon said. If you need to hold onto something, put a tissue between your hand and the pole or clean it with an anti-viral wipe before touching it, she suggested.

On Monday, the transportation authority announced that it was increasing its efforts to sanitize the subway, buses and commuter rail lines, Metro North and the Long Island Rail Road.

The authority said it would begin disinfecting all train cars and buses every three days with bleach and disinfectants typically used in hospitals and nursing homes. Cleaning crews will also scrub subway stations, including turnstiles, benches and ticket-vending machines, once a day with disinfectants.

The safety of our customers and employees is our first priority as we continue to monitor the coronavirus, said Patrick Warren, the authoritys chief safety officer. The M.T.A. is enhancing its cleaning regimen across all our operating agencies to ensure the system is safe for everyone.

Authority officials have also contacted their counterparts at public transit systems in Japan and Europe and in other parts of the United States to explore other ways of disinfecting train cars and buses, officials said at a news conference on Tuesday.

From Monday evening to midday Tuesday, transit workers disinfected nearly all of the systems 472 subway stations, over 1,900 subway cars and nearly 2,000 buses, officials said. The authoritys entire fleet of subway cars and buses would be disinfected within 72 hours. After that, officials said, the cleaning process would begin again.

New Jersey Transit, which operates its own vast commuter rail and bus network, is also strengthening its cleaning regimen, using bleach or other anti-viral cleaning supplies to disinfect equipment and public facilities.

The agency recently formed an internal task force, which includes workers from its medical staff, to monitor news about the virus, officials said.

In other major cities experiencing outbreaks, transit officials have taken similar precautions. In Tehran, public health officials have said they are disinfecting buses at least four times a day and cleaning trains in the citys subway system at the beginning and end of each line. In Italy, buses, trains and ferries are also being disinfected regularly.

If the outbreak becomes more serious, health officials may recommend that public transit officials adopt more drastic measures.

They could suggest steps to reduce crowds like limiting peoples use of subways and buses to travel that is absolutely essential, like going to and from work, or changing train schedules to discourage travel during peak hours.

Even in a severe pandemic, the C.D.C. recommends that essential services like public transit continue to operate so that health care workers and other emergency responders can get to work.

It is more likely that city officials would try to reduce the use of public transportation by asking businesses to stagger working hours, as happened during the 1918 influenza pandemic, or letting their employees work from home.

In other cities around the world, some officials have taken more stringent steps to contain the viruss spread by effectively quarantining entire cities.

In China, government officials suspended public transit to and from Wuhan, the epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak. In Italy, officials have set up roadblocks in at least 11 towns in the northern part of the country, which is among the most infected regions, to prevent people from leaving or entering the area.

What we saw in Wuhan and elsewhere is really a last resort, Dr. Morse said. At that point theres little else they can do to contain it.

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Worried About Coronavirus on the MTA Subway? Heres What We Know - The New York Times

Health Catalyst points HIMSS20 attendees toward three AI trends – Healthcare IT News

Update: HIMSS20 has been canceled due to the coronavirus. Read more here.

The rise of artificial intelligence into the mainstream of healthcare information technology is one of the biggest trends at HIMSS20, according to analytics vendor Health Catalyst, which will be in booth 2428.

Healthcare IT News asked Jason Jones, chief data scientist officer at Health Catalystand a speaker at HIMSS20, about a few overarching trends surrounding AI that are important to HIMSS20 attendees. He says that a lack of results from healthcare AI implementations, algorithmic bias and difficulty attracting and retaining data science professionals are some key areas to watch.

Jones said the industry is not seeing healthcare AI results in the timeframe and to the magnitude hoped for. On a related note, there is the question of how healthcare-provider organizations deal with the crush from AI-powered health IT vendors in the space.

"It is very easy for individuals or organizations to get excited about their first AI project,"Jones said. "It is new, exciting and a bit magical. Out of dreams of doing good or pressure to perform, people would like to believe there is a solution. What is the problem? Building predictive models is very quick and easy."

Jones said the problems here are in four areas.

"First, ironically, the biggest obstacle toward solving a problem via leveraging AI can be that the problem to be solved is defined poorly or differently by different people,"he explained. "Start with a great problem statement and common understanding of what 'awesome'looks like across stakeholders. Second, technically, the difficult part is getting high-quality data to train the model commonly 50-100x more time and effort than building a predictive model."

Jason Jones, Health Catalyst

Evaluate whether the organization has the high-quality data it needs before starting an AI project, he advised; if not, acquire or improve available data or choose a different project, he cautioned.

"Third, most improvements in healthcare require behavior change on the part of physicians, nurses, administrators, members, patients, etc.," he said. "We do not need AI to tell us to eat and exercise well, it's just that it can be hard to do. When human behavior change is needed for success, we need tools and resources for change management."

And fourth, few AI efforts are set up for optimization or formal evaluation, Jones explained.

"If you fear you are being left behind in the AI race, consider the last time you felt left behind by an infomercial," he offered. "The claims of success for AI may not be much better founded. Focus on fundamentals, ask challenging questions, realize that AI typically fits into a workflow that requires multiple changes, and plan to monitor and improve over time."

Then there is the artificial intelligence problem known as algorithmic bias. How do healthcare-provider organizations deploy AI in such a way that they do not exacerbate health disparities?

"There has been an increase in concern that the 'move fast and break things'approach may have done more harm than good in particular and in aggregate," Jones stated. "People are intolerant of breaking things in healthcare in ways they feel could have been anticipated. We are justifiably and particularly angry when the nature of the failure involves disparity based upon personal characteristics such as gender, ethnicity, geographic location and socioeconomic status."

But healthcare does want algorithms to discriminate between people at greater or lesser risk for readmission or ready or not ready to quit smoking, for example.

"Remembering this helps us to think differently about AI," Jones said. "For algorithms to succeed, we should retain the right and accountability to define what we want the algorithm to do and not do and then measure against these desires. With that in mind, it is possible to go beyond fear of algorithmic bias to algorithms helping assure equity."

On whiteboards, healthcare-organization staff can convert equity from a balancing measure (possible harm) to an outcome (desired benefit) and then design and measure for that, he explained.

And Jones third healthcare AI trend surrounding HIMSS20 is how healthcare provider organizations attract and retain data science talent.

"It can feel as though it is very difficult and expensive to attract a data scientist," he said. "In healthcare, it can feel impossible to compete with the tech sector. If you feel this way, pause and consider your needs and assets. First, in healthcare, most of the technical time and effort is in gathering and preparing data data engineering. You may not need as many data scientists as you think, or you may be able to 'rent'one when you have the need."

Second, think about what the organization needs a data scientist to do for example, ask and answer questions better with data, and in a way staff can understand, he added.

"Test and evaluate for people who can do that," he advised. "Usually this means not using the 'Kaggle'(data competition) approaches. These are the aspects of data science that are both most technical and most easily automated."

And third, if a healthcare organization has a noble purpose, point this out and explain how the data scientist contributes, Jones advised.

"Give him or her opportunities to see that contribution firsthand from call centers, to boardrooms, to nurses' stations,"he concluded. "Taking these steps not only helps you attract and retain talent, but also helps you get better output through the data scientist better understanding the real problems and what solutions might look like."

Jones will be at HIMSS20 on a panel entitled "Analytics to Algorithms: How to Maximize Impacts" on Monday March 9. He also will be presenting alongside Dr. Terri Steinberg during a presentation entitled "Machine Learning and Data Selection for Population Health"on Thursday, March 12.

Twitter:@SiwickiHealthITEmail the writer:bill.siwicki@himssmedia.comHealthcare IT News is a HIMSS Media publication.

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Health Catalyst points HIMSS20 attendees toward three AI trends - Healthcare IT News

Children With Autism Saw Their Learning and Social Skills Boosted After Playing With This AI Robot – Newsweek

Scientists who designed an artificially intelligent robot that helped children with autism boost their learning and social skills hope such technology could one day aid others with the developmental disorder.

The study saw seven children with mild to moderate autism take home what is known as a socially assistive robot, named Kiwi, for a month. According to a statement by the University of Southern California where the team is based, the participants from the Los Angeles area were aged between three and seven years old, and played space-themed games with the robot almost daily.

As Kiwi was fitted with machine-learning technology, it was able to provide unique feedback and instructions to the children based on their abilities. For instance, if the child got a question wrong Kiwi would give prompts to help them solve it, and tweak the difficulty levels to challenge the child appropriately.

The authors of the paper published in the journal Science Robotics found all of the children saw their reasoning skills improve. Some 92 percent had better social skills after playing with Kiwi for a month, according to the statement.

Cameras hooked up to Kiwi enabled the team to also monitor how engaged the kids were with the robot, based on where their eyes were looking, the position of their heads, their speech and how well they performed on a task. The team found engagement ranged from 48 to 84 percent on average among the participants, and Kiwi was able to detect a disengaged child with 90 percent accuracy. That was despite potential distractions such as home appliances, as well as friends and family. The team found participants were most engaged immediately after the robot had spoken, but this went down if the gap lasted longer than a minute.

Lead author Shomik Jain, told Newsweek the children became less engaged as the month went on.

"Examples of child behavior during these disengaged periods included playing with toys, interacting with siblings, and even abruptly leaving the intervention setting."

"This served as a motivation for our work, which created models that could be used for real-time recognition and response to disengagement in order to re-engage the child to continue with the educational and/or therapeutic activity," he said.

Around one in 59 children in the U.S. have autism, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. People with the condition, also known as autism spectrum disorder (ASD), can find it challenging to communicate and interact in the same way as neurotypical people. While therapists can give individualized services that help to teach such children social skills, not everyone can afford this, the team said. As such, they wanted to explore the potential of plugging the gap with robots.

Co-author Maja Matari Maja J Matari, distinguished professor of computer science, neuroscience, and pediatrics at the University of Southern California told Newsweek:

"We and other researchers have been actively exploring SAR [socially assistive robotics] for children with ASD, because SAR has great potential in supporting the learning of children with ASD. Since we were one of the very few labs that has worked in SAR from its inception, we used our experience over the past 15 years to develop the robot that would meet the needs and interests of children with ASD while being safe and non-threatening."

Jain said: "Currently, robots are limited in their ability to autonomously recognize and respond to human behavior, especially in atypical users and real-world settings such as homes and schools. Engaging users is a key HRI [human-robot interaction] capability previously unexplored in the context of long-term, in-home SAR interventions for children with ASD.

"Therefore this study is the first to apply machine learning modeling to long-term in-home data with children with ASD. "

Asked why the children's engagement and learning improved after interacting with the robot, Matari said: "The purpose of a socially assistive robot, in general, is to serve in the role of a motivating and supportive companion. In the specific context of this study, the robot served to motivate the children to do the math exercises, and to support them as they were succeeding or failing during those exercises."

However, children with autism don't need robots to reap the benefits seen in the study, Matari said.

"The most therapeutic effects come from caring human interactions," Matari explained. "Parents, siblings, caregivers and friends can effectively motivate and support learning and therapy of children with ASD by paying careful attention to what children find rewarding and encouraging, and focusing on those interactions, shaping toward the child's specific needs."

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Children With Autism Saw Their Learning and Social Skills Boosted After Playing With This AI Robot - Newsweek

Epidemics Reveal the Truth of the Societies They Hit – The Atlantic

Graeme Wood: Iran cant handle the coronavirus

Part of the problem is that the danger cannot be seen: A pestilence does not have human dimensions, so people tell themselves that it is unreal, that it is a bad dream that will end, Albert Camus wrote in The Plague. This, of course, very much describes the current situation: many people cannot bear the idea that something invisible can change their plans. Published in 1947, The Plague has often been read as an allegory, a book that is really about the occupation of France, say, or the human condition. But its also a very good book about plagues, and about how people react to thema whole category of human behavior that we have forgotten.

In the novel, a part of the quarantined town continued with business, with making arrangements for travel and holding opinions. Why should they have thought about the plague, which negates the future, negates journeys and debates? Their modern equivalents in the city of Milan have already launched a #Milanononsiferma Milan Doesnt Stophashtag campaign. Other cities have followed. Social media is full of Italian business owners and hotel managers denouncing the government for the unnecessary precautions.

But invisibility also creates uncertainty, and uncertainty can be manipulated so that it serves other ends. One of Camuss characters is a priest, for example, who uses the plague to increase his flock: He tells his congregation that the epidemic is Gods way of punishing unbelievers. In modern Italy, the first person to seek to manipulate the anxiety created by coronavirus was Matteo Salvini, the Italian far-right leader who immediately called for the government to shut the countrys borders, stop all public meetings, and keep people home.

Salvini would no doubt have pressed this point farther had it not begun, almost immediately, to backfire. The virus first appeared in Lombardy and Veneto, the two Italian provinces where his party, the Northern League, is strongest. When Salvini realized that a shutdown would inflict the worst economic damage there, he switched to a different argument: a call on the government to defend Italy and Italians from African refugees. There is no evidence that African refugees are carrying the virus, but still, the link between foreigners, impurity, and disease is a very old one. Marine Le Pen, the French far-right leader, has also called on France to shut the border with Italy, even though that too is nonsensical, since the first French cases seem mostly to come from elsewhere, as well.

I am due to fly to London in a few days, and have been carefully watching the British right-wing tabloids, to gauge their level of hysteria. So far, it has been relatively lowthey are distracted by Prime Minister Boris Johnsons engagement to his pregnant girlfriendwhich means that the planes will continue flying. Once they focus on the virus, I am certain that there will be calls to block all contacts with Italy, and I am certain that this tabloid-dependent British government will heed them.

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Epidemics Reveal the Truth of the Societies They Hit - The Atlantic

Better rat control in cities starts by changing human behavior – Salon

For centuries, rats have thrived in cities because of human behavior. In response, humans have blamed the rats and developed techniques for poisoning them.

We research urban rat populations and recognize that rats spread disease. But they are fascinating creatures that think, feel and show a high level of intelligence. Public concerns about rat poison harming wildlife are growing a trend that we believe could eventually lead to rodenticide bans in many parts of the world. Without poison as an option, humans will need other rat control methods.

Rats' many negative traits are well known. They are among the most detrimental invasive animals in cities. Urban rats are like disease sponges, congregating in the foulest reaches, where they pick up harmful pathogens. They carry the antibiotic-resistent MRSA (methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus pseudintermedius). Inside the rat gut, MRSA can interact with other diseases like ingredients in a mixing bowl, creating newer bugs that can be transported from septic systems into homes.

But common approaches to managing rats often fail to address the most important factor contributing to infestations: humans and the prolific quantities of food that they waste. The more research we do on rats in New York City and worldwide, the more we realize that rat behaviors contribute less to infestations than do humans.

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Piles of trash near large homeless camps in Los Angeles encourage rats and the diseases they carry.

Concerns about rat poison

On Jan. 4, 2020, Malibu, California banned rodenticides due to their harmful effects on nontarget wildlife, such as mountain lions. This came after the California Assembly passed a bill to ban rodenticides statewide; the measure died in the State Senate, but could reappear this year.

If curbs on use of rat poison start to spread, communities will need other ways to manage infestations. Rats cost the world's economy billions of dollars yearly, mostly from contaminating food in warehouses, restaurants and home kitchens. The costs of illnesses vectored by rats are unknown because medical providers treat many sicknesses without knowing what caused them. As human populations become increasingly clustered in cities, these effects could increase.

Meanwhile, climate change is shortening winter seasons that limit rat reproduction. Globalization, climate change and inability to use rodenticides could result in a "perfect storm" of vulnerability to rodents on a scale humans have not experienced since the Middle Ages.

https://twitter.com/WorldAnimalNews/status/1181994915120570368 A food-focused approach

Research shows that to address this problem effectively, people must start by understanding the ecology of wild rodents. Rats adapt to human food sources and reproduce at remarkable rates. If enough food is present, a single Norway rat (Rattus norvegicus) can give birth to up to 12 pups in a litter. And each well-fed pup could give birth to 12 pups of its own in as few as six weeks.

We believe the key to controlling rats is appreciating a key point: Because rats have short life spans of one to two years and reproduce often, they adapt quickly to changing environments. In our view, until people change their behavior, they may fail at controlling rat numbers.

Current mechanisms for rat control are more reactive than proactive. Urban hygiene has become big business for exterminators, but does little to control rat populations.

A typical approach is to take action once rodent populations are high enough that their presence cannot be ignored. But rats are mostly nocturnal, small and elusive, so they typically are noticed only after their numbers are already high.

This reactive approach makes any control measures excluding rats from buildings and feeding sites, setting poison baits, introducing predators, asphyxiating them with dry ice (frozen carbon dioxide) or treating them with immuno-contraceptives comparable to putting a bandage on a cancer.

In our lab, we study the scents that rats prefer. As nocturnal animals, rats have poor vision and rely on olfaction to identify potential mates, habitats and food sources.

Molly, a rat in the authors' study, wearing a GPS tag. Determining what scents rats are attracted to could aid the development of rat control tools. Michael Parsons, Author provided

Rats' dietary habits are predictable. In Brooklyn, New York, they eat pizza, bagels and beer. In Paris they consume croissants, butter and cheese. Whatever local tastes people prefer, rats eat. Interrupt the continuous food supply and the rat population will drop.

Many city dwellers eat when they are busy, stuck in traffic or otherwise on the run. They drop wastes, such as grease-soaked napkins and hot dog buns, onto streets, playgrounds and subway tracks. Even highly conscientious people may hastily toss uneaten food and wrappers onto the top of an overflowing rubbish bin when they are stressed for time.

People who are working and caring for families do not take time to think about what unseen rats are doing. But our research convinces us that society can learn to stop feeding rats inadvertently. Pest management professionals, academics, policymakers and citizens can all help advance this goal, because people can radically change the ways in which they handle and dispose of food.

We believe that giving people incentives to create sanitary environments is an effective and socially progressive strategy. Here is one example: Because so much of the rat problem in New York City is driven by curbside garbage sitting outdoors overnight, we suggest hiring unemployed or homeless individuals as evening sentinels. They would move garbage bags from the curbside into guarded common areas and then return them to the curb for early morning collections.

Some cities could establish citizen rat patrols that would train residents to identify and notify property owners when they detect that rats are present. The typical indicators are barely noticeable openings appearing around buildings, or dark grease stains on sidewalks, parks or undeveloped lots. This approach eliminates the social stigma often associated with rats by showing people how to take proactive steps before an infestation develops.

Neuroscientist Kelly Lambert taught rats to drive miniature cars in order to study neuroplasticity and learning skills.

Rats cause very expensive problems, but they also are surprisingly engaging animals that exhibit human-like qualities, such as remorse and empathy. Scientists have trained them to drive tiny cars. As evidence that rats are thinking, feeling beings accumulates, we expect that it could make many communities more reluctant to poison them.

In our view, since rats are deeply rooted in human society, people need to understand how their own actions encourage rat behavior. We want to encourage brainstorming about this issue and help identify the most promising ways to manage urban rat problems effectively and humanely.

Michael H. Parsons, Visiting Research Scholar, Fordham University and Jason Munshi-South, Associate Professor of Biological Sciences, Fordham University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license.

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Better rat control in cities starts by changing human behavior - Salon

Why a go-it-alone approach to combatting the coronavirus won’t work | TheHill – The Hill

Global health is a public good, which means that successfully addressing the current coronavirus outbreak (COVID-19) requires internationally coordinated efforts. While spillover events like COVID-19 cannot be prevented, there are investments that the international community can make to minimize their overall effects.

First, current information on economic activity can be used to produce estimates of hotspots. Second, a strategic global response network can create an infrastructure for rapidly addressing health risks. Finally, when designing policy to manage an outbreak, it is important consider how its incentives affect human behavior. This helps ensure that the policy actually achieves the intended outcome (reducing the spread of infection).

More than one month after the outbreak of COVID-19 was reported in China, the White House requested $1.25 billion in emergency funds to combat the outbreak. While only a handful of infections have reached U.S. soil, addressing infectious disease overseas is a form of national defense.

Further, the United States alone cannot manage the outbreak; there needs to be a globally coordinated response. This global effort does not preclude domestic investments in building capacity to respond to outbreaks either. Our work shows that this type of self-insurance via having plenty of nurses and hospital beds complements investments in preventing domestic outbreaks by fighting disease abroad.

The current coronavirus outbreak will not be the last disease outbreak, and these risks are also highly transferable. Isolated efforts to respond to risks in one location without a coordinated policy can leave other locations vulnerable through wildlife trade, human travel and other vectors.

The coronavirus is a zoonotic disease, meaning that the first human infections of the virus were transmitted (or spilled over) from animal populations. These spillover events are extremely rare. Since we cannot predict where or when the next spillover will happen, we cannot prevent outbreaks from occurring.

As a result, our ability to detect and rapidly respond to an event once it occurs is our best bet for reducing the economic and human cost of infectious disease. Since controlling a zoonotic disease outbreak is effectively a race between the spreading pathogen and containment, the more developed our response network before an outbreak happens, the faster and more readily we will be able to respond to it. Recent proposed cuts to both the domestic and global health funding in the form of cuts to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and World Health Organization budgets, as well as the elimination of the cabinet-level position tasked with preparing for disease outbreaks, have made the United States less prepared for events like COVID-19.

While the number of the new infections that can be attributed to a single infected individual is influenced by characteristics of the pathogen, there are ways in which people can mitigate or exacerbate their risk of infection. The economics literature has shown that people respond to the risk of infection they cancel trips, keep their children out of school and avoid potential sources of infection. Additionally, typical public health interventions such as contact tracing and encouraging hand washing are designed to reduce new infections. These efforts to avoid infection come with a cost that forgone travel or time at school is costly to the people who miss trips or class.

In addition to infection and loss of human life, outbreaks such as the coronavirus have a broader economic cost. In January, Wuhan, China, a city of 11 million people, was placed in a travel ban and 10 other Chinese cities were placed under quarantine orders to contain the virus. The outbreak and regional containment measures aligned with the celebration of the Chinese New Year, which for most Chinese means long-distance travel and celebration with family. To date, travel bans and a reduction in flights to Asia are projected to cost the airline industry $28 billion. Similar travel restrictions are now in place in South Korea and Europe, and the CDC has suggested that Americans prepare for major disruptions in the form of school closures, cancelled events and more.

In addition to avoidance behavior and quarantine, containment measures produce tremendous indirect economic effects. Travel bans and reduced sales of jet fuel lowered demand for oil and impacted global oil prices. Asia is a tremendous player in global supply chains, and understaffed ports have halted the transportation of all goods, from fresh food to electronics. Companies like Apple are affected when, as travel bans and trade restrictions are put in place, they are forced to source materials and manufacture parts in different locations. These efforts can affect international supply chains and lead to economic chaos.

Unfortunately, these changes in behavior, while potentially chaotic, do not by themselves eliminate the risk of infectious disease. Travel bans are imperfectly enforced, driving trade and travel underground. This makes it more difficult to screen for the disease.

Whats more, uncoordinated quarantine efforts and communication strategies intended to mitigate economic damages risk downplaying the threat and complicate the politics of investing in what does work, while time to react is scarce. A public that does not understand the risk will be less likely to support the investments needed to counter outbreaks. When the potential outcome of being proactive is becoming an international pariah and economic disaster, policymakers face perverse incentives to underreport.

Additionally, go-it-alone policies, while immediately satisfying, may damage longer run efforts to build capacity and international cooperation, both of which are necessary to effectively manage the risk of not just of the current outbreak but a future pandemic.

KevinBerryis an assistant professor of economics at the University of Alaska Anchorage. He is an author on seven peer-reviewed academic papers on prevention and infectious disease.Follow him on Twitter @kberry6788. KatherineLee is an assistant professor of agricultural economics and ruralsociology at the University of Idaho.

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Why a go-it-alone approach to combatting the coronavirus won't work | TheHill - The Hill

Walking The Talk On Change – Forbes

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In the United States, leadership is front page news as primary voters cast their ballots for the candidates running for president. Wherever in the world they take place, political contests come down to a question of leadership, and, hopefully the ability to lead change.

My first model of leadership was my father, a self-made entrepreneur. The first in his family to go to college, he trained as a dentist, and in the late 1970s had his entrepreneurial break-out when he launched a pioneering dental insurance company. When it comes to leadership and change, he mostly does things instinctually. Whats so complicated? he says. Just go do it!

Its a simple but fair question. After all, what is so complicated?

The reality is that most leaders, whether politicians or CEOs, struggle with change, and the data bears this out. One of the saddest numbers in business is the statistic on how many corporate change efforts fail. Bain research has found 88% fall short of their original goals, and multiple other studies, while they vary in their specific findings, also conclude that the figure is high, indeed, too high.

Most of the business executives I talk with genuinely understand both the importance and the difficulty of getting organizations and the people within them to change. Their instinct is right. Their talk is right. But then the action falls short. They can talk the talk, but dont walk the walk.

Why is it so hard? Let me offer up three potential reasons, and some hope for whats on the horizon.

First, change can feel vague and intangible, and, consequently, hard to act on. Its like the wind: you feel its influence all around you, but cannot reach out and grab it. Managing change doesnt lend itself easily to clean, analytic problem solving the way mathematics and engineering do. Its complicated by human behavior and all the richness and, sometimes, craziness that brings. Because of this complexity, its often hard to know exactly what to do. So we retreat to our instincts with all the best intentions, and end up falling well short of what we could be. Luckily, there are practical tools and approaches that make it possible to break down change and tackle it analytically, just like any other challenge or opportunity.

Second, because change is hard to measure, its also hard to manage. If executives want to improve the change-ability of their organization, they need to answer some basic questions: What baseline are we starting from? What should we do first? How do we measure progress? An instructive analogy here would be to examine the impact that measurements of customer loyalty have had over the past 20 years. Companies have long had a strong financial currency, a way to measure, talk about, and manage financial impact, but prior to these new measures, they had no equivalent currency for the health of their customer base. The advent of simple and effective ways to measure customer advocacy, including the Net Promoter Score, ushered in a revolution of investment, activity and improvement. We need the equivalent currency for change, to develop practical solutions.

Third, and perhaps most profoundly, we all suffer from a number of cognitive biases, often unconcious, that can hold us back. Perhaps the most relevant is the natural human tendency to assume that how we did something in the past will also work in the future. What behavioral scientists term outcome bias stems from judging decisions by their outcome without sufficiently considering that chance or some other factor may have had an important impact. The outcome, even if positive, may have been even better if we had followed a different process, something we also tend to discount. Decision making generally can be improved by focusing more on process than outcome.

Change can also take a long time, and this conflicts with another bias behavioral economists have recognized: time discounting. We weigh present rewards more heavily than future ones. Indeed, the further out the reward or change, the less valuable we see it. As humans, we gravitate toward immediate gratification, and therefore prioritize short-term action. But real change requires linking long-term thinking and strategy to implementation in order to see results.

As my father also says, there are always reasons, but never excuses. Recognizing these reasons can help us better understand why its so hard to walk the talk, but whats most important is what we do about that.

How does a leader choose to react to these forces described above? Does he or she retreat to instinct? Refocus on more tangible and pressing topics? Delegate the problem to others? Or does he or she instead take up the challenge? Open up to learning new things? Make change tangible and part of the strategic plan? Fight accepting change is hard as the final answer?

It may be complicated, yes, but with the right choices, we can indeed just go do it.

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Judo may help promote healthy behaviors and social interaction in youth with autism – PsyPost

A specially-tailored judo program can help youth diagnosed with Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) increase their level of physical activity, according to new research published in the Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders.

The findings provide preliminary evidence that the martial arts program can help autistic youth achieve the 60 minutes of daily moderate-to-vigorous physical activity recommended by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

My research interests focus on improving health factors, such as physical activity and nutrition, in youth with Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASD) From my past research, Ive learned that martial arts may be an enjoyable activity that may appeal to this population and provide mental and physical health benefits, explained Jeanette M. Garcia, an assistant professor at the University of Central Florida who led the study.

While karate, a form of martial arts, has documented benefits for the autism population related to social interaction, we hypothesized that the emphasis on mindfulness and self-defense promoted by judo would provide additional benefits for ASD youth, she said in a news release.

In the study, 14 participants between the ages 8 and 17 participated in a 45-minute judo lesson once a week for eight weeks. The class was specifically designed for children diagnosed on the autism spectrum and participants were separated into smaller groups based on their age.

The lessons consisted of a brief warm-up, followed by instructions on judo holds and throws. The primary instructor would break each routine exercise into small steps while verbally describing and repeating it multiple times. Assistant instructors would demonstrate modified versions of the exercise for any participants who were struggling, the researchers explained.

Each session was concluded with time allocated to practice breathing techniques and mindfulness, including participant reflection on the activities completed and a reminder that judo should only be used during the sessions. Each participant also wore an accelerometer to measure their daily physical activity throughout the course of the study.

The researchers found that the judo lessons were associated with increases in moderate to vigorous physical activity among the participants.

It is often thought that youth with ASD arent good at physical activity or prefer not to be active. However, its about finding activities that work best for these kids, similar to any typically developing youth. These kids enjoyed the program, and many of them continued practicing judo after the study, Garcia told PsyPost.

Half of the sample continued to participate in judo lessons or a similar martial arts program following the 8-week program. Many of those who did not continue failed to do so because of scheduling or transportation problems, rather than lack of interest.

Garcia thought judo might be a good fit because its approach held promise for addressing some of the challenges these children face, including communication deficits, high levels of anxiety, difficulties with social interaction, and preferences for structured and repetitive activities. Judo promotes social interaction, emphasizes mindfulness, and focuses on balance, strength, and coordination, while alternating between low, moderate, and high-intensity exercise.

Indeed, our study shows that judo not only promotes social skills, but is well accepted by this population and is a great program for reducing sedentary behavior and increasing confidence, Garcia said.

But given the limited sample size and lack of a control group, more studies are needed to support the findings. One major question is whether the benefits we are seeing extend to kids with greater severity levels of ASD, Garcia noted.

I have realized that youth with ASD can do anything that typically developing youth can do, however, they may just learn or communicate in a different way, she added.

The study, Brief Report: Preliminary Efficacy of a Judo Program to Promote Participation in Physical Activity in Youth with Autism Spectrum Disorder, was authored by Jeanette M. Garcia, Nicholas Leahy, Paola Rivera, Justine Renziehausen, Judith Samuels, David H. Fukuda, and Jeffrey R. Stout.

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Judo may help promote healthy behaviors and social interaction in youth with autism - PsyPost