Category Archives: Human Behavior

Art during a pandemic: How artists are responding to COVID-19 – The Prospector

During self-isolating times amid the coronavirus pandemic, artists in El Paso and all over the world are creating artwork and adding value to the shadows of the pandemic. From decorated face masks, drawings and murals, to jewelry and sculptures, heres a few works of art that fall witness to this historical time.

Wash your damn hands

Locally known for her blood art, El Paso native, Juice Martinez, was in the midst of inspiration when creating these fun and humorous drawings that summarize the year of 2020 in a nutshell. With drawings such as the globe that reads 2020 catching on fire, handwashing, to hand-shaking death, the artist created this collection of images that were inspired by the pandemic.

https://www.instagram.com/p/B97XwuUhpOw/

It is more of a means of giving people a smile in the midst of such a serious situation, shared the artist.

https://www.instagram.com/p/B-fejBPhZhM/

Bathe your hands

Finding humor in human behavior during the pandemic, UTEP Alumna, Ruby Franco got inspired when creating, The Perfect Duo, and Bathe your Hands, a set of drawings that depict the hoarding witnessed during the crisis. These drawings are simply just a way of me highlighting the humor of our behavior during the crisis such as overbuying, said Franco who featured her drawings on her Instagram profile dedicated for her artwork, sketchjamz.

https://www.instagram.com/p/B-QrQm2BFAW/

The idea of a hand taking a bath just seemed like the ultimate exaggeration of washing your hands, I thought it was fun and it got the point across quite literally.

Bathe your Hands

Artifacts of Isolation

UTEP drawing major, Marlene Garcia used a 20-gauge silver-craft wire, toilet paper, and earring hooks to create these quirky toilet paper earrings that were inspired by the students metals assignment prompt and the pandemic. We had to come up with three pieces of jewelry to represent various rooms and places; one of them being the bathroom, said Garcia. Plus, to revive the time when people were going crazy for toilet paper, when looking at my piece I hope people can remember those moments and have a laugh.

The pair of earrings were featured on Instagram by Artifacts of Isolation, a collaboration between the San Diego State and UTEP metals program in which they feature student artwork made during isolation. I see it as a reaction to the quarantine and a way to leave a mark for history, said Garcia.

20-gauge Silver-craft Wire Toilet Paper Inspired Earrings

Girl with the blue surgical mask

Based on the 1665 painting by Dutch painter, Johannes Vermeers Girl with a pearl earring, the England-based, street artist, Banksys parody dubbed, Girl with pierced eardrum, receives a new update. The mural, which is located at the artists hometown, Bristol, was updated to the coronavirus era with the addition of a blue surgical mask. It is unknown on whether the artist himself or somebody else attached the mask, since Banksys identity is kept anonymous.

Banksys Girl with a Pierced Eardrum is updated with the addition of a surgical mask

A symbol of loyalty turned into sign of present times

The iconic statue of Hachiko was built to honor the loyalty of the dog who waited outside the Shibuya station in Tokyo, Japan, for his owner every day for nearly 10 years, not knowing the man died at work. The anniversary of Hachikos death took place in April 8, and a memorial service had been planned but was canceled due to Covid-19 safety protocols.

Bouquets of flowers were placed beneath the statue and a person even placed a mask over the dogs snout which has been removed various of times by management. However, people keep coming back to place a face mask on the statue as a reminder for people to wear their mask.

Symbol of loyalty turned into a sign of the times.

As Sora News 24 wrote, Let his perseverance be an example for you, if a dog can wait 10 years for his owner, surely we as humans can last a couple of months staying at home.

Luke Jerram unveils new glass sculpture dedicated to research

British installation artist Luke Jerram has created a glass sculpture in tribute to the pandemic, which was commissioned eight weeks before the crisis by a University in America to reflect their current and future research. This artwork is a tribute to the scientists and medical teams who are working collaboratively across the world to try to slow the spread of the virus. It is vital we attempt to slow the spread of coronavirus by working together globally, so our health services can manage this pandemic, said the artist on Glass Microbiology.

https://www.instagram.com/p/B91bpBBBSAd/

Coronalisa

The UB Post shared an article on the Indian Council for Cultural Relations who announced it would be holding a COVID-19 themed global art competition. The article featured a collage titled, Coronalisa, which was done by graphic designer, Kasia Kosar, which depicts Leonardo da Vincis Mona Lisa wearing a face mask along with images of soap bars, the hands from Michelangelos Creation of Adam and the coronavirus cell.

https://www.instagram.com/p/B9mcwo_laTl/

Jaqueline Martinez may be reached at [emailprotected]

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Art during a pandemic: How artists are responding to COVID-19 - The Prospector

Whats in a nudge? The Manila Times – The Manila Times

WHEN things get better we want them now, dont we? and feeling like some semblance of normal times has returned, perhaps we can look back and see how overrated the feeling of fear has been.

Fear has kept us from knowing what this pandemic is really all about. Life has been hard; and people who, with reason, feared the new virus have made it harder.

We are unable to ask in detail how people who died from the coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) coped with the disease up to the last minute that they were able to tell their stories because we fearedgetting infected ourselves. We did not even think about forensic examination of as many samples of Covid-19 cadavers as we should, lest we unbundle the spread of the virus even more, opting instead not to waste a second in sending them to cremation.

If fear had not crippled us, perhaps we would know by now that all it takes to arrest the contagion is a nudge; that mass morbidity is best managed at home with the help of grasses and herbs that can easily be found in many backyards. We would know that quarantine regulations are mostly baseless and the bleeding economy they dragged out of the running with them is an unnecessary casualty. Isnt it madnessthatsomebody got killed as a result of enforcing checkpoints?

We would know that face masks are equally overrated; that they help accumulate the elevated levels of carbon dioxide in front of our nostrils instead of keeping our mouths and noses free from hostile airborne invasion.

And so the brainstorming over what ifs goes on. Some ideas have already taken shape.

If this thoroughly devastating global experience has any redeeming value, if something good can come out of this pandemic, it might be one that helps mold human behavior.

The United Nations, for example, has documented cases on behavioral insights that aim to design more effective responses to Covid-19. Below is an excerpt of a UN report:In the Arab States region, behavioral insights (BI) have been a long-standing favorite intheUnited Nations Development Programs (UNDP) toolbox of innovation methodologies contributing to the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals. Now, UNDPcountryoffices are looking to BI to inform their responses to Covid-19. UNDP Sudan is busy running a range of perception surveys to better understand consumer behaviour and using these findings among others to develop behaviorallyinformed messages to limit panic-buying.

UNDP Egypt is partnering with telecommunication companies to send out SMS messages encouraging positive behaviors linked to: i) Covid-19 hygiene practices; ii) physical distancing; iii) countering the spread of misinformation; and iv) staying at home. UNDP Kuwait is exploring the use of behavioral insights to address the mental health vulnerabilities laid bare by the pandemic with a particular focus on addressing domestic violence. What these interventions recognize is that information and awareness are crucial, but in and of themselves may not be as effective as we would hope. Making sure we respond to peoples inherent cognitive biases matters, particularly in the midst of an infodemic a proliferation of information that makes it difficult for people to distinguish reliable sources.

Led by UNDP Lebanon, several online forumsand surveys have been conducted to facilitate consensus building on Covid-19-related behavioral barriers and possible nudges. The report continues: A nudge, in the words of Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein, is any aspect of the choice architecture that alters peoples behavior in a predictable way without forbidding any options or significantly changing their economic incentives. Sounds complex, but a nudge can be something as simple as placing hand sanitizer dispensers in more accessible spots or drawing attention to them through visual cues.

Takeaways from these exercises to which many other countries or communities can relate include the following:

Use influencers and community leaders to deliver messages more impactfully. For example, UNDP Somalia has mobilized its community of Somali storytellers to produce videos, animations and photos that are informing the public about how to protect themselves and others from infection. UNDP Lebanon hired service providers to record how-to videos on handwashing and to encourage a sense of responsibility vis-a-vis others. These initiatives are helping to localize key messages, to brand desirable behaviors as the social norm, and to make the threat more palpable. This is known as the bandwagon effect if we perceive that others are increasingly engaging in a behavior, we become more likely to do so ourselves even if it is not something we would normally consider.

Evoke emotion, create a sense of pride around helping to protect ones family and community. This appeals to the affect heuristic whereby our decisions are very often driven by our emotions even when we think we are motivated by logic.

Remind people of all the things they can do from home, including available e-services and the various ways to connect with friends virtually. Reminders give salience to the desired behavior and have been shown to be effective nudges.

Public behavior compliant with World Health Organization guidance has been recognized as a critical element in reducing virus transmission. Behavioral insights can complement more restrictive policy measures with a deeper understanding of how people make decisions. In times of crisis, we cannot rely on business as usual, let alone on rational reactions.

The social context of countries like the Philippines that have redeveloped a liking for authoritarian tendencies and have therefore become more dependent on authoritative figures (not necessarily the law) to shape social order, might be a little different. But the point of BIs and nudges is that it often takes more than authoritative figures and the law to influence human behavior (especially when there is no CCTV or when the police are out of sight, LOL). It is about culture. We need to know who we are, and start building nudges from there.

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Whats in a nudge? The Manila Times - The Manila Times

WNY needs to test, trace and follow the protocols – Buffalo News

We can thank public health officials and the medical industry for the fact that testing for the novel coronavirus is now widely available in New York State.

Two other major tests, drawing as much from psychology as from epidemiology, remain for the rest of us to pass. First, can we maintain the practices of social distancing and wearing masks to minimize the spread of Covid-19?

Second, can businesses, retail stores, restaurants and anywhere else people gather engender a sense of confidence among their workers and members of the public that their environments are safe?

Reopening the Western New York region is in the hands of each individual, Lt. Gov. Kathy Hochul told The News. Hochul is in charge of the regions recovery. People need to continue social distancing, hand-washing and mask-wearing. Essential workers, those they live with and anyone showing symptoms or exposed to someone with the virus should get tested for Covid-19. Its free.

For anyone in those categories, Erie Countys Health Department has a searchable map of testing sites on its website. Niagara County residents have the option of a drive-thru testing site at Niagara County Community College. Covid tests are also available in Allegany, Cattaraugus and Chautauqua counties.

Erie County received 100,000 antibody tests, and will have appointments available in June. Antibodies show whether someone has already been infected with Covid-19. Its believed they provide immunity against the disease, though researchers are not sure how long the immunity lasts.

Test and trace is the mantra ringing throughout the state. Big Tech is getting involved, though old-fashioned legwork will play a bigger role in contact tracing here.

Google and Apple last week announced the roll-out of their jointly developed technology that health authorities can use to build contract tracing apps, which can notify users if they have been exposed to someone who tested positive for coronavirus.

The apps, which can use Bluetooth signals from mobile devices to identify those who have been exposed to Covid-19, raise privacy concerns over government agencies having access to data from our smartphones. New York State is sticking to its plan to put an army of human contract tracers to work, but that doesnt mean we wont be tracked by tracing apps. Even if Big Brother is not watching, Big Business likely will be.

The private sector is where the devices will make their mark. Technology firms are racing to build contract tracing apps or wearables they can sell to companies, who can use them as a tool to instill confidence in their employees that its safe to return to work.

Employees already surrender some layers of privacy to whomever they work for. Having their phones ping information about possible exposure to Covid-19 is peeling away one more layer, a worthwhile trade-off for soothing their fears about being able to safely enter the workplace.

In Erie County, the number of Covid-19 patients in hospitals is trending downward, County Executive Mark Poloncarz said over the weekend. That puts the county on track toward the second phase of reopening.

McKinsey and Co., the management consulting firm, published an article last week urging businesses to think of reopening not as a phase, but a time to think about developing a new muscle for handling change.

The muscle has to be a fast-twitch one, characterized by a willingness to change plans and base decisions on hypotheses about the future supported by continually refreshed microdata about whats happening, for example, in each retail location, the company said. And the muscle also needs some slow-twitch fibers to set long-term plans and manage through structural shifts.

As businesses of all kinds develop those new muscles, to welcome back employees and lure back their customers, the rest of us need to do our parts to allow our region to fully reopen.

What we have controlled in terms of expanding testing and getting contact tracers, we have but what I cant control is human behavior, Hochul said. Thats why I need the help of this community.

Whats your opinion? Send it to us at lettertoeditor@buffnews.com. Letters should be a maximum of 300 words and must convey an opinion. The column does not print poetry, announcements of community events or thank-you letters. A writer or household may appear only once every 30 days. All letters are subject to fact-checking and editing.

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WNY needs to test, trace and follow the protocols - Buffalo News

Cyr column: Life and disease – and fear – Jackson County Newspapers

Columns share an authors personal perspective.*****

The media COVID-19 focus continues, even as we begin to reopen and return to a more normal existence. To provide context, media talking heads often mention the devastating Spanish Flu pandemic of 1918.

The reference ignores health challenges over the intervening decades. This is strikingly similar to superficial discussion of the international financial crisis of 2007-2008, often described as the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s.

In both the economic crash of a decade ago and the current public health challenges, descriptions of the past often ignore important developments between the earlier time cited and the present. That is revealing.

Consider the decades between the onset of the Great Depression and the financial crash early in the current century, which resulted from casino-capitalism style speculation. In the 1970s, a destructive threat faced the international economy - stagflation, meaning high inflation combined with high unemployment. Earlier, professional economists especially in the academic world had confidently predicted this devastating combination could not occur.

A belief based on the Phillips Curve, which indicated historically there was a direct tradeoff between inflation and unemployment, turned out to be mistaken regarding future developments. Once again, as through history, collective human behavior undermined assumptions based on selective evidence drawn from the relatively recent past.

During the 1960s, rapidly escalating U.S. federal spending and fiscal deficits brought on the curse of relentlessly rising prices, and the OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) oil embargo and extreme price increases of 1973 and 1979 fueled the financial flames. High and rising unemployment failed to provide the sort of relief expected by acolytes of the Phillips Curve.

High oil costs rapidly spread through other parts of the economies of industrialized nations generally, and growth stagnated. This continued through the decade. Paul Volcker, nominated by President Jimmy Carter to head the Federal Reserve Board, finally broke the back of the inflation beast with restrictive monetary policy and high interest rates. Significant strong economic growth followed.

Before the stagflation decade, flu pandemics plagued the United States and many other nations.

During 1957-1958, the Asian Flu was a major public health problem. The pandemic originated in China, as the misnamed Spanish Flu of 1918 probably did as well.

The Hong Kong flu came to the United States in September 1968 and spread rapidly. Troops returning home from service in the Vietnam War in Southeast Asia introduced the virus.

President Lyndon B. Johnson was among the many who became severely ill as a result.

Approximately 100,000 Americans and an estimated one million people worldwide died from the Hong Kong flu. This was far less than the estimated 675,000 Americans and 50 million people worldwide who perished from the 1918 flu.

The 1968-1969 U.S. flu illness and death rates were roughly comparable to what is occurring now. Mercifully, young people appear to be relatively immune to COVID-19. That was not the case with these earlier pandemics.

Yet there were no mass isolations, government restrictions or media obsessions. People generally viewed disease as a part of life. The scourge of polio, which devastated children, was only defeated in 1955 with the Salk vaccine. The last case of smallpox in the U.S. was in 1949.

The good news is collectively we are so secure that anything less is a shock. The bad news is that we are extremely vulnerable to fear.

Fear can kill an individual, institutions and eventually a society.Arthur I. Cyr is Clausen Distinguished Professor at Carthage College and author of After the Cold War (NYU Press and Macmillan). Contact acyr@carthage.edu.

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Cyr column: Life and disease - and fear - Jackson County Newspapers

What is R-naught for the COVID-19 virus and why it’s a key metric for re-opening plans – ABC News

If you've been reading coronavirus news coverage, you've likely stumbled across a reference to a term called "R0." It's been on the tips of world leaders' tongues in recent months, including German Chancellor Angela Merkel's, whose R0 explanation garnered a striking 9 million views on Twitter in April.

Pronounced "R-naught," the reproductive number is an indicator of how contagious a disease is, or how easily it spreads from person to person in a community. The number is important because government leaders are using R0 as a proxy for determining whether their respective COVID-19 outbreaks are growing, shrinking and or holding steady.

Crucially, R0 is not a fixed number. It's a jumping off point that's influenced by many factors, including human behavior.

People relax in circles marked on the grass for proper social distancing at Brooklyn's Domino Park during the coronavirus outbreak, May 18, 2020, in New York. The circles were added after the park, which offers excellent views of the Williamsburg Bridge and the Manhattan skyline, became severely overcrowded during a spate of warm weather.

The reproductive number of a virus, or R0, is the number of people, on average, that one infected person will subsequently infect. The naught in R0 refers to the zeroth generation of a disease, as in "patient zero." A higher R0 means more people will be infected over the course of the outbreak. A lower number means fewer people will be infected over time. That replication will continue if there are no vaccinations against the illness or immunity in the population.

Because that number is imprecise and variable, it's often expressed as a range.

Here are a few examples:

If R0 is 1, each infected person infects just one other person, on average. Over time, the number of infected people will remain the same.

If R0 is less than 1, each sick person is infection fewer than one person, on average, so the number of infected individuals will shrink over time. In case case of COVID-19, and R0 of less than 1 means lockdown measures could be eased.

If R0 is greater than 1, each sick person is infecting more than one person, on average, so the outbreak will grow. So, lockdown measures may need to remain in place.

And while R0 = 1 and R0 = 2 might seem close, "the difference between a reproductive number of 1 and a reproductive number of 2 is huge, in terms of the number of people who will ultimately be infected," Emily Gurley, an associate scientist at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health explained during an online course she teaches about contact tracing.

"Everything we can do to help us get the reproductive number closer to 1 will help us control the spread of a disease," Gurley added.

People wearing masks walk past an recently reopened bar in the East Village amid the coronavirus pandemic, May 14, 2020, in New York City.

Measles, which is one of the most infectious diseases that scientists know of, has an R0 of about 15. (While there's some dispute about this number, measles is frequently cited as having an R0 between 12 and 18 in scientific literature.)

With an R0 of 15, every person infected with measles will go on to sicken 15 additional people.

On the other end of the spectrum, MERS, or Middle East Respiratory Syndrome, another type of coronavirus, has an R0 lower than 1, meaning on average, each infected person infects less than one other person. Because of that low reproductive number, MERS does not usually result in large disease outbreaks.

A safe and effective vaccine is not expected until at least 2021, so how does herd immunity work, and how can this method help in getting us back to our lives and preventing the spread of COVID-19?

For now, scientists have calculated the R0 of the novel coronavirus to be between 2 and 3, meaning each infected individual will infect to two to three additional people, on average.

As a historical comparison, the R0 of the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic is estimated to have been between 1.4 and 2.8, according to an article published in BMC Medicine.

They're numerous.

Some government leaders have framed their discussion of R0 as a race to get below 1, but like many scientific concepts, R0 is more complicated than a one-time race to success.

R0, which involves modeling, can change from place to place and is impacted by human behavior. It involves imperfect and different estimates based on assumptions and educated guesswork by scientists. As researchers aptly noted in a paper published in the journal Emerging Infectious Diseases last year, R0 is "easily misrepresented, misinterpreted, and misapplied."

As in the case of measles, scientists continue to disagree on the R0 of even diseases they've been studying for decades.

In the United States, the COVID-19 outbreak has not been uniform. Different regions, states and cities have had their own micro-outbreaks, which are on different timelines, making it hard to assign one R0 to the entire country. New York City, Seattle and Chicago may have very different R0 numbers than one another.

That's not to say governments shouldn't try to lower their R0 numbers. Though imperfect, it's a useful proxy for estimating how the lockdown and reopening policies of states and cities are working -- or not.

Tune into ABC at 1 p.m. ET and ABC News Live at 4 p.m. ET every weekday for special coverage of the novel coronavirus with the full ABC News team, including the latest news, context and analysis.

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What is R-naught for the COVID-19 virus and why it's a key metric for re-opening plans - ABC News

Parenting: Behavior modification was never really proved – NWAOnline

Psychologist B.F. Skinner, the formulator of behavior modification theory, was attempting to prove that the same principles that govern the behavior of amoeba, planaria, rats, dogs and monkeys also govern the behavior of human beings. A very Darwinian proposition, indeed.

What my graduate school professors conveniently "forgot" to tell me: Skinner failed to prove his hypothesis, and no researcher has ever succeeded where Skinner did not. Some have claimed success, but all they've succeeded at proving, really, is the fact that human beings are economists by nature. From a very early age, humans weigh benefits versus costs and make logical decisions, if not always rational ones.

Dogs are not economists. Behavior modification strategies manipulations of reward and punishment compel the behavior of a dog. Their outcomes are predictable. But behavior modification outcomes are not at all reliably predictable in a human, even an infant.

Researchers have found that when the subject is human, rewards and punishments have paradoxical effects at times. Rewards can lessen desired behavior and punishment can increase undesired behavior. Significant numbers of parents have discovered the same paradox, albeit most of them don't understand what it is they're seeing.

Put a 15-month-old child in two minutes of timeout every time he goes after one of his mother's set of limited-edition porcelain figurines and watch as his determination to obtain the figurines increases. Praise and continue to praise a 4-year-old child for making an attempt to draw a horse and watch him stop drawing horses. In both cases, economics is at work.

In the case of the toddler, two minutes in a chair doesn't begin to outweigh the thrill of the chase. The more timeouts, the more of a challenge those figurines become. The 4-year-old stops drawing horses because he figures out, intuitively, that any old horse is good enough to send his mother into clapping spasms, high-fives, and "woo-woos!" That wears thin quickly.

To work, punishments must outweigh a child's determination to win, to prove that no one can tell him what to do. To win over the little rebel/economist, the cost of misbehaving must be significantly greater than the benefit and believe me when I say that rebellion is its own benefit. It scratches a persistent itch. The parental goal should be to punish infrequently, but when punishment is necessary, to do so in ways that establish permanent memories. Timeout is the least memorable of all punishments, by the way. It's merely annoying.

To be motivating, rewards must be dispensed conservatively. The more "everyday" they are, the less meaningful they become. The value of a reward is inverse to its frequency. The scarcity of praise forces a child to self-reward, which characterizes all high achievers.

As I will maintain forever, child-rearing is not complicated; it's almost completely a matter of common sense. Unfortunately, for going on 50 years now, American parents have been listening to professional "parenting" types who have made it seem complicated and anything but common-sensical.

Write to family psychologist John Rosemond at The Leadership Parenting Institute, 420 Craven St., New Bern, N.C. 28560 or email [emailprotected] Due to the volume of mail, not every question will be answered.

Style on 05/26/2020

Print Headline: Behavior modification was never really proved

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Mel Schilling, Married At First Sight Expert: Age, Profession, Where Is She From? – The Cinemaholic

Unlike other reality dating shows, Married At First Sight has the participants already paired up by relationship experts, after which they immediately get thrust into a committed relationship where they then must figure out how to adjust to a newly married life with a complete stranger. The couples do have access to the experts to help them with all their troubles and problems, but it is mostly their own connections and behavior that determines how their relationship fares on the series.

The relationship experts analyze and determine every aspect of a participants profile before pairing them up with somebody else. While one expert focuses on how an individuals brain can affect a relationship, the other focuses on their behavior and old habits. One such expert on the show is Mel Schilling.

Mel Schilling or Melanie Schilling is a 48-year-old Australian human behavior and performance specialist. Not only is she just a romantic relationship expert, but she has also had the opportunity to successfully work with people from all stages of life from dating to relationships, to parenthood, to career relationships and even with people going through a divorce.

Having more than 20 years of experience in this line of work as a therapist, business consultant, and leadership coach, Mel is extremely passionate about educating, motivating, and inspiring people to be their best possible selves. She believes that a person can only be genuinely happy in life if they are satisfied with their relationships with the people who surround them.

With a degree in Psychology from the University of Melbourne, a Bachelors in Psychology degree from the Deakin University along with a Graduate Certificate in Human Resources and Industrial Relations from the University of Victoria, Mel has worked as not only a therapist but as a public speaker and motivator as well.

With her thorough education in psychology coupled up with her years of experience, Mel has developed a unique delivery, which, more often than not, includes light-hearted humor full of information, that enables her point to come across in a completely effective way. As an advocate for mental health, Mel also focuses on self-confidence and courage. Because of her success in her line of work and her personality, she has been a part of the Australian edition of Married At First Sight for the last five years.

Mel spent ten years in Melbourne as a single woman actively involved in the dating game, so she knows a lot about the dating world from her personal experience as well. This was, of course, before she met the love of her life, Gareth, when she was 40. The two got into a serious relationship quite quickly and went down the IVF road to have their daughter, Maddie, when Mel was 42. The couple got married just last year in a small yet beautiful ceremony in Bali.

Honestly, if you want to be inspired every day and know how to be more confident and build healthy relationships, make sure to follow Mel on her Instagram account.

Read More: Who Is John Aiken?

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Mel Schilling, Married At First Sight Expert: Age, Profession, Where Is She From? - The Cinemaholic

Is There Inflation in Your Future? Or Deflation? Mother Jones – Mother Jones

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When we finally defeat COVID-19 and everyone goes back to work (think positive!), are we due for a big bout of inflation? Or a big bout of deflation? Youd think top-flight economists could agree on at least this much, but no.

Heres the basic case for inflation: As the economy opens up, people will go back to work pretty quickly. They havent been spending much during the lockdown, and the poor have been showered with money via the stimulus and the bonus unemployment checks. Theyve got a lot of money to spend, and that demand is going to be high while supply is still trying to catch up. Thus inflation.

The case for deflation is basically the mirror image: Businesses that have been shut down can rehire workers pretty quickly and get their factories going in a short time. Ditto for service workers like hair cutters and loan consultants. Meanwhile, consumers are still in a state of shock and are going to be pretty careful with their spending for a while. After all, the UI bonus may have been great for the poor and working classes, but the engine of consumer spending is the middle and upper-middle classes, and they lost income during the pandemic. The result is that supply will get on its feet quickly while demand is still uncertain. Thus deflation.

So which is it? My personal view is neither. With a few exception, businesses dont need to produce at full capacity instantly. Likewise, consumer spending isnt likely to rise to pre-COVID levels immediately. Businesses will get their inventories back up to normal levels while they watch whats happening to consumer spending. Consumers will start spending more as shortages go away and they gain confidence that another coronavirus wave isnt coming. Business will see that and produce more. Consumers will see that and spend more. After a few quarters, everything will be back to normal with no significant effect on inflation at all.

I could, of course, be totally wrong. All of this depends not on twenty pages of Greek-letter math, but on a simple prediction of human behavior. If consumers, in particular, turn out to be far more cautious than I think, deflation may be in our future. Conversely, if it turns out they all want to party and they want to do it now, then we might get some inflation. Im not willing to place a bet on either one, but if you think you know human nature better than me, Wall Street will be happy to take your bet on an inflation target for the next few months. Go for it.

POSTSCRIPT: Of course, this all assumes we dont get a huge second wave of COVID-19 that kills us all, in which case inflation will be the least of our worries. Think positive!

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Is There Inflation in Your Future? Or Deflation? Mother Jones - Mother Jones

‘Mad Men’: A Complete Guide to Watching the Series – Vulture

I have a long history with Mad Men. I wrote episode reviews for Vulture and The New Republic. I published longer essays about the series in the print edition of New York Magazine, and stand-alone pieces in other venues. Throughout season seven, I went on radio programs and podcasts to talk about the show. Given all this, when I decided to publish a book about the show, Mad Men Carousel and then, years later, during the 2020 pandemic, started writing about the series yet again my friends would ask, Havent you had enough?

The answer is no. Because Mad Men is built to last.

Every episode is packed with comic and dramatic moments; period-accurate clothes and hairstyles and music; imaginative, hilarious, often deeply moving performances; and screenwriting that depicts the complexities and contradictions of the human personality with more insight and empathy than any American series to date. Its a drama about how individuals are and are not affected by the local, national, and international history thats constantly unfolding around them. Its a psychodrama about how our personalities are shaped by our parents, our lovers, our friends, our bosses, and everyone else we know, as well as by people weve never met but feel as if we know: the politicians, civil-rights leaders, athletes, movie stars, musicians, and other icons who inspire, entertain, confound, and sometimes anger us as we muddle through our daily lives. Its also a series with an unusually strong affinity for mythology, spirituality, religion, psychoanalysis, pop psychology, literature, poetry, cinema, and all the other means by which human experience is transformed into narrative. And at every level the scene, the episode, the season, and in total it is a masterpiece of construction, filled with major and minor bits of foreshadowing and recollection, lines and images seeming to answer each other across time.

And even as it manages to do, and be, all of these things and others, it entertains. Really entertains. Its exciting, sexy, sometimes sad, but above all else, its funny: a show that inflicts so much darkness on its characters is obligated to offer a bit of light as compensation, otherwise we wouldnt go near it.

The fifth anniversary of the series finale this month coincides with a global pandemic, during which many viewers are revisiting the show, or watching it for the first time. For those seeking a critical companion, weve gathered the best of ourMad Mencoverage in one place.The season-one recaps here are republished from Mad Men Carousel. (Editors note: Vulture was slow to catch on to Mad Men and did not recap season one.) Recaps of seasons two through four were written by my former colleague Logan Hill, who preceded me at Vulture on this particular beat. I recapped the series beginning in season five and continued through the finale. Most of them were written in the moment, without the benefit of an advance screener, and often published within hours of an episodes debut. As a result, they can have a spontaneous quality and occasionally offer speculations about future plot developments that were eventually validated or proven wrong (sometimes wildly so).

What emerges, for me anyway, after reading and writing eight years worth of Mad Men recaps, is the astonishing sturdiness of Matthew Weiners series. As many times as Ive watched it as I write this, Ive seen every episode at least five times, sometimes more I always notice new things, be they micro (when these New Yorkers go to California, they always come back a bit sunburned) to the macro (certain behavior patterns in the characters are mirrored by whats happening in the nation over time). While the series deals with history head-on, it mostly avoids the temptation to explain what it all meant, preferring to view the biggest events obliquely, cutting their potency by having characters hear the big news late, or at a moment when their own personal problems seem much larger. This rings true to life. Sometimes, to paraphrase Casablanca, our individual stories amount to hills of beans, and other times they take precedence (unless the news is so shocking and enormous that it brings life to a temporary standstill).

The show likes letting its characters just be. Fascinated as it clearly is by Freud and Jung and the Bible and the tarot deck, it is ultimately anti-theory. Its about human behavior occurring in the moment. It doesnt explain. It observes. Its not about the period; its about the question mark.

The preceding piece was adapted from Matt Zoller Seitzs 2015 criticism anthology Mad Men Carousel.

What Critics Said About Mad Men When It First Premiered

Jon Hamm on the Future of Mad Men

Emily Nussbaum on Pete Campbells Poignant Crumminess

How Joans Rape Changed Everything

Mad Men Replaces Bobby Draper, Again

The Arrangements Is the Quintessential Mad Men Episode

Why Mad Men Is Even More Addicting in Its Third Season

A Season-Three Postmortem With Emily Nussbaum and Logan Hill

Interviews with: Rich Sommer, Vincent Kartheiser, Elisabeth Moss, Christina Hendricks

Why Do the Writers Make Betty Draper Such a Monster?

What Makes Mad Men Great

Interviews: Cara Buono, Elisabeth Moss, Jared Harris, Matthew Weiner

Whats Really Happening When Mad Mens Characters Sing

In Defense of Fat Betty Draper

No One Should Be Shocked by Joans Big Move

How Suicide Has Haunted Mad Men Since Season One

Pete Campbell Is Just a Failed Don Draper

Mad Men Is a Comedy

Jon Hamm Picks His Favorite Season-Five Episode

Interviews: Jessica Par, Jared Harris, John Slattery

Does Don Draper Want to Be Every Woman He Sleeps With?

Mad Men Is the Most Anti-Pregnancy Show Ever

How The Crash Retells My Old Kentucky Home

Tracing the Troubled History of Peggy and Joan

Not Great, Bob!: The Making of Mad Mens Greatest Meme

Everyone Gets Tired of Don, Including Don

Interviews: Elisabeth Moss, Matthew Weiner

Mad Men Doesnt Believe in Love

Every Big Change at Sterling Cooper

Has There Ever Been a More Mad Men Song Than Is That All There Is?

How the Mad Men Pilot Predicted the Final Episodes

The Coke Ad: What You Need to Know to Understand the Finale

Mad Men Understood Human Behavior Better Than Any Other Show

The Vulture TV Podcast: On the End of Mad Men

Margaret Lyonss Episodic Close Reads: The Runaways, The Strategy, Waterloo, New Business, The Forecast, Time & Life, Lost Horizon, The Milk and Honey Route, Person to Person

Interviews: Vincent Kartheiser, Robert Morse, Ben Feldman, John Slattery, Matthew Weiner, Elisabeth Moss, Elizabeth Reaser, Aaron Staton, Stephanie Drake, Alison Brie, Jay R. Ferguson

Link:
'Mad Men': A Complete Guide to Watching the Series - Vulture

How COVID-19 Has Affected Waste Across the Globe – waste360

Changes in human behavior directly affect waste patterns and there is nothing like a global pandemic to test that theory. These fluctuations in waste can wreak havoc for waste collectors, but having data to direct operational resources is key to managing these fluctuations with maximum efficiency and quality.

With that in mind, we reached out to one of Waste360s 40 Under 40 winners,Geoffrey Aardsma, VP of client services at Enevo.Enevo works with its customers to transform the financial, environmental and social impact of waste. Aardsma and his team are charged with delivering value by combining groundbreaking data analytics with deep industry knowledge.

Here are some insights into a recent Enevo report that looked at a number of ways the COVID-19 safety protocols have affected waste across the globe.They looked at three of their waste generators that span geography and sector, including:

Enevo compared their waste from March and April 2019 to the same timing in 2020. Heres a deeper dive into the results.

Waste360: What has surprised you the most about the waste behavioral changes youve tracked?

There hasnt been a uniform response to the pandemic across sectors. Each container we monitor has demonstrated a unique response. Weve had a restaurant client return their sales to pre-quarantine numbers through takeout only -- so theyve had higher waste production than other restaurants we monitor. Even amongst our neighborhood containers, some produce more than others. Individual container insight has been crucial for our customers when adjusting schedules and routes.

Waste360: With the smart city example, what specific changes were made as a result of your data?

The European smart city has had to add more trucks to service communal containers as a result of the increase in residential waste. Data insight created a targeted response in increased resources and prevented an overcorrection. The city was able to commit the exact number of required resources.

With a quarantine restriction in play and more trucks and staff hired, the smart city employed more stringent safety protocols. Our tech eliminates unnecessary collections so we can reduce opportunities for exposure. Additionally, with automatically optimized schedules and routes, they arent rushed and can take the time to conduct collections as safely as possible.

Waste360: Do more routes and pickups present challenges if the city is densely constructed and populated, with narrow streets?

Every route has challenges, data helps users navigate them. Theres currently less traffic on the roads, but other factors are playing a bigger role: more collections, weight-based restrictions, time-based restrictions, and minimum frequencies. Our tech automatically responds to these restrictions while creating an appropriate collection schedule and route, so our haulers have been able to adjust accordingly -- in European alleyways or rural America.

Waste360: Are you seeing differences between American behavior and European?

In Europe, many larger cities use communal containers (typically just a block away) where people can collectively bring their waste and source separate their recyclables. These containers can be either large side- or rear-loading containers, up to 3.2m in size or even larger semi- or fully underground containers, up to 5-6m.

These units are easier to track and plan for collections than the common residential cart systems common in the U.S. With a higher capacity, there is more natural compaction and therefore less rapid fill than the smaller capacity carts.

We see trends that are consistent across European and American waste generation. A shift in waste generation from commercial to residential presents collectors with the challenge of how to also adjust their resources to match the demand.

Waste360: What were the biggest changes with the convenience store?

The convenience store subscribes to scheduled weekly collections based on their unique waste trends. As the weather warmed, they were preparing for the expected seasonal increase wed detected years past. Instead, they had to plan a decrease in service due to the COVID-19 safety measures.

We had never seen a pandemic, so it was difficult to anticipate exactly how many collections were still necessary. The convenience store relied solely on our automated schedule optimization tool, which allowed them to analyze trends during the early weeks of the safety measures and quickly adjust services.

Waste360: What were the biggest changes with the university?

The university uses the Enevo system to execute their on-campus collections, so theyve reduced collections in line with reductions in generation. This has allowed them to dedicate resources to other campus needs, like increased cleaning and safety protocols.

Waste360: Getting any sense if the waste being generated is bulkier? Heavier?

We have not seen or heard any of the haulers report any major shifts in average weight.

Waste360: Generally, residential has been up and commercial has been down for the past couple of months. Is that what you are seeing and is the trash taking up less space?

Our waste data is measured in volume. As we track fluctuations in waste, its in terms of space in the container. Our sensor can measure waste in 130+ container types, so its difficult to generalize volume across containers (especially with so many current extraneous variables). What we are seeing is an increase in residential waste volumes and a decrease in commercial volumes.

Waste360: Whats been the biggest efficiency change?

The biggest efficiency change for Enevo haulers has been in resourcing their operations given the shift in waste volumes and increased safety protocols leaving less time per route for collections.

Waste data has been crucial in matching generator behavior. Weve been able to adjust accurately and have the ability to re-adjust very quickly based on true needs.

Waste360: Is weather any significant variable in the comparisons?

Its harder to measure the current impact of weather with so many other outstanding variables. Currently, we only track year-over-year waste trends. Our sensors do measure temperature, but we havent yet normalized the data for weather patterns. However, we know that weather has a significant impact on waste generation (both commercial and residential) as it drives consumer behavior. We are working on these analytics as part of our product roadmap.

Waste360: Are you tracking recycling bins as well? Are people recycling a larger or smaller percentage than before?And if so, what does that look like?

Were seeing a general increase in residential waste and recycling.

There hasnt really been an uniform recycling response, but we have noticed considerable upticks in certain areas. In a few of our community multi-source recycling bins, glass bottles and cans are significantly higher. This indicates a possible increase in beverage consumption in particular.

Waste360: Will you continue to monitor this and report back?

Always. We have 40,000 active sensors collecting data in real time for our customers. They use the data to tackle their services in the most efficient and sustainable manner possible. Our broader data insights are a happy side effect. We have billions of data points, so were always eager to share. Waste behavior is human behavior.

Link:
How COVID-19 Has Affected Waste Across the Globe - waste360