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How MLB teams are using neuroscience to try to gain a competitive advantage – CBSSports.com

Long beforeMoneyballcame along, the game of baseball embraced numbers and statistical analysis. Every single team in baseball has a stats department. The ways and means have certainly changed, but the goal remains the same: use numbers to find a competitive advantage.

These days sophisticated tracking systems like PitchFX and Statcast record pretty much everything that happens on the field: how much a pitch moves, how quickly an outfielder takes his first step, how hard a catcher throws down to second base on a stolen base attempt. You name it, and theres a number for it.

R.J. Anderson recently spoke to several folks within baseball to get an idea of how teams are acquiring and using their data in the post Moneyball era . There are, surprisingly, many outside vendors involved. This nugget from Andersons piece stood out to me:

Right now, we have teams out there, who, when they evaluate a player, theyre taking their 2017 schedule, they are prototyping the opposing pitcher array -- perhaps, if theyre really sophisticated, even assuming what the seventh, eighth, and ninth innings look like against those teams -- and theyre simulating a batters performance, a prospective acquisition, his performance against that pitching opposition, in those ballparks, Gennaro said. Because theyre not looking at his stats, theyre looking at his exit velocity and his launch angle.

If you hit the ball 86 mph to lets call it straight-away right field at Yankee Stadium at a 32-degree launch angle, depending on the wind, that probably drops into the first couple of rows. If you hit that same velocity and launch angle at AT&T Park, Hunter Pence is taking two steps in to field it. So, all of those things are being incorporated into the analytics of the most sophisticated teams.

Thats wild. Teams are essentially modeling an entire season using all the available data to get an idea how a player may perform for them. These are still human beings of course, so nothing is 100 percent predictive, but if you have the data available, why wouldnt you use it to try to forecast performance?

The days of targeting players with high on-base percentages because the the rest of the league is undervaluing them are long, long gone. Now teams are using information in more complex ways to gain an advantage. One method is neuroscience, the science of brain function and reaction.

Baseball players are human beings. You cant ignore the human element. Everyones brain works differently and its impossible to quantify that variable. That hasnt stopped teams from trying though. A few teams started exploring neuroscience years ago, and more and more clubs have caught on since.

The Red Sox were among the first clubs to buy into neuroscience, back when Theo Epstein was running the show.As Brian Costa of theWall Street Journalexplained in 2014, the Red Sox partnered with a company called NeuroScouting that developed software to measure and improve a players reaction ability. From Costa:

Nonetheless, teams interest in the neuroscience of hitting is only growing. What began as a training tool for the Red Sox has also become a scouting device. Before each amateur draft, the Red Sox assess hitting prospects in part based on how well they score on the NeuroScouting games.

Mookie Betts, Bostons fifth-round draft pick in 2011, recalled meeting with a Red Sox scout in an empty classroom one day during his lunch period at a Tennessee high school. At the scouts request, he completed a series of games on a laptop. I was thinking, What does this have to do with baseball? Betts said. I guess I did pretty well, since he kept on pursuing me.

Betts, 21, said the daily NeuroScouting drills he did in the minors helped put him on a fast track to the majors. It gets your brain going, he said. In 43 games through Thursday, his .363 on-base percentage ranked second among major-league rookies behind Chicago White Sox star Jose Abreu.

Teams are, quite literally, attempting to measure how quickly a players brain reads a situation and reacts with a decision. Grading out well in neuroscouting doesnt guarantee success, the same way having a pretty swing or a 95 mph fastball doesnt guarantee success. Its one tool in the shed, and the more tools available to you, the more likely you are to get the job done successfully.

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How MLB teams are using neuroscience to try to gain a competitive advantage - CBSSports.com

Seattle Genetics (SGEN): FDA Lifts Hold on Trial of AML Drug – Zacks.com

Seattle Genetics, Inc. (SGEN - Free Report) announced that the FDA has lifted the clinical hold on two phase I trials of its candidate, vadastuximab talirine (SGN-CD33A; 33A).

Vadastuximab talirine is an early stage candidate that is being developed for the treatment of acute myeloid leukemia (AML).

The partial clinical hold was implemented in Dec 2016 to evaluate the potential risk of liver toxicity in patients treated with vadastuximab talirine, who underwent a stem cell transplant either before or after the treatment.

Seattle Genetics outperformed the Zacks classified Medical-Biomedical/Genetics industry year to date. The stock jumped almost 27.1% during this period while the industry gained 6.9%.

The clinical hold on vadastuximab talirine was resolved through an analysis of the clinical data from over 300 patients treated to date and evaluated by an independent committee of clinical experts, collaborative interactions with the FDA and protocol amendments designed to further enhance patient safety.

Consequently, Seattle Genetics will resume two phase I trials of vadastuximab talirine. The first trial will be a combination treatment with standard of care, or 7+3, chemotherapy in newly diagnosed younger AML patients. The second is monotherapy and combination treatment with hypomethylating agents in both newly diagnosed and relapsed AML patients.

Meanwhile, the company continues to enroll patients in the phase III CASCADE study in frontline older AML patients and in a phase I/II study in frontline high-risk myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS).

Zacks Rank & Key Picks

Seattle Genetics currently carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell). Some better-ranked stocks in the health care sector include Heska Corp. (HSKA - Free Report) , Sunesis Pharmaceuticals (SNSS - Free Report) and Celgene Corp. (CELG - Free Report) . While Heska sports a Zacks Rank#1 (Strong Buy), Sunesis Sciences and Celgene carry a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can seethe complete list of todays Zacks #1 Rank stocks here

Heskas earnings estimates increased from $1.53 to $1.65 for 2017 and from $1.90 to $2.01 for 2018, over the last 30 days. The company posted positive earnings surprises in all of the four trailing quarters with an average beat of 291.54%.

Sunesis loss estimates narrowed 5.06% and 8.80% for 2016 and 2017, respectively, over the past 30 days. The company recorded positive earnings surprises in three of the last four quarters, the average being 0.54%.

Celgenes earnings estimates increased from $6.52 to $6.60 for 2017 and from $8.15 to $8.16 for 2018, over the last 60 days. The company posted positive earnings surprises in three of the four trailing quarters with an average beat of 5.08%.

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Seattle Genetics (SGEN): FDA Lifts Hold on Trial of AML Drug - Zacks.com

Genetic screening to fight the common childhood virus that causes hand, foot and mouth disease – Phys.Org

March 8, 2017 Enterovirus 71 infected cells: with the cell nuclei stained blue while the virus proteins are stained green. Credit: A*STAR Institute of Molecular and Cell Biology

The unavailability of antiviral medicines and vaccines has made outbreaks of hand, food and mouth disease (HFMD) caused by enterovirus 71 (EV71), a serious threat that affects millions worldwide. Now, an A*STAR comprehensive study has identified which human proteins in a cell are hijacked by EV71 and which try to resist its invasion. Clarifying these host-pathogen interactions could reveal new targets for antiviral therapeutics.

EV71 infections mainly affect children and can lead to aseptic meningitis, and long-term neurological complications, including polio-like paralysis. Since the EV71 genome encodes for just 11 proteins, it has cleverly evolved to exploit human cells to its advantage and guarantee its successful replication.

To check which human proteins facilitate or hinder EV71 replication, scientists at the A*STAR Institute of Molecular and Cell Biology have developed a gene 'atlas'. They screened 21,121 human genes, using a technique called small interfering RNA (siRNA). The team reported an extensive list of known and unknown classes of genes that play a role during EV71 infection.

Among the 256 so-called 'host factors' identified, several proteins help regulate the length of different stages of the cell cycle, like aurora kinase B (AURKB) and cyclin-dependent kinase 6 (CDK6). Interestingly, the virus seems to manipulate these proteins to favor its own replication. For example, by evicting CDK6 out of its workplace, the nucleus of the cell, EV71 could extend certain stages of the cell cycle to its own benefit.

Another sly mechanism used by this virus is to interfere with the cellular quality control process that discards abnormal or wrongly manufactured proteins. In this way, viral proteins can be produced inside the human cell, undisturbed.

The scientists focused on two host factors that were both shown to assist EV71 replication: N-glycanase 1 (NGLY1) and valosin-containing protein (VCP). Drugs that inhibit these two host factors also reduce the number of EV71-infected cells. VCP is probably held inside vesicular structures used by the virus to copy its genome, but it remains unknown how EV71 benefits from NGLY1.

"This is the first genome-wide siRNA screening for EV71-human factors interaction and reveals the complex interplay between the virus and the proteins of a specific human cell line," points out Justin Jang Hann Chu, lead author of the study. "Some host factors we found are shared with picornaviruses and enteroviruses infections, while others are completely new and need to be further explored. This information opens a new chapter in the development of antiviral strategies for HFMD."

Explore further: Novel mechanism for invasion of EV71 virus demonstrated

More information: Kan Xing Wu et al. Human genome-wide RNAi screen reveals host factors required for enterovirus 71 replication, Nature Communications (2016). DOI: 10.1038/ncomms13150

A new study determines glycosylation and pH-dependent conformational changes of virus receptor SCARB2 as crucial for EV71 attachment, entry and uncoating.

The first enterovirus 71 (EV71) vaccine candidate to reach phase 3 clinical testing provides young Chinese children with significant protection against disease caused by EV71, a growing public-health threat which has caused ...

(Phys.org)Viruses are just bits of DNA or RNA and proteins, but they have proved to be capable of immense destruction to human health. How have they achieved the ability to create such devastating diseases in organisms ...

Researchers have discovered critical new details about the structure of a virus that causes potentially fatal brain swelling and paralysis in children, pointing toward designs for antiviral drugs to treat the disease.

Viral replication and spread throughout a host organism employs many proteins, but the process is not very well understood. Scientists at A*STAR have led a collaborative study to learn which host factors play a key role in ...

Researchers have discovered a potential treatment for a viral infection that causes potentially fatal brain swelling and paralysis in children. The findings also point to possible treatments for related viruses including ...

The International Potato Center (CIP) launched a series of experiments to discover if potatoes can grow under Mars atmospheric conditions and thereby prove they are also able to grow in extreme climates on Earth. This Phase ...

EPFL scientists have carried out a genomic and evolutionary study of a large and enigmatic family of human proteins, to demonstrate that it is responsible for harnessing the millions of transposable elements in the human ...

An international research team has discovered a biochemical pathway that is responsible for the development of moss cuticles. These waxy coverings of epidermal cells are the outer layer of plants and protect them from water ...

A new study involving biologists from Monash University Australia has found that despite their very different ancestors, dolphins and crocodiles evolved similarly-shaped skulls to feed on similar prey.

A new study by G. William Arends Professor of Microbiology at the University of Illinois Bill Metcalf with postdoctoral Fellow Dipti Nayak has documented the use of CRISPR-Cas9 mediated genome editing in the third domain ...

Proteins, those basic components of cells and tissues, carry out many biological functions by working with partners in networks. The dynamic nature of these networks - where proteins interact with different partners at different ...

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Genetic screening to fight the common childhood virus that causes hand, foot and mouth disease - Phys.Org

Anatomy of unions – Ashland Daily Press

Opinions are like noses - everybody has one. But having worked for and against unions, I believe they are very valuable to society and every workplace.

However, just like any other organization or political party, unions can make mistakes and I have watched them make some doozies. Yet, in the end, I find those who complain the most do not realize their value or how things are supposed to work.

During my career, I have belonged to four different unions and have worked against 24 different unions, and there is nothing better than a strong management and a strong union.

The relationship between union and management is exactly like a teeter-totter or a marriage. One side should never have too much power over the other, and the relationship requires cooperation to make it work at maximum potential.

I know there are many folks on both sides who believe they should have all the marbles, but that is what really causes the demise of the entire operation.

Union membership has been on the decline for years, and the actions of the Wisconsin Governor and Republican-controlled Legislature have made it easy here in Wisconsin.

There are a number of folks who are just freeloaders. They enjoy getting all the benefits that others have worked hard to gain, and they are very happy to take the pay increases the union bargains.

Act 10 made them think they were going to save money, but what they thought they were saving in union dues resulted in them paying out a lot more for their retirement and health insurance benefits plus losing job security and representation.

A management that is too strong does not give their employees proper wages and benefits, while a union that is too strong either takes advantage during bargaining or forces management to waste money on high-priced attorneys to balance the scales.

Everyone knows right now managers are getting million dollar bonuses, double-digit percentage wage increases and golden handshakes at retirement, while the employees struggle to make ends meet with small or no wage increases.

This proves two things. First, this equation is totally wrong. Second, companies and school districts have enough money to give everyone a fair wage and benefit package but dont.

In a labor pool (community or area), when a union bargains higher wages, the non-union employers give higher wages because they have to be able to recruit and retain a quality workforce. Everyone wins, including local merchants!

People complain about the wages and benefits in union contracts, but fail to realize that both sides agreed to all of the terms and conditions during negotiations.

Unions are supposed to represent their members, but many times union leadership feels they know what is best and do not even get input before or during bargaining. This causes the membership to feel disenfranchised and allows them to feel the union only wants their money.

I will show how unions help our public schools in my next letter.

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Anatomy of unions - Ashland Daily Press

Anatomy of the fight with Europe – Yeni afak English

I asked a friend for a three- to four-day summary of the German media, and for some reason, the news and comments seemed very familiar. Whatever the Turkish media's attitude toward German policies is, the position in Germany is the same in the opposite direction.

Turkey in German media

It appears that President Recep Tayyip Erdoan's statements, especially his comparison of the current German government to Nazis, have provoked the German media quite a bit.

One of the major German dailies, Bild, published the headline, When will Merkel's patience run out? She is being criticized for keeping her silence amid Erdoan'd harsh comments.

Bild is in favor of all Turkish politicians being barred from speaking in Germany. The tone used in the article is interesting: Why are these Turkish haters allowed to speak in our country? The newspaper is reacting toward Economy Minister Nihat Zeybeki's speech.

Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung has also reached the verge of severing ties: Germany is not a country that is very dependent on Turkey. It has shown great patience until now.

Propaganda turning to violence in Europe

I guess if we were to review the Dutch, French and Austrian media, we would come across similar articles since Turkey has become the main talk in European election campaigns just as it was one of the main issues in the U.K.'s Brexit referendum.

This is called making foreign politics a matter of domestic politics, and it is extremely dangerous because its affects can turn into violence.

Migrants, Islamophobia and Turkophobia are currently the nerve toward which the European public is most sensitive. Politicians are gaining votes by touching this nerve. After a while, all the anti-Turkey and anti-Islam comments, statements and propaganda made to collect votes come back as violence.

Ninety-one mosques were set on fire in Germany in 2016 alone. As many as 40 percent of Germans are in favor of banning Muslims from entering the country.

A total of 48 percent of the people in the Netherlands want Muslims' citizenship rights revoked.

In 2016, there were more than 1,000 Islamophobia-related attacks in the U.K. As many as 60 percent of the attacks were aimed at Muslim women.

In the same year, more than 360 attacks took place in France.

There were 100 hate crime and violent attacks that targeted Muslims in the Netherlands, 30 in Sweden, 90 in Austria and 20 in Belgium.

The total number of Islamophobic and anti-migrant attacks in Europe in 2016 exceeded 2,000 (Source: @trdiplomasi).

Increase in number of people joining Daesh in Europe

As you can see, the more politicians increase their anti-Turkey and Islamophobic discourse, the more it reflects through society as violence. The more violence increases, the more radical approaches increase. And it is terrorist organizations that take best advantage of this.

According to a 2014 study by former FBI agent Ali Soufan, Daesh received recruits from 86 countries. The number of militants joining the terrorist organization from Western Europe doubled in the course of a year. As many as 5,000 militants have joined Daesh from Europe.

The higher these numbers reach, the more it becomes apparent that Daesh militants are from Europe and the more the hate and violence toward Muslims increases. This further instigates radicalization on the opposite side. In other words, Europe is struggling in a vicious cycle, with both sides feeding one another.

This propaganda, and thus the incidents of violence, are certainly expected to increase in the elections to be held within the next two years in Germany, France, the Netherlands, Austria and Hungary.

So, what are Muslim countries, and especially Turkey, doing to counter this?

UN: 'Islamophobia is the source of global terrorism'

In a speech he made in February 2017, newly elected U.N. Secretary General Antonio Guterres made a very sound observation: The cause of increased global terrorism is Islamophobia. However, the matter was never seriously brought up on the agenda in the U.N. Security Council or the General Assembly.

The Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) did not include the problem on its agenda or try to influence public opinion either. Despite almost all of those attacked being Muslim, no solidarity, cooperation or joint action was formed.

Even though Turkish politicians voices the topic of Islamophobia and Turkophobia in their rhetoric, this rhetoric has not turned into concrete steps to remedy the situation.

The subject in Europe is also increasingly evolving toward Turkey. Reciprocal harsh statements due to the constitutional referendum in Turkey and elections in Europe are raising tensions.

Following Foreign Minister Mevlt avuolu's statement: I will come there, nobody can stop me, Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) Chairman Devlet Baheli raised the bar, saying: If Turkey reaches a boil, Berlin will burn.

Naturally, all of these statements have an opposite echo in Europe. Hence, an international problem turns into a subject of the domestic agenda, becoming even more difficult to solve.

The problem in Europe needs to be included on the global agenda

Yet, while the problem is one that concerns the entire world and, as stated by the U.N. secretary general, it instigates global terrorism, it is being turned into a fight between Europe and Turkey. This is wrong.

Turkey is obliged to influence public opinion on a more global scale, at the U.N. level, with all the Muslim countries that have been harmed by its side.

The U.N.'s uselessness is probably the first subject to come to one's mind. However, the matter should not be left here, and the fact that this situation is harming economic relations should be included second on the agenda.

The trade volume between Turkey and Germany is at 36.8 billion euros and in favor of Germany. Turkey ranks fifth among the countries with the greatest number of trade activities.

There is no need to state with how big of a difference the EU's trade ties with Muslim countries is in favor of the EU.

Europe has no conscience, it has interests.

Hence, Turkey must produce more global strategies and explain in a more powerful way that the problem in Europe is a problem that concerns the world in general, as the problem cannot solved through rhetoric.

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Anatomy of the fight with Europe - Yeni afak English

Human Behavior Represents a Roadblock for Autonomous Vehicles (Watch) – Small Business Trends

Makers of autonomous vehicles are running into a major roadblock in their efforts to bring self-driving cars to market humans.

Sure, humans arent really supposed to be involved much in the process if the car drives itself. But there are different levels of autonomous vehicles. Some weve already seen, like cars with cruise control and those that can stay in one lane on their own.

And the next level of autonomous vehicle is one that can do just about everything, but would still need a human driver to take control in the case of an emergency. And thats where the problem comes in. If the car drives itself the whole rest of the time, then a human driver isnt likely to pay a whole lot of attention. So in an emergency situation, theyre unlikely to react quickly and effectively enough. In fact, drivers in tests continuously fell asleep while riding in these autonomous vehicles.

So some companies are instead looking to skip this step altogether. They want to only bring autonomous cars to market when they can do absolutely everything. So humans can simply sit back and relax the whole ride without having to even make an emergency stop.

Its probably going to be awhile before we actually see any of these vehicles on the road. And even then, its going to require consumers to make a pretty big leap of faith since they wont have had similar vehicles to warm up to the idea.

But companies are putting safety first. And since they cant really control natural human behavior, it probably makes sense for them to avoid putting people in those difficult situations.

Self-driving Car Photo via Shutterstock

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Human Behavior Represents a Roadblock for Autonomous Vehicles (Watch) - Small Business Trends

Oxford Genetics to Distribute CLS Cell Lines Service Products – GenomeWeb

NEW YORK (GenomeWeb) Oxford Genetics said today that it has signed a worldwide distribution agreement with CLS Cell Lines Service to combine CLS's cell lines with Oxford's current menu of bio-therapeutic research products and services.

The agreement gives Oxford's customers access to over 400 mammalian cell lines which can be used in the firm's custom cell line engineering and development services.

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Oxford Genetics to Distribute CLS Cell Lines Service Products - GenomeWeb

Laura Muir has mentality and genetics to live up to ‘once-in-a-generation’ tag – The Guardian

Laura Muir broke Doina Melintes 32-year-old European indoor championship record on Saturday on her way to 1500m gold in Belgrade. Photograph: Andrej Isakovic/AFP/Getty Images

When a bleary-eyed British team gathered at Belgrades Nikola Tesla airport on Monday morning after equalling their best result at a European Indoor Championships, Neil Black, the UK Athletics performance director, was asked just how high Laura Muirs star might soar. His response was short yet striking. She is a once-in-a-generation athlete.

Given the 23-year-old Muirs 1500m and 3,000m gold medals in Belgrade were the first and second of her career, that might sound overly dramatic but the evidence of the past eight months suggests Black was merely stating the obvious.

It is not only that Muir has set five British records and two European records at distances ranging from 1,000m to 5,000m since August. It is the way she has done it. Long solo runs from the front or lung-busting sprint finishes it does not matter. The result is the same: the living daylights are thrashed out of her opponents as well as the clock.

The next challenge, as Muir says, is coping with the step up in competition and pressure at this summers world championships in London. Not that she is concerned she wants to double up in the 1500m and 5,000m. You cant go winning medals and breaking records and not go raising expectations, she says. Ill take it all in my stride.

The IAAF president, Sebastian Coe, a keen onlooker in Belgrade, believes the European indoor gold will act as a springboard to greater glories for Muir just like it did for him back in 1977. This will have boosted her a lot, he said. My first championship medal was an 800m indoors 40 years ago in San Sebastin. Mo Farah made his breakthrough indoors, as did Colin Jackson.

Two years ago Laura wasnt making the right decisions on the track but she has grown in maturity. Now she feels she is not going to get beaten and, most importantly, her rivals dont think so either. Its a pretty good moment to get into a purple patch with the world championships coming up.

Coe is also impressed with Muirs mental toughness after several early career disappointments, most acutely at the world indoors in Sopot and the Commonwealth Games in Glasgow in 2014, where she fell short of the medals many expected from her. There was also frustration at the Rio Olympics in the 1500m final when she tried to go with Genzebe Dibaba on what turned out to be a 57-second third lap and found her medal hopes burned up by lactic acid.

Muir responded to that setback by running 3min 55.22sec a week later the 16th fastest time in history on a list dominated by former Eastern bloc and Chinese athletes who were around when state-sponsored doping was prevalent and she has not been beaten since. More impressive still, she has continued to improve while combining running 40-50 miles a week with work placements during a veterinary degree at the University of Glasgow.

Coe said: I love the way shes done it. Its quite tough when youve chosen the most difficult sport in the world to master and probably one of the most difficult degree courses at the same time. Shes juggling all the plates I take my hat off to her.

A large part of her success is down to genetics which, according to her coach, Andy Young, give her the right blend of slow and fast twitch muscles that make her dangerous at all distances from 800m upwards. Ive never seen someone with that sort of capability. I used to train with Paula Radcliffe when I was at Loughborough and she obviously had a huge engine but she didnt have a turn of speed. Kelly Holmes had that huge turn of speed but not the engine Laura has both.

Then there is her physical robustness, which means Muir tolerates and thrives in hard training sessions without her body breaking down, and her work ethic. As Young puts it: When she arrived she didnt like going into the red zone, the pain zone. She was always running within herself. But over the last couple of years weve developed that and she now gives it everything.

Some at British Athletics remain to be convinced Muir should double up at London. Young insists the world championships schedule is perfect as it involves running her favourite event, the 1500m, on the first, second and fourth days, and then a two-day break before the 5,000m heats. She wants to start racking up the medals, said Young. She wants world championship medals, she wants Olympic medals.

It will not be easy. In the 1500m she will face the world-record holder Dibaba, who seems back at her best after a mixed 2016 during which the Ethiopians coach, Jama Aden, was arrested by Spanish police on suspicion of doping after EPO was found in the hotel they and others were staying in. In the 5,000m another Ethiopian, Almaz Ayana, will be a danger.

In the current climate all athletes who set fast times are automatically under suspicion, along with their coaches. Young stresses that Muir is powered by little more than a good diet and the odd chocolate recovery shake. Laura also takes iron because she struggled with that, and sometimes magnesium, but she doesnt like taking tablets, he said. When she first started she wouldnt even take paracetamol or ibuprofen when the legs got sore or for a headache. Its not her way. And its not my way either.

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Laura Muir has mentality and genetics to live up to 'once-in-a-generation' tag - The Guardian

Scientists analyze Mediterranean durum genetics – World Grain

March 7, 2017 - by Laura Lloyd Search for similar articles by keyword: [Wheat]

Team from Spain completes first genetic, phenotypic and geographic adaptation study. Photo by Adobe Stock.

Among the studys goals was to establish a statistical relationship between certain genetic variables and the phenotypic characteristics they determine. A phenotype is defined as the appearance of an organism resulting from the interaction of genotype and environment. The phenotypic traits under study included the different varieties of durum wheats flowering time, biomass, drought resistance, foliar architecture, photosynthesis, protein, yield and yield components.

The study sought to establish which genetic characteristics were decisive in the expression of particular phenotypic traits that indicated both genetic improvement and adaptation of crops in environmental conditions associated with global climate change.

The study divided durum wheat into five genetic subpopulations one composed only of modern cultivars and another four closely related to their geographic origins in the eastern Mediterranean, eastern Balkans and Turkey, Western Balkans and Egypt and the Western Mediterranean. Durum wheat grown in the Mediterranean ecosystem, where weather conditions are moderately dry and sunny, is mostly used to make pasta and semolina. Domesticated thousands of years ago in the Fertile Crescent, durum spread widely, developing diverse landraces, or crop cultivars developed through traditional farming practices over a lengthy period of time or lacking influence from modern agricultural practices, the study authors said.

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Scientists analyze Mediterranean durum genetics - World Grain

Precision Credulity: How Specious Genetic Tests Might Motivate Real Behavior Change – American Enterprise Institute

The ready availability of genetic testing has created a contradictory set of challenges.

(Disclosure/reminder: Im Chief Medical Officer of DNAnexus, a genetic data management company.)

On the one hand, there are data suggesting that some patients dont modify their behavior even after genetic testing indicates they might be at increased risk for a condition, such as lung cancer or skin cancer, a risk that could be mitigated through deliberate behavior change. (I recommend this 2016 Atlantic piece on the subject, by law and policy professor Timothy Caulfield, for his wise emphasis on social context, though Im less persuaded by the published meta-analysis that motivated the commentary.)

But Ive been at least as struck by what seems in many ways to the be opposite problem: the use of specious genetic tests to motivate behavior change, such as the use of genetically informed diets or genetically informed exercise programs (or both), solutions an increasing number of consumer genetics companies seem to promote.

Although a robust scientific link between the genetic results and the indicated intervention is generally lacking, many individualswhether patients or elite athletesseem to find the idea that their recommendations are based on cutting-edge genetic science compelling. In a very real sense, this is genetics as placebo.

Credit: Twenty20

There are many examples demonstrating the impact of placebo on athletic performance, for example, in both trained (see here, here, here) and untrained (here) athletes. Its not a stretch to imagine that athletes who believe genetics can offer them a distinct advantage might perform better if they believe their training program is driven by genetics.

Its also entirely believable that patients with a particular faith in geneticsfor example, those who have self-selected by seeking out such testingmight be more likely to adhere to a wellness regimen represented as the customized output of genetic evaluation.

This phenomenon seems like an expression of what medical anthropologist (and one of my favorite undergraduate instructors) Arthur Kleinman called the Explanatory Model. The basic idea is that different people have different views of illness and disease, and the physician or healer needs to understand and acknowledge the patients model to optimize the therapeutic relationship.

Consider NIH director Francis Collins, for instance. After genetic testing suggested he was at increased risk for diabetes, he immediately altered his diet and exercise regimenpresumably because he strongly connected with the idea of genetic risk. Collins reaction isnt unique; Ive encountered a number of individuals whove apparently been motivated to change their lifestyle after getting curiosity-driven genetic testing.

The thing is, from a medical perspective, the logic is lacking, or at least soft; most people would presumably benefit from a healthier lifestyle, whether genetic testing reveals a particular predisposition or not. Collins, a physician-scientist, shouldnt have needed genetic testing to motivate lifestyle changes. Yet apparently, it took genetic testing because that deeply resonated with his explanatory model of illness.

As an aside, its important to recognize that patients are not the only ones who may find themselves beguiled by the charms of genetic data. A recent, powerful Stat article described a dubious genetic test used to help doctors select the optimal opioid for patients; the reporter, Charles Piller, memorably captures how the analysis was perceived by an enthusiastic physician:

Tests of how his patients would respond to particular drugs validate his clinical judgment most of the time, [the physician] said. When they dont, he ignores the results.

This seems like another version of genetics as placebomaking the doctor feel better about his diagnosisrather than genetics as discriminating science.

Ive also seen a similar phenomenon in biopharma companies that aspire to use biomarkers (not necessarily genetic) to guide decision-making during early drug development. Ive been surprised by how often biomarkers or other early signals are embraced when seem to support the decision the team wants to make (generally advancing a drug), but ignored or rationalized away when they go in the wrong direction. Of course context is always important in interpreting specific results, but its striking how early signals can be selectively employed in drug development decisions to inject the imprimatur of science into a confusing and often highly political process.

Returning our focus to patients, some might ask, whats so wrong about using genetic testing to motivate behavior change in those who are susceptiblewho in essence advertise their susceptibility by seeking out genetic testing? If the testing is legitimateas presumably Collins wasthen perhaps it will provide the motivation needed to pursue a healthy lifestyle. And even if the relationship between testing and therapeutic recommendation is scientifically dubious, it might still motivate the recipient to eat healthier, exercise more or perform at a higher level. It would be ironic, certainly, if the primary benefit of many genetic tests proves to be behavioral, but whats the harm, especially if its paid for by consumers?

The problem is that even if there are short-term successes, they may come at the unacceptable cost of eroding trust in the underlying science, a consequence that might ultimately undermine what genetics could one day deliver.

My fear is that validated genetics gets overwhelmed by hucksterism, and patients who might benefit from genetics will get turned off, and reject critically important advice. Just as unsupported belief in the science could lead to overly enthusiastic adoption today (such as using genetics to guide diet), its not hard to envision this ending badly, besmirching the reputation of genetics and leading to the concerning possibility that down the line, expectations of disappointment might dissuade potential users of genetic testing in the future.

But inevitably, Im more optimistic than concerned.

First, I hope is that even in a sea of unsupported wellness claims (eat this, not that; train this way, not that), it will still be possible to discern legitimate medical advice (take extreme measures to avoid the sun and see your dermatologist frequently if you carry particular mutations predisposing to melanoma, say) that could save someones life. Ideally, this rigorous vetting will come from the community itself, as it has in a number of other examples cardiologist and former FDA Chief Health Informatics Officer Taha Kass-Hout frequently cites.

Second, I hope that responsible, critical scientists continue to pursue links between genetics and behavior, including diet, exercise and human performance (the pioneering work of Stanford cardiologist Euan Ashley falls squarely into the last category, for examplealso discussed on this recent Tech Tonics podcast).

Thirdmuch as I argued in the New York Times when the human genome was first sequenced, nearly two decades agoI suspect the rigorous pursuit of genetics will perhaps paradoxically reveal the limits of reductionism, highlight that genetics is not everything and emphasize the need for more integrative approaches to vexing population health problems.

Or, as Dennis Ausiello, Joseph Martin and I put it in 2000, in the American Journal of Medicine,

As Goldstein and Brown recently noted, paraphrasing Magritte, a gene sequence is not a drug, and although the development of rational therapy for a disease may require an understanding of its molecular basis, the path from mechanistic understanding to clinical treatment is often difficult to define and hard to predict. Proteins often behave differently in test tubes than in cells, and cells behave differently in culture than as part of a vital organism. Finally, a patients experience of disease reflects more than simply an underlying biologic defect. It is, to quote Eric Cassell, a process inextricably bound up with the unfolding story of this particular patient. Thus, the critical question we are now struggling with as physicians and physician-scientists is how to avail ourselves of the advances in molecular biology without losing sight of our primary goalthe care and treatment of our patients.

Clearly, this struggle continues.

See original here:
Precision Credulity: How Specious Genetic Tests Might Motivate Real Behavior Change - American Enterprise Institute