Category Archives: Human Behavior

Future of Work Expert Cheryl Cran Provides Insights on How Coronavirus Is Impacting the New Normal of Work – PRUnderground

While no one could have predicted the COVID-19 coronavirus crisis the disruption has created daily dialogue and there are many ideas being shared on how to respond and recover both for people and for businesses. NextMapping Founder and #1 Future of Work expert Cheryl Cran is a highly sought after thought leader on helping leaders and teams navigate the now and prepare for the next. Cran and her NextMapping team have spent decades of research on human behavior, digital transformation and cutting-edge strategies to help companies be ready for the fast-changing future.

Over a decade ago NextMapping research found that 50% of the workforce would be remote by the year 2020. That research was just one of the predictions shared by Cran and her team that has come true based on future of work research.

Some of the current questions being asked as we tackle the coronavirus disruption include:

Cheryl Cran has the answers to the above questions and provides provocative, practical insights and solutions. NextMapping as a future of work consultancy provides online course solutions and other tools to help leaders and teams be agile and adaptable to disruptions now and in the future.

Cran has been featured in Readers Digest, Financial Post, Globe and Mail, Vancouver Sun, The Province, BIV, BCTV, Global TV, CKNW, and CityTV. She is the author of 9 books including the bestselling, NextMapping- Anticipate, Navigate and Create The Future of Work.

Cheryl Cran is available for in depth interviews virtually via Zoom, Skype, phone or FaceTime.

For more information be sure to visit http://www.nextmapping.com.

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About Cheryl Cran

Cheryl Cran is the founder of NextMapping/NextMapping.com and the CEO of parent company Synthesis at Work Inc. She is recognized as the #1 Future of Work influencer by Onalytica, and the author of 7 books including NextMapping Anticipate, Navigate & Create The Future of Work.

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Future of Work Expert Cheryl Cran Provides Insights on How Coronavirus Is Impacting the New Normal of Work - PRUnderground

The surprising similarities between the coronavirus and the bubonic plague – EL PAS in English

The pandemic originated in a foreign land and extended quickly through all the ports where infected passengers arrived whether asymptomatic or not. There was no medical cure available to stop it, all residents were confined to their homes to avoid contagion, the economy ground to a halt, the army was deployed on the streets, exhausted physicians worked themselves to the bone, and there were thousands of daily victims whose bodies went without burial for days on end, because diggers could not work fast enough...

This is not an account of the coronavirus pandemic of 2020. It is the chronicle provided by the historian Procopius of Caesarea about the outbreak of bubonic plague that befell the known world between 541 and 544, under Byzantine Emperor Justinian I. The disease swept across a vast territory, from China to the port cities of Hispania, as the Romans called the Iberian Peninsula.

An epidemic broke out that nearly wiped out the entire human race and which is impossible to find an explanation for with words

A new study called La Plaga de Justini, Segons el Testimoni de Procopi, (or The Plague of Justinian According to the Testimony of Procopius), by Jordina Sales Carbonell, a researcher at Barcelona University, adds new relevance to this ancient tale written 1,500 years ago.

As of April 1, 2020, certain similarities and parallels observed in human behavior with regard to a virus and its consequences seem so familiar and contemporary that, despite the tragedy we are all personally experiencing, it remains a source of wonderment how history repeats itself, writes this archeologist and historian Sales Carbonell, who works at the universitys Institute of Medieval Culture Research.

In the year 541, under the Byzantine ruler Justinian, there was an outbreak of bubonic plague in the empire. The alarm was sounded in Egypt, from where the infection expanded quickly and lethally. Procopius reflected it in his book History of the Wars, where he recounted Justinians military campaigns in Italy, Northern Africa and Hispania, and how soldiers spread the disease throughout the ports where they stopped fundamentally in Europe, North Africa, the Sasanian Empire (Persia) and from there as far as China.

As the legal advisor to Belisarius, Justinians chief military commander, Procopius tagged along on the latters campaigns and thus became a privileged witness to the effects of a pandemic that came to be known as the Plague of Justinian.

It remains a source of wonderment how history repeats itself

An epidemic broke out that nearly wiped out the entire human race and which is impossible to find an explanation for with words, not even with thoughts, except to put it down to the will of God, wrote Procopius. This epidemic did not affect a limited portion of the Earth, nor a specific set of men, nor was it reduced to a specific season of the year [...], but instead spread and attacked all human life, no matter how different the individuals might be, without regard for nature or age. The disease reached every far corner of the world, as though afraid that it might miss a spot.

A year after first being detected, the plague reached the capital of the empire, Byzantium (modern-day Istanbul), ravaging it for four months. There was complete confinement and isolation, writes Sales Carbonell in her study. It was absolutely mandatory for ill people. But there was also a sort of spontaneous and intuitively voluntary self-confinement, largely motivated by the circumstances.

It was not at all easy to see anybody in public spaces, at least in Byzantium; instead everyone who was healthy was at home, caring for the sick or crying over their dead, wrote Procopius.

Meanwhile, the economy was taking a nosedive. Activity ceased and craftsmen dropped all the work they had been doing. Unlike today, however, authorities were unable to guarantee the supply of essential services. It seemed very hard to obtain bread or any other kind of food, so that, in the case of some patients, the end of their life was no doubt premature due to the lack of essential items, wrote Procopius in History of the Wars.

Many died because they had nobody to care for them, he added. The caregivers of the era dropped from exhaustion because they were unable to rest and were constantly suffering. Because of it, everyone felt more sorry for them than for the sick.

In light of the desperate situation, the emperor sent out groups of palace guards to patrol the streets and the bodies of people who died alone were buried at the expense of the imperial coffers, wrote the historian. Even Justinian himself fell prey to the plague, but he overcame it and continued to reign for over a decade.

The mortality peaks rose from 5,000 to 10,000 victims a day and more, so that, although at first everyone cared for their dead at home, chaos became inevitable and corpses were also thrown inside the graves of others, either by stealth or using violence. In time, the bodies began to pile up inside the wall towers, and there were no funeral services for them.

When the pandemic finally ended, one positive thing came out of it.

Those who had backed the various political factions dropped the mutual reproaches. Even those who had previously been given to low and evil acts abandoned all evil in their everyday lives, because imperious need made them learn about honesty, wrote Procopius.

This element of poetry offers a modicum of hope that maybe we will get through this and not trip again over the same stone, says Sales Carbonell, sounding more hopeful than sure of herself.

English version by Susana Urra.

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The surprising similarities between the coronavirus and the bubonic plague - EL PAS in English

Certified Behavior Analyst Offers Tips for Parents Homeschooling Children with Autism During the Pandemic – Seton Hall University News & Events

ABA program director Frank Cicero, Ph.D., suggests parents take a moment to consider and maybe try a few new practices in their "school" at home.

As students across the country continue to "attend school" from home, it is important to remember that children with autism spectrum disorder and related disabilities are also affected. Whereas this is a stressful situation for all families, parents of children with autism face additional challenges when it comes to maintaining an effective learning environment in the home. Although there are no quick fixes, the following ideas may be helpful for parents of children with autism to use during these difficult and unique times. And now, more than a month into the time of COVID, is a good time to take a moment and reflect, review and maybe institute a few of these practices in your "school."

Structure the day with a visual or written scheduleChildren with autism are often more at ease when their routines are structured and predictable. It is important to keep in mind that the pandemic has completely disrupted all structure. Children are waking up and going to sleep at different times, meal times are changed, parents are working from home, they are no longer seeing their teachers or classmates, they no longer go to familiar stores, see their babysitters or grandparents, and might not have access to familiar foods or activities. This sudden change in structure leads to an increase in anxiety and stress in children with autism. In order to re-establish predictability and structure, parents should create a regular routine for each day. Keep the weekday routines as similar as possible and make the weekend schedule different. Make sure you stick to the schedule. In order to make the child aware of the daily schedules, display the order of activities through pictures or a written list and clearly post the schedule in a place where the child can see.

Scatter school assignments throughout the dayFor many children, schoolwork is less preferred than free time. Although the school assignments for the day may total three to four hours' worth of work, parents will likely see an increase in problem behavior and a decrease in focusing over time if they try to push through all three hours in one sitting. It will also lead to an increase in frustration for both the child and the parents. Instead of doing the work in one sitting, try breaking up the work sessions into shorter blocks of time. How long each work session should be depends on how much the child enjoys the activity, the difficulty level of the assignments, and the child's tolerance level. Parents may need to speak with their child's teacher about doing work on a modified schedule from the rest of the class.

Use a timer/break systemLet's say a parent has decided to do schoolwork in one-hour blocks of time. Sixty minutes is still a long period of time for a child with autism to maintain their motivation and focus on an activity that is not preferred. The parent will likely get more work completed and of a higher quality if they give the child frequent but short breaks from instruction throughout the hour. Although parents may see this as just wasting more time, the key is to set a standard of quality that must be met before a break is earned. For example, set a timer for 7 minutes. The child must focus 100% on his or her schoolwork for the full 7 minutes. If he or she produces quality work for the full 7 minutes, a break will be earned for 3 minutes. The child can leave the table during the break, however, I wouldn't have them go too far. They return after 3 minutes and continue this way until the end of the one-hour work period. If, however, the child begins to engage in problem behavior during the 7 minutes, the parent stops and resets the timer back to the start. The timer will start again once the child begins their schoolwork. In the long run you get more work completed with short bursts of full attention than a long drawn out period filled with problem behavior.

Use privileges as rewardsThe foundational principle of behavior analysis is that behavior that is rewarded will increase. Behavior that is not rewarded will decrease. So, if a parent wants his or her child to increase appropriate schoolwork at home, that is the behavior that should be rewarded. Keep in mind that buying children toys, giving them money, and taking them to fun places outside of the home are not the only rewards available to parents. Having children earn free privileges in the home, when they complete their schoolwork for the day, is often more rewarding than buying them things. Some examples include earning later bedtimes, more time on electronics, choice of food for dinner, having a pajama day, picking a movie for movie night, facetiming a favorite relative, or having a dance party with the family. Juts make sure that you don't give out the privileges for free. They need to be earned for good working and good behavior.

Stay calm, stay neutral, and maintain controlLet's face it, most children are not used to their parents being their teacher. It is only natural for teachers to have established more control over children's academic behavior than their parents. Children with autism are no different. Although when told to do work they might listen to their teachers in the classroom, that does not mean they will suddenly listen to their parents in the home. This is expected and parents should not be upset or embarrassed. When children are giving parents a hard time, parents should remain calm and emotionally neutral. Refrain from any yelling, threatening, or punishing. These behaviors are indications that the parent is losing, not gaining control. Do not, however, allow the child's behavior to get him or her out of the task at hand. Prompt them to remain at the table and with the required task in front of them. Parents should use the strategies above to guide them in remaining in control and providing rewards only when appropriate behavior occurs.

Partner with a Board Certified Behavior Analyst (BCBA)Parents should not feel hesitant to seek out assistance when needed. At this point, the future is very unclear and the timeline for when children might go back to school is uncertain. Although most services have moved into a remote format, behavior analysts are still working. Parents should partner with a board certified behavior analyst to assist their children in continuing to grow and learn despite the current situation. Parents who do not already have a relationship with a BCBA, may be able to find one through the Autism Speaks provider directory.

About Seton Hall's Applied Behavior Analysis ProgramsFrank Cicero, Ph.D., BCBA, LBA(NY), is an assistant professor at the College of Education and Human Services and the director of Seton Hall's ABA program, which includes both graduate degree and certificate options. The programs, he says, are helping to decrease the gap between the large number of children with autism needing services in New Jersey and the number of certified and qualified professionals available to provide those services. If you want to learn more about becoming an applied behavior analyst, and this program, please contact Dr. Cicero at frank.cicero@shu.edu.

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Certified Behavior Analyst Offers Tips for Parents Homeschooling Children with Autism During the Pandemic - Seton Hall University News & Events

Eva Murray: Baking bread and watching chickadees – PenBayPilot.com

Anybody, these days, might understandably feel conflicted. A resourceful and resilient citizen cheerfully looking for silver linings to the crisis one minute, singing with others on the computer and taking up new hobbies (I keep getting online ads to sign up for study of quantum physics or Norwegian) is the next moment ready to strangle the idiot who posts yet another chipper little meme about purple finches or sourdough starter. People are out of work, out of money, and sometimes out of patience. They may be really, really worried, both about getting sick and about getting evicted. Most with a financial cushion are still in a state of upheaval. Dr. Nirav Shah of the Maine CDC and the other medical experts keep telling us, Its perfectly fine to not feel fine.

I have been asked about a hundred times recently how I am doing, and the fact is, Im fine. Hesitant to be mocked as being hopelessly nave, I usually remember to add, when asked, that Of course, our comfort, meaning our groceries and freight and mail and access to health care, depends to a great extent upon the health and safety of the air service pilots. Long term, everyone here is concerned about what will happen to the lobster industry. And of course, if anybody on this island gets dangerously ill with this virus, we are set up to manage that maybe once. Thats a big maybe.

The fact is we have always been a community of people who keep a good stock of supplies, who volunteer, and who respond to each others emergencies whether we like each other or not. We will keep each other fed, at any rate. We have always had people among us who dared to do scary things, like venture out into storms to rescue mariners in distress. Whether we dare risk exposing ourselves to each others infectious diseases, I cannot say.

There is so much about human behavior we cannot anticipate. The toilet paper hoarding thing seemed inexplicable to me at first as this was never, even in the more cartoonish media outlets, advertised as an outbreak of amoebic dysentery.

I am baking bread because I happened to have flour and yeast on hand before those commodities became scarce. If you can tolerate a maddeningly upbeat observation, given the genuine fear and illness and hunger in the world, I feel Ive been granted an extension on the start of the busy season and I dont mind that one bit. Thankfull,y my husband and I dont mind each others company, either, and we have enough to eat, and were having a good time watching the chickadees, and the International Space Station, and listening for the woodcock in the evening.

Is it wrong to count the blessings and enjoy the warm bread while others suffer? Is it unfeeling to write about the first peepers when friends are at risk of hunger, poverty, and dangerous illness? I dont know. It really might be.

Hard times bring out the best and the worst in society. People are emotionally fatigued, and many are truly exhausted, so we have to cut our friends a little slack when they lose their temper. I have heard people say things like, Its all about looking out for yourself; coronavirus doesnt care if you act like a jerk. OK, if thats how you want to look at it, but there is a limit. Certain panicky denizens of Dark-Age Europe nailed their neighbors doors shut on account of the plague. We can take measures to better our odds without becoming prejudicial bullies or a public menace.

Social media is overflowing with judgement, including criticism of both gross governmental overreach and gross governmental apathy. Everybodys an expert. People are raging against folks they see at the grocery store wearing N95 masks as though said random food shopper had probably bludgeoned some nurse upside the head and stolen the mask, when, in fact, two months ago our shopper had been sanding floors and owned the mask anyway. Then, there is the hot-button issue of the outta-stater license plates seen in Maine grocery store parking lots, state parks, ferry lines and so on.

To be sure, if you are one from anywhereany state -- who believes that, I can just flee to my 9000 square foot vacation cottage and start my summer two months early, and buy out the tiny local store, because I can run from reality and be safe and damn the little people why, then, sure: Ill sniff disdainfully and question your right to be here. But weve got to watch our prejudices. We may need to back off a little on our quick judgement of strangers.

Many who are being insulted and scorned are hard at work: nurses, linemen, Coast Guard members and such, and others are just going about their business and doing no harm. The license plate is no gauge of the intentions, or the usefulness, of the person in the car. Stooping to the level of acting the bully is never the right way for us to handle our fears.

You may have noticed that it is not the low-paid CNAs and store clerks and delivery drivers who are escaping the hotspots by fleeing to their vacation homes. I am as resentful of this class distinction as anybody. But no matter how Bolshevik our opinions, xenophobia is a bad thing, full stop. Our response to being worried should not be to grow mean. Maine sure doesnt need to greet traveling nurses and power company workers with insult.

While some demand government edicts, and formal directives to businesses to manufacture necessities, others resent and mistrust big-G Government telling anybody what to do whatsoevereven the physical distancing--because next thing you know, they might march us off to concentration camps or try to take away our guns. OK, lets keep this horror movie in perspective. Abuse of power is always a valid worry. Ill be among the first to speak up against treatment of citizens in any way similar to what China did in their enforcement of rules related to the pandemic-- for example, the manhandling of citizenseven if those draconian tactics supposedly helped. That having been said, this is not the time for defiance of common sense just because we resent being told what to do.

Reader, you will likely never meet anybody more resistant, more bristly at the very idea of being given an order than yours truly (just ask my parents). But physical distancing on account of a contagious disease is not akin to sheep-like obedience for its own sake, or citizens blindly following unethical and criminal directives, or Americans giving up our civil rights. This is Stay out of crowds because there is a contagious disease. Stay away from other people for this legitimate reason. Make yourself a mask for when you have to go to the store. We do, seriously, have to protect our civil rights. We also have to extend to other people their rights, including their right to be safe from us. We can do both.

How is it that some people think they have the right to toss their used masks and gloves in the street? Is boorish and callous behavior an expression of their civil rights? No, and nobody thinks it is. If were going to live in civilization, in community with others, then we have to manage a certain degree of restriction on our actions. Not because we are commanded tothe hair stands up on the back of my neck to even think of such a thing!but because we know it could help us all.

We have to do the right thing not because we have been told to, but because it is the right thing. L.L. Bean (to mention only one of many Maine businesses trying to help out) is not manufacturing that safety equipment because it was ordered to.

Above all we must make our best efforts to maintain safety without becoming participants in behavior we would not countenance in calmer times. The mob is not, as a rule, a good leader. As Ive said in other papersand I say this as a part-time, quasi-professional, somewhat-trained disaster-preparedness nerd-- this is not every man for himself, because no disaster ever is.

Eva Murray lives on Matinicus

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Eva Murray: Baking bread and watching chickadees - PenBayPilot.com

Preserving biodiversity to contain viral outbreaks – Geospatial World

Biodiversity is a natural repository for more than half of the medicines that we develop. A large number of disease outbreaks are zoonotic, primarily caused by ecological damage. By changing human behavior, we can make a big difference in terms of handling future pandemics, emphasizes Dr. Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio Associated Vice-President for Conservation and Health at EcoHealth Alliance and a Research Associate at the Bolivian National Herbarium, in a discussion with Dr. Sean OBrien President & CEO at NatureServe

Ecological destruction and loss of habitats of many species causes a lot of problems. Is this also associated with the transmission of viruses from animals to humans?

Most of the diseases in humans come from animals from domestic and from wildlife. These are called zoonosis, and there are around 435 diseases that jumped from animals over the past 60 years into humans. Over 60% of these spillover events are really related to some form of change for example, deforestation or increases in agricultural activities. What happens is when these human activities occur, the contact with wildlife increases. So, we have more encounters with these animals and therefore we get more viruses coming from these animals to us.

Just to be clear, biodiversity itself doesnt represent a threat to humanity its that we humans are getting more comfortable with destroying the habitat of these animals and we are having more encounters with them.

Diseases like AIDS and Ebola also originated from animals. Do you think other than deforestation and rampant ecological destruction, poaching and smuggling of exotic wild animals also plays a role in the spread of these contagions?

HIV jumped from primates to humans. Ebola is linked to deforestation and jumped from bats to humans. In Latin America, we have several different examples of hemorrhagic fevers like hantavirus. Recently, in Bolivia we witnessed the Machupa virus that jumped from rodents into humans, leading to very high mortality rate.

But its not just that. There are also human activities and practices that cause diseases. In the case of COVID-19, there is strong evidence that it jumped from bats into humans in a wildlife market in Wuhan, China. What happens in these places is that we get wildlife from different regions in China and then people go and buy meat. There are several species of animals in the same place.

So, if you can imagine, we have bats, pangolins, sometimes dogs, cats, civets all different species of domestic and wild animals mixed together. Since they dont have necessarily good refrigeration systems, all animals are kept alive there until the moment they are sold to humans. So, when they are sold, theres the moment when the people kill the animal and all the blood gets mixed into other animals, and then there is the opportunity for spillover of viruses. Thats what we believe has happened this time. There are two hypotheses that have been discussed: one is jumping from a bat directly to a human, and then the other idea is that it jumped from a bat to a pangolin, which changed the virus a little bit, and then it jumped to a human.

As per estimates by the World Economic Forum (WEF), over 50% of modern drugs are developed from natural plant extracts. So, clearly, biodiversity is essential not only for the ecosphere, but also for human health and medicine. What do you think needs to be done to preserve biodiversity in a holistic manner and enhance its role in developing new vaccines?

Several treatments for health come from plants. Recently, it has been discussed that chloroquine medicine that has been used for years to treat malaria, can be used in combination with other medication to cure or to treat COVID-19. But this quinine comes from a plant from the Amazon, so its important to keep all this biodiversity, but also work to explore all the active principles that are in these plants and can potentially be used for human health.

What do you think should be done for the realization to hit home that preserving biodiversity is intrinsically connected with human health?

We talk all the time about the risk of emerging infectious diseases and its important to clarify that there are three components of risk. One is what we call hazard in this case, its biodiversity, but especially mammal biodiversity, because these mammals are hosts for all these different pathogens. By itself, biodiversity doesnt represent a risk to humans its when we disturb the biodiversity that we get into trouble.

Also Read: Open data is the future: Sean T. OBrien

The second component is the exposure. Exposure is extremely important, and its related to human behavior. We are already in trouble because of human behavior and our ideas. For Instance, there is a widespread belief in China that traditional medicines and particular types of meat make people healthy; its putting us in danger. But China is not the only place; this happens all around the world bushmeat consumption happens in Africa, Latin America; it happens everywhere. By changing human behavior, we will make a big difference in how we handle future pandemics.

Finally, theres a third component, which is vulnerability. We can understand it as vaccination. Thats why we have been telling people that in this case, people older than 60 years of age are more at risk because they are more vulnerable to this disease. But in other cases, like Zika virus, we also said children that are young, like 5 years or younger, are at risk as well because they are developing the immune system. So, vaccination is important not just for COVID-19 but also for the regular influenza that happens every year.

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Preserving biodiversity to contain viral outbreaks - Geospatial World

Are Concerts Really Not Coming Back Until 2021? – Dallas Observer

If theres one lesson we should have learned over the last four years, its that human behavior is unpredictable, and even our most formidable experts are capable of flawed analysis.

So when The New York Times reports that concerts and other large-scale events are likely to be absent from our lives until fall 2021, the proper response is to take it into consideration along with other possibilities.

But in fairness, the expert who made this prediction is oncologist and Center for American Progress senior fellow Dr. Zeke Emanuel, who is no Cassandra and even less a fool. You may know Emanuel as the older brother of former Chicago mayor and White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel, but his youngest brother, Ari Emanuel, is the CEO of William Morris-Endeavor, one of the largest talent agencies in the film and music industries.

So, yknow, he knows a lot about the human body and has secondhand perspective on how governments and concerts are run.

Larger gatherings conferences, concerts, sporting events when people say theyre going to reschedule this conference or graduation event for October 2020, I have no idea how they think thats a plausible possibility, Emanuel said to the Times. I think those things will be the last to return. Realistically were talking fall 2021 at the earliest.

It wasnt long after that this prediction made the rounds on social media. Fall 2021 became a trending Twitter search after MetalSucks ran a story under the headline Healthcare Expert Says Concerts Wont Return Until Fall 2021 At the Earliest. " Perhaps inadvertently, the story quickly became an indisputable fact:

Its possible that we will go a year-and-a-half without concerts, as Dr. Emanuel predicts, but its also possible that we experience some miraculous breakthrough in the form of a vaccine. Theres a small chance that the coronavirus will wane as temperatures rise over the summer. Conversely, Americas death toll could reach six-digits, and the outbreak could escalate to a point where fall 2021 seems like wishful thinking. Not to bum you out or anything.

The point is, nobody knows for certain whats going to happen, so perhaps people on social media are being myopic when they settle into one view alone in Emanuels prediction.

The big takeaway from the physician's assessment isnt that we may go a year-and-a-half without concerts (although we shouldnt rule it out) its that concerts and other mass gatherings will be the last things to come back once things go back to normal.

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Are Concerts Really Not Coming Back Until 2021? - Dallas Observer

Earth Day Musings – The RoundTable is Evanston’s newspaper – Evanston RoundTable

Prior to the first Earth Day celebration in 1970, most landmark environmental regulations and laws were yet to be passed. It was completely legal for a factory to emit massive black clouds of toxic smoke into the air or dump tons of toxic waste into nearby waterways. Air pollution was commonly accepted as the sight and smell of a prospering nation, leaving mainstream America oblivious to environmental concerns.

In 1962, the publication of Rachel Carson'sSilent Springmarked apowerful impact on the growth of environmental consciousness. With more than 500,000 copies sold in 24 countries, the bestseller became a rallying point for the new social movement in the 1960s, focusing on the indissoluble links between pollution and public health. Earth Day 1970 provided a voice to the emerging movement.

Wisconsin Senator Gaylord Nelson came up with the idea for a national day to focus on the environment as a result of a massive oil spill in Santa Barbara, California, in 1969. Noticing the power behind the student anti-war movement of the time, Senator Nelson sought to harness the energy behind the anti-war protests and merge it with the growing public concern for air and water pollution in order to force environmental protection onto the national political agenda.

April 22 was selected as the date and in 1970, massive coast-to-coast rallies comprising of 10 percent of the total United States population at the time took to streets, parks, and campuses in order to demonstrate for a healthy and sustainable environment. Earth Day united groups across political and socioeconomic boundaries that had been fighting individually against oil spills, polluting factories and power plants, raw sewage, toxic dumps, pesticides, freeways, the loss of wilderness, and the extinction of wildlife. The first Earth Day led to the formation of the United States Environmental Protection Agency as well as the passage of the Clean Air, Clean Water, and Endangered Species Acts.

Twenty years after the first Earth Day celebration, in 1990, Earth Day became a global celebration, mobilizing 200 million people in 141 countries. Today, Earth Day is widely recognized as the largest secular observance in the world, marked by more than a billion people every year as a day of action to change human behavior and provoke policy changes.

On its 50thAnniversary, Earth Day will return to its roots from 1970, placing environmental progress among the best ways to improve our world.

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Earth Day Musings - The RoundTable is Evanston's newspaper - Evanston RoundTable

NATURE NOTES: Right Now We All Need To Be Oystercatchers – Brazosport Facts

These are tough times, folks. I hope this finds you and your family well and safe at home. For those who must go out to work an essential job thank you! Ive been reflecting on how the birds are doing their thing without any notice of how the human population is in turmoil.

Migrant birds are arriving on the coast right on time and passing through our area as normal. The bluebirds at the Gulf Coast Bird Observatory have built a nest and have probably laid eggs by now. The northern parulas are singing their hearts out along the bayou.

But maybe saying the birds are doing their thing without notice is incorrect.

Turkey vultures and other scavengers have probably noticed a lack of roadkill for feasting because there arent as many vehicles on the roads as usual. Wilsons plovers have arrived to nest on beaches that are devoid of humans. Least terns, too. They must be in heaven.

Ive also been comparing and contrasting human behavior with bird behavior, especially with respect to two species that nest here in Texas and are often confused with each other. They look a lot alike. From a distance both appear as dark birds with orange on their bill. Both nest on the ground in shelly substrates on bay islands and are subject to the same threats of nest overwash, predation of eggs and chicks by gulls and mammals, and human disturbance. But they could not be more different in their social behavior.

We humans are most like the black skimmer, a black and white waterbird, somewhat like a tern. They have a unique orange and black bill in which the lower mandible is longer than the upper mandible. They use that lower mandible to snag fish while they skim the water.

Black skimmers are colonial, which means they nest in a colony very close to each other. They like being together, just like us humans. Once their chicks can fly, the adults leave them to their devices and they must learn to survive on their own, but they are almost always found in social groups not related to their first family. I love black skimmers ,but right now, dont be like the black skimmer.

Contrast that with the American oystercatcher, a large black, brown and white shorebird with an orange bill. American oystercatchers are not colonial. They are territorial. They will not let another oystercatcher, even another pairs chick, enter their territory. They are fiercely protective of what they consider their piece of property and are pretty darn antisocial during the breeding season.

It takes 28 days for the eggs to hatch and another 35 days before the young birds can fly. Even after the young birds can fly, though, the family stays together as a group for many months while the young birds learn to feed efficiently. So maybe right now, just for a while, become one with the oystercatchers and stay safe.

Just as the oystercatchers become more social when the breeding season is over (usually July or August), so will we become more social when the threat from COVID-19 is past. Stay safe, everyone, and we will get through this together while 6 feet apart.

Susan Heath, Ph.D., is an avian conservation biologist for the Gulf Coast Bird Observatory, 299 Highway 332 W. in Lake Jackson. Contact the observatory at 979-480-0999 or visit gcbo.org.

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NATURE NOTES: Right Now We All Need To Be Oystercatchers - Brazosport Facts

Restarting the Economy Too Soon Could Damage It More – GovExec.com

The U.S. risks hurting the economy more than helping it if it restarts before mid-June, according to a new study.

The finding provides an answer to one of the most pressing questions facing the countrywhen should we reopen shuttered businesses?

In thepaperon the American Enterprise Institute website, author Anna Scherbina, associate professor of finance at Brandeis University, found that for at least two more months, the economic benefits of controlling the virus and preventing illness and death are greater than the economic cost of closing most nonessential businesses.

Even after we lift the lockdown, or what economists call suppression, we must keep in place more moderate measures, such as wearing face masks and limiting public gatherings, until a vaccine or an effective drug or treatment becomes widely available, says Scherbina.

Otherwise, the economic harm from the viruss spread will be greater than keeping theeconomyshuttered.

I was looking for the date when the cost of keeping businesses shut will become greater than the benefit of containing the spread of COVID-19, Scherbina says. You have to find the moment when the virus is sufficiently under control that it wont significantly damage the economy before a vaccine or a treatment becomes available.

Before coming to the Brandeis International Business School in 2019, Scherbina worked for two years as a senior economist at the US Council of Economic Advisers. While there, she cowrote a paper modeling the economic costs and health impact of a theoretical influenza pandemic on the United States.

When Scherbina wrote the paper, some 30,000 Americans had COVID-19. As of last week, the figure stood at 460,000. Scherbina revised her conclusions to include the new data.

She also stresses some assumptions in her model depend on still-unfolding government policies and human behavior, while others may change as we learn more about the virus.

In her analysis, Scherbina compared the economic costs of businesses staying closed, which causes a steep drop in the gross domestic product, with the economic benefits of a lockdown that prevents people from getting sick and dying.

With widespread illness, productivity drops as people skip work to recover or care for their sick relatives. There are also increased medical costs. Policymakers and economists also assign a dollar value to every life, based on a calculation of how much we would be willing to pay to prevent the death.

In determining the mid-June date, Scherbina used a relatively optimistic estimate of how successful we are in limiting the viruss spread during thelockdown.

Left to spread uncontrollably, the virus has a reproduction rate of 2.4, meaning the typical person would infect an average of 2.4 people over the course of their illness (assuming that no one in the population is immune).

Scherbinas optimistic scenario assumes that our current containment efforts reduce the reproduction rate to 0.5 by the time the economy reopens.

The pessimistic scenario assumes that the containment efforts are less effective and reduces the virus reproduction rate to 0.7. In that case, the economy will need to stay shut until early August (17 weeks from the second week in April).

Both these estimates assume that mitigation efforts will be in place when the lockdown lifts and will largely succeed in slowing the spread of the virus until avaccineor other treatment is available.

Mitigation efforts include wearing face masks, limiting public gatherings, discouraging flying, encouragingworking from home, and offering widespread testing and contact tracing, where anyone who has come in contact with someone who is infected is tracked down and notified.

If mitigation efforts fail, the gains from the lockdown will be negated, and we may have to enter another lockdown period, Scherbina says.

In the absence of a vaccine or an effective treatment, a public health intervention is paramount, Scherbina says. This is what we are doing at this time with the lockdown policy of suppression after which we will switch to a mitigation mode until a vaccine or treatment is available.

Scherbina also calculated the cost to the economy if we made no efforts to control the virus at $9 trillion, a more than 40% drop in the gross domestic product.

Given this high cost, doing nothing is not an option, she says.

Source:Brandeis University

Original Study

This article was originally published inFuturity. Edits have been made to this republication. It has been republished under theAttribution 4.0 International license.

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Restarting the Economy Too Soon Could Damage It More - GovExec.com

Sea turtles expected to thrive now that many people are staying indoors – 10TV

Stay-at-home orders have forced millions of people to stay indoors to prevent the spread of coronavirus.

Now, as summer approaches and beaches remain void of people and pollution, sea turtles are finally able to nest peacefully and they're expected to thrive.

Sarah Hirsch, senior manager of research and data at Loggerhead Marinelife Center, told CBS News affiliate WPEC that "it's going to be a very good year for our leatherbacks."

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"We're excited to see our turtles thrive in this environment," Hirsch said. "Our world has changed, but these turtles have been doing this for millions of years and it's just reassuring and gives us hope that the world is still going on."

David Godfrey, executive director of the Sea Turtle Conservancy, told CBS News in an email that thousands of turtles are currently migrating to nesting beaches in Florida and other areas in the Southeastern United States, and that "all of the potential positive impacts relate to changes in human behavior."

All seven species of sea turtles are endangered. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA), the largest threats sea turtles face in the U.S. are damages to nesting habitats, accidentally getting captured by fishermen, debris entanglement and getting hit by marine vessels.

Godfrey explained that since there are far fewer people boating and operating cruise and container ships now, "the chances that turtles are going to be inadvertently struck and killed will be lower."

"All of the reduced human presence on the beach also means that there will be less garbage and other plastics entering the marine environment," Godfrey added. "Ingestion and entanglement in plastic and marine debris also are leading causes of injury to sea turtles."

A study conducted at the University of Florida in 2016 found that removing debris from the beach can increase the number of nests by as much as 200%.

In Juno Beach, Florida, researchers from the Loggerhead Marinelife Center have found at least 69 nests, which is "significantly more than normal" for the 9.5 miles of beach they include in their research, according to CBS Miami. According to the center, only 1 in 1,000 sea turtle hatchlings live to be adults, and all of the hatchlings the center takes in have ingested microplastics.

Florida reported more than 395,700 sea turtle nests in the 2019 nesting and hatching season, according to the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission. Many nesting sites are along the beaches that double as popular tourist destinations, including in Fort Lauderdale, Miami, and the Florida Keys. But now that the beaches are seeing fewer tourists, closed businesses, and many are still closed to the public, Godfrey said the beaches are darker.

"We expect that thousands of hatchlings that ordinarily would be disoriented by lights this nesting season will not be and are more likely to survive to reach the sea," he said.

Nesting and hatching season lasts from March 1 to October 31.

In Tortuguero, Costa Rica, the Sea Turtle Conservancy announced Friday that they counted 45 leatherback turtle nests, three green turtle nests, and one hawksbill nest.

The first Kemp's ridley sea turtle nest was discovered in Texas on April 11, which the Padre Island Division of Sea Turtle Science and Recovery says is about 10 days earlier than last year. They wrote on Facebook that they hope it's a sign of a "busy nesting year."

The Loggerhead Marinelife Center and other sea turtle researchers have said they are optimistic about how coronavirus will impact the rest of the nesting season.

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Sea turtles expected to thrive now that many people are staying indoors - 10TV