The longest running disagreement between me and some of the readers in this forum concerns my persistent warnings that investors are prone to sell low in panic and buy high in euphoria, and the ensuing resentful rebuttals I get from an army of disciplined DIYers. That this type of statement elicits indignation merely reinforces my view that there is an underlying emotion animating the response - that is, a deep-seated fear that panic-selling could happen to the one denying it.
(Some of these commenters dress up their rebuttals in the form of how dare you suggest investors need an advisor? but those reading my posts carefully enough understand that I am agnostic about the form of help people get and recognize that some people dont need any.)
It is with this background that I commend to your attention a must-read article by Erik Conley, who relays with uncommon honesty the story of how his panic on March 3, 2009, as the market plumbed new lows (after cascading downward for over a year) prompted him to call his broker to sell everything.
Most Seeking Alpha readers will recognize the date as being just days before the all-time market low during the last financial crisis. Whats important also to know is that Conley is not just your average working stiff. Hes a professional investor! And, as is evident from his writing, hes highly intelligent as well. This is no surprise to me, since I have repeatedly warned that the most intelligent people are precisely the most vulnerable because their fertile minds can quickly spin a compelling narrative that makes sense of why things are going down, and must continue to do so. Indeed, Conley alludes to this when he interprets a downward trending stock chart on CNBC as follows (with my emphasis added):
I began to imagine scenes of widespread panic like those old newsreels from the Great Depression of the 1930s. I imagined crowds of people lined up in front of banks desperately trying to get their money out before the bank collapsed. I saw bread lines and soup kitchens. And I saw myself, living in a van, down by the river. At that moment, I was in full panic mode."
Conley was fortunate that when he implored his broker to sell, saying I don't care what the price is, just get me out! his long-time associate tried hard to walk him off the ledge. He couldnt convince him not to sell everything but got Conley to agree to sell only half. When Conley came to his senses, he called back and re-bought everything. The cost of this investment roundtrip was 1.75% of his portfolio - not a bad price for such a valuable lesson. How costly it would have been had he missed out on the ensuing eight years of market price appreciation.
If Conley - a market veteran - can fall into the No. 1 investing trap, certainly anyone can. He chalks it up to the inescapability of being human:
I had acted irrationally, but I just couldn't see it at the time. I'm only human, after all, and humans panic sometimes. But I'm also an experienced, professional investor. I should have known better."
Thats true enough. Im less convinced, though, by another point he makes, suggesting that he got caught off guard while on vacation and away from his normal surroundings, computer and investment plan:
Had I taken the time to consult the part of my written plan that spells out how to deal with big market declines, I would have been more rational, and it's very unlikely that I would have made that panic sale.
The problem with this there is always a time of vulnerability. If it wasnt on March 3, it could have been on March 4. Elazar Advisors, LLC has commented that his trading advice service is premised on the knowledge that someone who is sitting alone making investment decisions is bound to crack up at some point from the psychological pressure that is most acute when by oneself. I think this applies to everyone to a greater or lesser extent - we all are prone to heeding inner messages emerging from the wellsprings of our sometimes irrational fears, hopes or desires.
That inner voice can convince you to shred that investment plan. That could have happened perhaps even more easily had Erik Conley seen the same screen on the same day back at home. Having his broker, partner and friend, on the other line kept the cost of his investment lesson to 1.75% of his portfolio rather than 3.50%. People need people - in all areas of life, not just investments. Whether you employ an advisor, enlist a knowledgeable friend or make sure you and your spouse are mutually committed to that investment plan, youre likely to lose less and gain more with a partner.
Postscript
It is with this perspective in mind that I want to notify readers of a new premium service on Seeking Alphas Marketplace called Wealth Watchers, designed for people who want something in between engaging a financial advisor and doing things completely on their own. The new forum will serve as a mutually supportive peer group with knowledge and perspective on the how-tos of earning, saving and investing with the aim of achieving financial independence.
Please share your thoughts in our comments section. Meanwhile, here are a few advisor-related links for today:
Visit link:
Anatomy Of A Panicked Reaction: Financial Advisors' Daily Digest - Seeking Alpha
- Katherine Heigl Shares Why She's Grateful Her Daughters Aren't Interested in Grey's Anatomy (Exclusive) - parade.com - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- 'Grey's Anatomy' Fans Are Just Realizing This Fun Fact About the Series That Affects All but 1 Episode - People.com - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- In a Nutshell: Turning anatomy education into online sensation - Ohio University - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- 'Grey's Anatomy' Gets Musical Again: Link Serenades Jo With Song at the Wedding Altar - TV Insider - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy Boss Unpacks Jo and Links Momentous Wedding Song, Teases Bonkers Season 21 Finale - TheWrap - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Generating cervical anatomy labels using a deep ensemble multi-class segmentation model applied to transvaginal ultrasound images - Nature - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy creator Shonda Rhimes reveals the hardest death she had to write - Yahoo - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Katherine Heigl Reveals What 1 Medical Trick She Thinks She Could Still Do After Grey's Anatomy (Exclusive) - parade.com - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy Season 21, Episode 17 Review: As A Long-Time Fan, I Loved This Romantic & Poignant Episode That Felt Like Classic Greys - Screen... - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- As One Greys Anatomy Couple Weds, Another Breaks Up and a Third Relationship Lands on Life Support - TVLine - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Every Wedding on Greys Anatomy , Ranked - Vulture - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- 'Greys Anatomy': Link Surprises Jo at Their Wedding, Owen Holds onto the Past and 1 Couple Calls It Quits - People.com - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Here comes the bride: Where to stream Greys Anatomy for FREE - PennLive.com - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy Preview: Will Link and Jo I Do It Right On Their Wedding Day? Plus, [Spoiler]s Back - TVLine - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy boss reveals the disappointing reason Meredith missed Jo and Links wedding - GeekSided - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Anatomy Of Startup Governance Issues, Funding Zooms & More - StartupNews.fyi - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy Shock: Lucas and Simone Split Will Fans Even Miss Them? - Decatur Metro - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- 9 Secrets of the Greys Anatomy Sets Superfans Need to Know - Architectural Digest - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy Continues to Ignore a Key Character's Storyline (& It's Frustrating Fans) - Comic Book Resources - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Jo & Link's Unique Wedding Set-Up Is Exactly Why Their Romance Works In Grey's Anatomy - Screen Rant - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy creator Shonda Rhimes reveals the hardest death she had to write - The Independent - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Grey's Anatomy fans are just realizing clever aspect of 'every episode' after 20 years - The Mirror US - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Did the Success of The Substance and Anatomy of a Fall Finally Teach Cannes a Lesson? - IndieWire - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Grey's Anatomy fans floored after spotting 'hidden message' in every episode - Irish Star - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Anatomy of an apprehension: Where are you taking the baby? - Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows News - May 12th, 2025 [May 12th, 2025]
- Isaiah Washington Says Sandra Oh Brought Him Back on Greys Anatomy Years After Firing - E! Online - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Hailey Bieber Is Outed as an Obsessive 'Greys Anatomy' Fan: It's 'a Big Secret' - People.com - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Unfurling Anatomy explores neuroplasticity and healing through artistic expression - 13wham.com - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Why isnt Greys Anatomy on TV tonight? When is the next new episode? - PennLive.com - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Why Greys Anatomy Isnt Airing a New Episode Tonight (April 24) & When Itll Return - Just Jared - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy season 21 new episode tonight - How to watch on ABC for free - MassLive - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Anatomy of a US Treasury Sell-Off - AllianceBernstein - Commentaries - Advisor Perspectives - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Anatomy Of Lies Documentary: Everything To Know About The Grey's Anatomy Writer Who Faked Cancer (& Where To Watch Online) - Screen Rant - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- 'Greys Anatomy' Star Katherine Heigl Slammed With Lawsuit For Alleged $300,000 Unpaid Services - Yahoo - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Grey's Anatomy's Isaiah Washington Says Sandra Oh Brought Him Back After Altercation with Patrick Dempsey - E! Online - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Why Arent 9-1-1, Doctor Odyssey & Greys Anatomy New Tonight? - The Sanford Herald - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- 'Grey's Anatomy' Teases a Winston/Jules Pairing: Are You Feeling It? - TVLine - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Anatomy of a PMs fall: did Albanese stumble off a stage - and why are we still talking about it? - The Guardian - April 27th, 2025 [April 27th, 2025]
- Anatomy Of A Bitcoin Bear Market: Expert Trader Reveals The Signals To Watch Out For | Bitcoinist.com - Bitcoinist.com - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- 'Grey's Anatomy' Recap: Are Winston Ndugu and Jules Millin the Next Power Couple at Grey-Sloan? - TV Insider - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy Taps Piper Perabo for Three-Episode Arc Whats Her Connection to Amelia? - TVLine - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- The anatomy of an NPR headline - VPM - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Anatomy of the system: Criminal case is finally (almost) over - nrtoday.com - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Grey's Anatomy Season 21, Episode 15 Review: Im Glad The Characters Are Showing Off Their Silly Sides In The Shows Funniest Episode In A Long Time -... - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Jessie Buckley to Narrate Leah Hazards Novel The Anatomy of Us for Audible (EXCLUSIVE) - Variety - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Ellen Pompeo reveals why shell never leave Greys Anatomy for good: It doesnt make any sense - New York Post - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy season 21 episode 15: Where to watch free tonight - MassLive - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Ellen Pompeo says leaving 'Grey's Anatomy' would mean that others get to 'profit' off her hard work - Business Insider - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Ellen Pompeo on Why It Would Make No Sense to Walk Away From Greys Anatomy - Rolling Stone - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- In the Human Anatomy Lab, Experiential Learning Prepares Future Health Care Leaders - U of G News - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Window washers platform crashes into hospital: How to watch Greys Anatomy without cable - PennLive.com - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Riley Greene, Colt Keith and the anatomy of a slump - The Athletic - The New York Times - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Ellen Pompeo reveals she gets a little bit annoyed when Greys Anatomy fans call her Meredith - The Independent - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Revisiting the 20-Year History of the Music of Greys Anatomy - Shondaland - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Yellowstone Star Piper Perabo Joins the Cast of Greys Anatomy in Recurring Role - EntertainmentNow - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Seriously? Greys Anatomy Is Making Us Take Sides, and It Feels Like [Bleep] - TVLine - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Ellen Pompeos honest reason for never leaving Greys Anatomy branded weird - The Independent - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- The body as a manifesto: Schiaparellis use of anatomy - HIGHXTAR. - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Ellen Pompeo reveals one frustration with Grey's Anatomy fans: "I do get a little bit annoyed" - Digital Spy - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- On Set: Greys Anatomy Stars Sharing Their Hidden Talents - Shondaland - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- Anatomy of a Shot | The Gorge: Building the Blast - DNEG - April 19th, 2025 [April 19th, 2025]
- The countries with longest anatomy measurements (7+ inches) and what this means for your health - Journe Mondiale - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- 21 "Grey's Anatomy" Behind-The-Scenes Facts That'll Make You Watch The Show In A Whole New Way - BuzzFeed - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Anatomy of Exile by Zeeva Bukai reflects on the elusive nature of home - jweekly.com - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Sex toys and exploding cosmetics: Anatomy of a 'hybrid war' on the West - Reuters - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Doctor Odyssey Has Higher Ratings Than Grey's Anatomy, So Why Was It At The Risk Of Being Canceled When Shonda Rhimes' Show Was Already Renewed -... - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Anatomy of a housing proposal toppled by NIMBYs - The Portland Press Herald - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- The Anatomy of a New Distribution Branch - Roofing Contractor - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- 'Grey's Anatomy' Is Returning for Season 22: Get the Scoop - TV Insider - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy: Has Owen Broken the Open Relationship Rules Already? - TV Insider - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy Season 21, Episode 13 Review: Im More Excited Than Ever For The Last 5 Episodes Thanks To A Few Storyline Advancements - Screen Rant - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- 'Grey's Anatomy': Teddy Makes a Tearful Admission as She and Owen Navigate Their Open Marriage - People.com - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy, Shifting Gears Among Five ABC Renewals, Doctor Odyssey in Limbo - hollywoodreporter.com - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Effect of Virtual Reality Simulation on Anatomy Learning Outcomes: A Systematic Review - Cureus - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy Renewed For Season 22 By ABC With Veteran Cast Poised To Return - Deadline - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Grey's Anatomy: Kim Raver Talks Teddy and Owen's Open Marriage - Us Weekly - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Greys Anatomy: Sophia Bush Discusses Cass And Teddys Long-Awaited Tryst & Whether Theres More To Come Between Them - Deadline - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- 9-1-1, Greys Anatomy, The Rookie, Shifting Gears, Will Trent Renewed at ABC - Variety - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- 7 Times the Greys Anatomy Surgeons Did the Impossible - Shondaland - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]
- Grey's Anatomy Is Bound To Repeat A Controversial George Plot From 18 Years Ago (But With A Twist) - Screen Rant - April 10th, 2025 [April 10th, 2025]